The Weather Outlook

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Saint Snow
13 July 2018 08:07:25

It's barely stopped raining since late yesterday evening IMBY


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 08:38:19

I’m wondering where you’re all getting your rain from?  My weather app suggests it’s raining here now but it isn’t, although we do now have light cloud cover after a sunny start to the morning.  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Jiries
13 July 2018 08:50:45

I’m wondering where you’re all getting your rain from?  My weather app suggests it’s raining here now but it isn’t, although we do now have light cloud cover after a sunny start to the morning.  

Originally Posted by: Caz 

All the forecasts had been so wrong lately and not sure how we will get hot weekend if the clouds persist.  It now cast situation so only way to know is to look outside.  

Saint Snow
13 July 2018 09:02:48

I’m wondering where you’re all getting your rain from? 

Originally Posted by: Caz 

 

Mine's coming from the sky


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Bolty
13 July 2018 09:05:29
Had about 5.0mm of steady rain since sunrise. If anything this is what is needed initially due to the ground being so hard and cracked; it's at least helping to gradually soften it. Torrential downpours would have just created a flooding problem around here.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 09:11:17

Had about 5.0mm of steady rain since sunrise. If anything this is what is needed initially due to the ground being so hard and cracked; it's at least helping to gradually soften it. Torrential downpours would have just created a flooding problem around here.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

Just thinking about the situation up on the moors. Obviously this rain will help dampen down any remaining smouldering areas but it will need quite a prolonged wet spell to really soak into the peat and quell any deep seated hot-spots.


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 09:15:40

Mine's coming from the sky

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Blimey!  How much subscription do you pay for that?  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Bolty
13 July 2018 09:17:20

 

Just thinking about the situation up on the moors. Obviously this rain will help dampen down any remaining smouldering areas but it will need quite a prolonged wet spell to really soak into the peat and quell any deep seated hot-spots.

Originally Posted by: Col 

One of those dilemmas. I want some rain to help water the gardens, top the reservoirs up and put the fires out, but not ruin the rest of the summer. Rain after dry spells in this country has a habit of not knowing when to stop.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 09:32:22

 

One of those dilemmas. I want some rain to help water the gardens, top the reservoirs up and put the fires out, but not ruin the rest of the summer. Rain after dry spells in this country has a habit of not knowing when to stop.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

My sentiments too!    I’m careful what I wish for!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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bradders
13 July 2018 10:21:29

Drought broken spectacularly with a downpour here.

I'm feeling really sad about it.

Must be 40-50 days since the last rain IMBY (although, given my memory recollections about the temps, I wouldn't be 100% sure)

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

The last measurable rain here(more than 0.7mm) was on 30th May. That was till this morning of course, 7.8mm so far today.

I bought a new lawnmower on 6th June, i`ve not unpacked it from it`s box yet, all the lawns around here are brown and dead looking.


Eric. Cheadle Hulme, Stockport.

johncs2016
13 July 2018 10:46:14
Here in Edinburgh, we are now into day 23 of the absolute drought at both Edinburgh Gogarbank and the botanic gardens in Edinburgh. Here, I am in one of the areas which was forecast to see a possibility of some showers in the latter part of this afternoon.

However, there are no signs of that happening yet. The Sun has broken though as has been the norm for this month and all of the rain which is shown on the radar looks to be to a long way away and much too far to the south for me to believe that we will actually see any of that today.

Therefore, the drought in this part of the world goes on and after that, we are not likely have another chance of getting any rain until Monday according to the latest forecasts.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 10:51:57

 

One of those dilemmas. I want some rain to help water the gardens, top the reservoirs up and put the fires out, but not ruin the rest of the summer. Rain after dry spells in this country has a habit of not knowing when to stop.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

Of course yesterday's & today's rain is just a showety outbreak within a prolonged dry spell. Assuming we get the warm, dry and sunny weekend that has been forecast by Sunday evening it will look like nothing has happened. Beyond that there isn't any sign in the reliable timeframe at least of a pattern change to zonal westerlies, dartboard lows, sitting LPs that last for days. It jusrt seems to me to be a rather 'messier' picture, some warmth & sun around but a fair few showers as well.


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

speckledjim
13 July 2018 11:29:35
still nothing here....
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

johncs2016
13 July 2018 12:04:58
Looks like I might have spoke too soon as some really bright echoes have suddenly started to show on the radar map just to the SW of Edinburgh, and the sky in that direction is starting to get a bit dark now.

perhaps, our drought might be about to come to an end after all.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Frank H
13 July 2018 12:23:41

2.8mm here since 9.30 last night.

