UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Dec 2018 to Monday 10 Dec 2018:

Unsettled weather prevails throughout the weekend, with showers or longer spells of rain albeit with some bright or sunny spells in between. It will often be windy, with a risk of gales, with temperatures close to or a little above average. The changeable and at times unsettled weather is likely throughout the following week, with spells of occasionally heavy rain accompanied by brisk winds, interspersed by brighter more showery conditions. Towards the end of this period there may be a transition towards more settled conditions in the south, with lighter winds and more in the way of drier weather developing. Temperatures should initially be milder than average, but are likely to trend downwards by the end of the period with a greater chance of overnight fog and frost.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 11 Dec 2018 to Tuesday 25 Dec 2018:

At the start of this period settled conditions should have developed across the UK, bringing some drier weather and lighter winds but also an increased likelihood of fog and overnight frost. However the second half of December will probably see a gradual return to breezier and much more unsettled conditions, with further spells of rain and strong winds, particularly in the north and northwest where there may be some hill snow. Temperatures should initially be below average, before trending back to normal or milder than average by the end of the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

I notice that plant life is responding to the warm  lengthy  warm conditions -catkins appearing and daffodils pushing through the soil.

I've noticed that too. After all the hype it will be funny if the daffs are in bloom by Xmas. Stranger things have happened. 

Climate change: UK summers could be over 5C warmer by 2070

"In its first major update on climate change in almost 10 years, the Met Office has warned of significant temperature rises in the decades ahead.

The UK Climate Projections 2018 study is the most up to date assessment of how the UK will change over this century.

It says that under the highest emissions scenario, summer temperatures could be 5.4C hotter by 2070.

The chances of a summer as warm as 2018 are around 50% by 2050"

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-46343103? 

I notice that in parents garden last night and it's not even Winter now?

Drier 

Lighter winds

Chance of rain in north

Fairly mild

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46352315 

UK Outlook for Sunday 2 Dec 2018 to Tuesday 11 Dec 2018:

On Sunday bands of cloud and rain are likely to affect southern areas whilst further north it may be brighter with showers for a time before outbreaks of rain spread to most parts by the end of the day. This changeable theme is likely to continue throughout the following week, with spells of occasionally heavy rain accompanied by brisk winds, interspersed by brighter more showery conditions. Towards the end of this period there may be a transition towards more settled conditions in the south, with lighter winds and more in the way of drier weather developing. Temperatures should initially be milder than average, but are likely to trend downwards by the end of the period with a greater chance of overnight fog and frost.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 12 Dec 2018 to Wednesday 26 Dec 2018:

At the start of this period settled conditions should have developed across the UK, bringing some drier weather and lighter winds but also an increased likelihood of fog and overnight frost. However the second half of December will probably see a gradual return to breezier and much more unsettled conditions, with further spells of rain and strong winds, particularly in the north and northwest where there may be some hill snow. Temperatures should initially be below average, before trending back to normal and at times milder than average conditions by the end of the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Game over for December. We all know the drill. Nothing cold this side of 2019 now.

Wet and breezy at first

Drier midweek

Chance of overnight frost

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46366361 

New El Nino could bring flooding this winter, meteorologists warn

When the weather pattern last occurred in 2015-16, it was linked with droughts, flooding and coral bleaching.

https://news.sky.com/story/new-el-nino-could-bring-flooding-this-winter-meteorologists-warn-11565396?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral

UK Outlook for Monday 3 Dec 2018 to Wednesday 12 Dec 2018:

Monday and Tuesday look generally unsettled with rain and mild temperatures in the south, and some brighter, colder, more showery weather affecting the north. Gales are possible in places. Some frost is expected in the north, and the Scottish mountains could have some snow. The rest of the period is likely to see a more changeable pattern becoming established, with some longer spells of dry, albeit colder weather developing. The east and southeast should see the best of the drier conditions, with overnight frost and fog, whilst spells of wet and windy weather become more confined towards the west and northwest, with further hill snow in Scotland. There is a very low likelihood of a cold northerly pattern developing instead, in which snow showers could affect northern and eastern parts.

