The Weather Outlook

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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 July 2018 19:22:52

 

But given that you only measure to the nearest 0.1C then surely any average should be quoted to that level of precision as well so that would be 20.0C.

Originally Posted by: Col 

 Not in Gusty’s back yard!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Gusty
30 July 2018 19:32:40

Aahhh!  That’s cruel!  

Steve, I have my fingers crossed for you!  

Originally Posted by: Caz 

Thanks Caz. That Whether Idle character is a nastly brute. 

 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

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Whether Idle
30 July 2018 19:57:20

 

Thanks Caz. That Whether Idle character is a nastly brute. 

 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Savage. Good luck with your 20c Steve. Only managed once here, in July 2006.

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 July 2018 20:00:49

 Thanks Caz. That Whether Idle character is a nastly brute. 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

He has a good excuse!  He’s from Kent!  

Ooops!  

I love Kent actually!  There’s a lovely campsite at Kingsdown where you can sit and watch the moon rising over the sea!  Beautiful! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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redmoons
30 July 2018 20:29:18

Happy with my guess this month 9.15c 

Andrew,

Watford

ASL 35m

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IWATFO32 

LeedsLad123
30 July 2018 20:37:16

Happy with my guess this month 9.15c 

Originally Posted by: redmoons 

Was that your guess for July or January? 

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Global Warming
30 July 2018 20:52:01

Well as it happens redmoons should be very happy.

My latest calculations indicate that the CET is at 19.23C up to today. 

There will be a bit of a dip tomorrow. The latest output suggests a final figure of 19.15C. So we should comfortably finish above 19C.

redmoons
30 July 2018 21:47:28

 

Was that your guess for July or January? 

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

 

 opps 19.15c I meant 

Andrew,

Watford

ASL 35m

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IWATFO32 

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
31 July 2018 03:06:29

 

Was that your guess for July or January? 

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
31 July 2018 03:13:36

Well as it happens redmoons should be very happy.

My latest calculations indicate that the CET is at 19.23C up to today. 

There will be a bit of a dip tomorrow. The latest output suggests a final figure of 19.15C. So we should comfortably finish above 19C.

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Yay!  I knew we would (fibber).    

Well done Redmoons!  It was your month wasn’t it!  Red moon and all, although I didn’t get to see it as it was cloudy.  You had to win it.  

When is there a blue moon?  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Gusty
31 July 2018 09:26:04

After my average temperature of 20.15c yesterday my monthly average crept up a notch to 19.97c.

Last nights minimum temperature of 15.0c appears to have thwarted my personal 20c challenge sadly.

I would now need a maximum temperature of 26.6c today to achieve it. Given the moderate SW'ly flow off the channel today I'm likely to capped at 23c instead.

Close but no cigar with a month end average here of 19.95c expected instead 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

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Gusty
31 July 2018 10:11:47

He has a good excuse!  He’s from Kent!  

Ooops!  

I love Kent actually!  There’s a lovely campsite at Kingsdown where you can sit and watch the moon rising over the sea!  Beautiful! 

Originally Posted by: Caz 

A lovely campsite that gently slopes to the sea..the scout camp I believe ? If it is we've been there a few times over the years as its only 12 miles away. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

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Gusty
31 July 2018 10:14:05

 

But given that you only measure to the nearest 0.1C then surely any average should be quoted to that level of precision as well so that would be 20.0C.

Originally Posted by: Col 

It's not the same Col. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
31 July 2018 10:54:05

 

A lovely campsite that gently slopes to the sea..the scout camp I believe ? If it is we've been there a few times over the years as its only 12 miles away. 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

 That’s the one!  Beautiful views over the sea, some lovely walks around there and a nice quiet country pub in the village!  Perfect!  

Good luck with your July mean!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Gusty
31 July 2018 10:58:32

 That’s the one!  Beautiful views over the sea, some lovely walks around there and a nice quiet country pub in the village!  Perfect!  

Good luck with your July mean!  

Originally Posted by: Caz 

Yes. Kingsdown a lovely village. 

Thanks Caz  A drier westerly is blowing warmer air than expected. At noon I'm sitting on 23.0c. (Higher than I was expecting). The additional 3.5 degrees needed is a tall order but if that RH continues to drop there is an outside chance. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

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ARTzeman
31 July 2018 11:05:06

Met Office Hadley             19.3c.   Anomaly     3.3c. Provisonal to 30th.

Metcheck                          19.56c   Anomaly    3.10c

Netweather                       19.89c   Anomaly    3.4c

Mansfield Woodhouse  19.4c   Anomaly   1.4c

Peasedown st John   19.67c   Anomaly   1.13c

 Mean of 10 stations 19.67c.  



Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Bolty
31 July 2018 11:10:34

19.5 looks like it will be my final figure. By far the warmest July I've ever recorded.

Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

golfingmad
31 July 2018 11:58:21

Met Office Hadley             19.3c.   Anomaly     3.3c. Provisonal to 30th.

Metcheck                          19.56c   Anomaly    3.10c

Netweather                       19.89c   Anomaly    3.4c

Mansfield Woodhouse  19.4c   Anomaly   1.4c

Peasedown st John   19.67c   Anomaly   1.13c

 Mean of 10 stations 19.67c.  

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 

CET continues its downward dip. I do hope GW is right, with another coolish day today and any month end 'adjustments' it may well be tight to be 19.0C or over.

Cambridge and Winchmore Hill London N21.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
31 July 2018 12:20:38

 

CET continues its downward dip. I do hope GW is right, with another coolish day today and any month end 'adjustments' it may well be tight to be 19.0C or over.

Originally Posted by: golfingmad 

Hooefully they’re making tiny downward adjustments now so it won’t be such a shock at the end!    GW isn’t usually wrong. 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Gavin P
31 July 2018 12:49:48

Hooefully they’re making tiny downward adjustments now so it won’t be such a shock at the end!    

Originally Posted by: Caz 

Maybe they know there are hundreds of weather geeks all over the forums hanging on their every adjustment! 

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids

Darren S
31 July 2018 12:55:39

Well done Redmoons!  It was your month wasn’t it!  

Originally Posted by: Caz 

It's not over until the fat lady shivers! Maybe it will creep down a few hundredths and give me (and two others) the "golden thermometer" for July. 

Darren

Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)

South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:

2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm

redmoons
31 July 2018 13:09:05

 

It's not over until the fat lady shivers! Maybe it will creep down a few hundredths and give me (and two others) the "golden thermometer" for July. 

Originally Posted by: Darren S 

Yes I am not counting my chickens yet  its never in the bag with the met office calculations!

Andrew,

Watford

ASL 35m

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IWATFO32 

Hungry Tiger
31 July 2018 13:55:55

If they make a downward adjustment I hope its not more than 0.1C

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
31 July 2018 16:13:37

Maybe they know there are hundreds of weather geeks all over the forums hanging on their every adjustment! 

Originally Posted by: Gavin P 

Weather geeks?  Who would they be then?  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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golfingmad
31 July 2018 16:15:52

Hooefully they’re making tiny downward adjustments now so it won’t be such a shock at the end!    GW isn’t usually wrong. 

Originally Posted by: Caz 

I hope so. I think you mentioned earlier that last month's adjustment was 0.3C. If that happens again this month then a CET of at least 19.0C is looking shaky.

Cambridge and Winchmore Hill London N21.

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