First rain since 19 June

Nothing last few hours and a lot brighter.


Wrightington, Wigan
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 12:31:08
I re moment taking a screenshot of this and framing it (can’t post the picture so you need to go to soil moisture, anomaly on the left menu):

http://edo.jrc.ec.europa.eu/edov2/php/index.php?id=1111 

A truly rare treat. Will we see its like again?


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
johncs2016
13 July 2018 12:39:52

I can confirm that it is now raining here in Edinburgh, and that is something which I haven't been able to say for a very long time (at least not since 20 June). All that is left is to see what totals are recorded at Edinburgh Gogarbank and the botanic gardens in Edinburgh as a result of that, but I think I can safely now that the drought is over here in Edinburgh.

Hopefully though, this doesn't end up being it for our summer as well.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
13 July 2018 13:40:17

It has been raining here in Edinburgh for a while, but the worst of this weather looks as though it is missing us to the east and south. As a result of that, just 0.2 mm of rain has been recorded from that so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank as at 2pm this afternoon with nothing at all at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

Since we need more than 0.2 mm of rain on any given day to officially end a drought, this means that our drought is technically speaking, not over yet at either of those two stations.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 14:29:12

I came out of Asda and it had been raining, it had even left little puddles and a dry patch where my car had been parked. Had to have a swipe of my windscreen wipers as well - I haven’t done that since 30th May.  So I drove the 4 miles back home.  Dry as a bone!  

Although, it is sunny and it’s possible we could have had a light shower and it’s dried up, but I was only out for an hour so it would have been nothing measurable. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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johncs2016
13 July 2018 14:50:20

In yet another twist to the tale, a further 0.2 mm was recorded during the last hour from that earlier shower at Edinburgh Gogarbank. That now takes today's total there to 0.4 mm which is just enough to officially end the drought there and no more, but not enough to make today an actual official rain day there.

As for the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, a total of 0.2 mm of rain was recorded there as at 2pm this afternoon according to both weathercast.co.uk and SEPA which is is not enough to technically end the drought at that particular station.

This means that as things stand just now, the drought is officially over at Edinburgh Gogarbank now, but not at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh according to weathercast.co.uk.

To make things more complicated though, the information from SEPA is still showing a total of just 0.2 mm for Edinburgh Gogarbank which means that the drought at Edinburgh Gogarbank is officially over according to weathercast.co.uk, but not according to SEPA.

I guess then, that we will need a bit more time and data to clarify that further.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
13 July 2018 15:50:10

No further change to the rainfall totals here in Edinburgh in the last hour and now, any further showers which are developing nearby are now dissipating as they reach here which means that we are unlikely to see any more additions to today's rainfall totals for the rest of today as long as that continues.

Despite the disagreement between weathercast.co.uk and SEPA over the rainfall totals at Edinburgh Gogarbank, I will go by the weathercast site as I normally do and report that a total of 0.4 mm has been recorded for today so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank, along with 0.2 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

This means that whilst the drought is officially over at Edinburgh Gogarbank, that is not the case at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh and the fact that the drought has not yet officially ended at one of my local stations means that as far as Edinburgh as a whole is concerned, the drought is not yet over.

We are now in day 23 of that drought and so now as a result of what I have mentioned above, that now looks set to go on for at least another day. In any case, these pitifully small amounts of rain are nowhere near enough for what those parched grass areas and gardens actually need and so on this basis, my decision to not declare the drought as being over here in Edinburgh is probably the correct one as far as I'm concerned.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Cumbrian Snowman
13 July 2018 19:03:31
22days and 23 hrs with no rain - had my first drops this morning just prior to Obs, but still nothing measurable.

So my dry period is over - nice record though, going to be a while before its broken


TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 19:50:14
Drought is over in a swathe of London from roughly Camberwell in the SE to Watford in the NW. They’ve had an hour and a half of a storm with echoes suggesting 50+mm per hour in places. Still bone dry here in SE4, but the drizzly outflow is starting to spread over here.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
LeedsLad123
13 July 2018 20:00:21
It's raining now, though not too heavily.

The drought is over but one shower isn't going to replenish the landscape.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2018 20:09:20

We’re still bone dry but there are some very black clouds visible and heading this way to my West from the Pennines!  A nice thunder storm after dark would end my drought nicely!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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