UK Outlook for Thursday 13 Dec 2018 to Thursday 27 Dec 2018:

The first few days of this period are likely to see an east to west split. Some wet and possibly windy weather is likely in the west, with the east having generally drier weather with some fog, frost and possibly some snow showers too. The second half of December looks most likely to see a return to generally more unsettled weather. Spells of rain and strong winds are set to spread across the British Isles from the west, although remaining most active across western and north-western areas. Temperatures may begin relatively mild in the west and southwest, but colder towards the east, perhaps becoming normal to mild across all parts for the second half of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

No sign of any prolonged cold weather just yet!

Wednesday 28 November—Sunday 2 December

Wet and windy but mild in the south

Wednesday will be a cloudy and very blustery day for most with outbreaks of rain sweeping north-eastwards across the country. Southerly winds will gust over 60mph through the afternoon over some exposed western coasts and hills along as well as over the Northern Isles. However, the rain and wind will ease for a time overnight. On Thursday, further rain and strong winds are expected to spread north-eastwards over England and Wales during the morning. The afternoon will then be brighter and less windy albeit with some heavy showers persisting over western areas. A bright but breezy day for many on Friday with sunny intervals and also a scattering of showers, the showers mainly in the west. This weekend, further outbreaks of rain are likely to spread from the west. There is some uncertainty over the northern extent of this rain. However, central and southern parts of the UK are likely to be often wet. Northern areas will see the best of any drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures often above the seasonal average in the south this week but staying nearer to normal in the north.

Monday 3 December—Sunday 9 December

Turning drier and calmer through the week

A mixed week is likely. The first part of the week is likely to see further outbreaks of rain spreading north-eastwards across the UK, accompanied by brisk winds. However, it will be rather mild. Through the middle to latter part of the week, there are signs that high pressure will move in from the south, bringing generally drier and calmer conditions for many. One or two night frosts are likely but daytime temperatures should be near or above the seasonal average. There is a risk, however, that wet and breezy conditions return to some western areas of the UK by the end of the week.

Monday 10 December—Sunday 23 December

Wet and breezy at times. Often quite mild.

In the second full week of December, we are likely to see the return of rain and brisk winds as low pressure areas re-emerge from the Atlantic. Generally, a lot of cloud is likely at times with outbreaks of rain spreading from west to east across the UK. On the whole, temperatures are expected to be near or slightly above the seasonal average. However, Scotland could be cold enough at times for some occasional snow mixed-in with the rain, even to low levels.

Into the third week of December, there are signs that the wet and windy conditions shift further north, becoming focused over Scotland and Northern Ireland. England and Wales are expected to become less wet and less windy. Southern and eastern areas of England, in particular, should become drier. Winds are likely to be often from a mild west or south-westerly direction with temperatures expected to be above the seasonal average. However, there does appear to be some risk that wet and windy conditions persist more widely across the UK.

Next Update

We will take a look at how the weather is shaping up going into the Christmas period. Will the mild conditions persist or are there chances of snow?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook?ns_linkname=news_central&ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_weather

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-46366961 

Spells of wind and rain

Drier interludes

Mild in the south

Chilly in the north

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46379407 

UK Outlook for Tuesday 4 Dec 2018 to Thursday 13 Dec 2018:

Tuesday and Wednesday look fairly unsettled with rain in the south where generally mild, and brighter, cooler and showery weather affecting the north. Gales are possible in places. Some frost is expected in the north, and the Scottish mountains could have some snow. The rest of the period is likely to see a more changeable pattern becoming established, with most places seeing some rainfall, but a lower likelihood of the longer spells of fine, dry weather between systems than previously suggested. As rainbands move into colder air, there is the increased chance of snow, mainly on northern hills. Northerly winds following rain-bearing systems could bring snow showers to northern parts at times. Temperatures generally around normal to above average in any windier and wetter spells.

UK Outlook for Friday 14 Dec 2018 to Friday 28 Dec 2018:

The first few days of this period are likely to see an east to west split. Some wet and possibly windy weather is likely in the west, with the east having generally drier weather with some fog, frost and possibly some snow showers too. The second half of December looks most likely to see a return to generally more unsettled weather. Spells of rain and strong winds are set to spread across the British Isles from the west, although remaining most active across western and northwestern areas. The start of the period may be relatively mild in the west and southwest, but colder towards the east, perhaps becoming milder across all parts for the second half of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast