The Weather Outlook

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Chunky Pea
03 July 2018 17:30:32

After just one relatively cool day on Sunday, back into the mid 20s here again. Still 25c.

My max temps over the last 10 days:

26.4

26.7

28.9

30.9

31.1

30.8

29.1

19.0 

25.6

26.0

And tomorrow is to be warmer yet again. 

 

 

 

 

 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

LeedsLad123
03 July 2018 18:02:36
In other news, the GEM model shows 30C or more on 4 days in a row here from Monday next week. First time since 1995 if that happened.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
LeedsLad123
04 July 2018 11:28:53

Liking the look of this ECM chart for Sunday, Leeds the national hotspot. 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Maunder Minimum
04 July 2018 11:33:34

One thing about this spell - we have water heating solar panels on the garage roof and the boiler has not fired up for around four weeks now - so we are saving a fortune in heating oil and reducing our greenhouse gas footprint in the process.


New world order coming.
Joe Bloggs
04 July 2018 11:49:41

As forecast, no cloud has reached this area and it’s yet another very warm sunny day.

Currently 22C/9C

 

Super Cell
04 July 2018 19:13:02

 

ICON shows the cloud clearing by about 1pm here, but I'm still doubtful.

AROME shows it clearing by midday.

Guess we'll see.

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

It actually cleared before then. And what a lovely day it's been.


Farnley/Pudsey Leeds

40m asl

Gavin D
04 July 2018 19:29:20
Hosepipe ban for all of Ireland comes into force this Friday
Bolty
04 July 2018 20:33:57
Much warmer than expected today with a very large diurnal temperature range. A high of 28.6C this afternoon, up from a pretty cool 9.2C this morning.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

04 July 2018 21:50:40

Some very high temperatures showing up on the ARPEGE run this evening

Tomorrow 30C possible in parts of the East Midlands. Cooler further south due to cloud and a few sharp showers

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-28-0.png?04-18

31C across Central Southern England and into the London area on Friday

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-52-0.png?04-18

33C on Saturday - West Sussex, Surrey, London

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-76-0.png?04-18

34C on Sunday - London and west along the Thames Valley towards Reading. Likely to be the hottest day of the year so far

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-100-0.png?04-19

04 July 2018 21:57:18

North was best today for high temperatures. Scotland and Northern Ireland both seeing 28C+

Aviemore 28.8C

Castlederg 28.2C

Southern Ireland

Gurteen and Ballyhaise 27.5C

Jiries
04 July 2018 22:33:03

Some very high temperatures showing up on the ARPEGE run this evening

Tomorrow 30C possible in parts of the East Midlands. Cooler further south due to cloud and a few sharp showers

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-28-0.png?04-18

31C across Central Southern England and into the London area on Friday

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-52-0.png?04-18

33C on Saturday - West Sussex, Surrey, London

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-76-0.png?04-18

34C on Sunday - London and west along the Thames Valley towards Reading. Likely to be the hottest day of the year so far

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-100-0.png?04-19

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Nice and wondering how Monday will be like as I am off from work too.

superteacher
04 July 2018 22:39:26

Some very high temperatures showing up on the ARPEGE run this evening

Tomorrow 30C possible in parts of the East Midlands. Cooler further south due to cloud and a few sharp showers

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-28-0.png?04-18

31C across Central Southern England and into the London area on Friday

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-52-0.png?04-18

33C on Saturday - West Sussex, Surrey, London

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-76-0.png?04-18

34C on Sunday - London and west along the Thames Valley towards Reading. Likely to be the hottest day of the year so far

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2018070412/arpegeuk-41-100-0.png?04-19

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Seem to be a bit on the high side to me. Are the uppers really conducive to such values?

Chunky Pea
04 July 2018 23:17:48

 

Seem to be a bit on the high side to me. Are the uppers really conducive to such values?

Originally Posted by: superteacher 

Perhaps the Apegge has a better handle on the UK temps, but last week, they consistently over estimated the temps over here. They had me down for 33 to 35c for 3 days solid during the peak of the heatwave. Needless to say, the reality was closer to 30 to 31c. 

 

Best performing model in my books during this peak was HIRLAM. Both Harmonie and Apegge overestimated the potential temps, while the global models ECM and GFS underestimated them, and with the latter, by as much as 5 to 6c. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

05 July 2018 05:32:36

North was best today for high temperatures. Scotland and Northern Ireland both seeing 28C+

Aviemore 28.8C

Castlederg 28.2C

Southern Ireland

Gurteen and Ballyhaise 27.5C

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Final hotspot for yesterday was Giants Causeway with 29.1C

doctormog
05 July 2018 06:04:49
I would have thought that was a very unusual location for a U.K. max (and a notably high value for the location).
Chunky Pea
05 July 2018 06:36:24

Southern Ireland

Gurteen and Ballyhaise 27.5C

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

28.0c max at Markee Castle (Connacht) yesterday. 

 

Edit, that should read Mt. Dillon and not Markee Castle. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Super Cell
05 July 2018 07:20:22

Yet another gorgeous start here. It's not often we record 20C at 8am, but today is that day!

 

Last night was a tad uncomfortable to say the least.


Farnley/Pudsey Leeds

40m asl

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
05 July 2018 07:34:55
A muggy morning here. Cloudy again, but warmer than yesterday. Feels like rain in the offing.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
The Beast from the East
05 July 2018 10:02:07

A muggy morning here. Cloudy again, but warmer than yesterday. Feels like rain in the offing.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

If only!

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

JHutch
05 July 2018 16:59:11

Motherwell's 33.2C has been investigated and is not accepted. Official record high for Scotland remains the 32.9C at Greycrook in 2003.

 

https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

johncs2016
05 July 2018 17:33:18

Motherwell's 33.2C has been investigated and is not accepted. Official record high for Scotland remains the 32.9C at Greycrook in 2003.

 

https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Originally Posted by: JHutch 

Great!!

As if England winning on penalties wasn't bad enough for us Scots, Scotland then gets robbed of its temperature record as well which is just like the thing.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

richardabdn
05 July 2018 21:49:05

What a bizarre reason for rejecting the reading. How on earth would a car parked near the station have that much effect? Yet Heathrow readings are acceptable despite planes spewing out garbage onto that all day long. Not to mention the junk readings from Brogdale which are excessively sheltered yet allowed to stand.


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything

2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November

2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits

2025 - The Weekend Curse hell intensifies

johncs2016
05 July 2018 22:47:23
From what has happened with this reading in Motherwell, maybe it's time that Scotland had its own equivalent to the UK Met Office because at the end of the day, I would like to have seen whether or not, this record would have been allowed to stand if that had happened somewhere in England, rather than here in Scotland.

Sounds to me as though, this is just one example of the so-called "UK" Met Office, really just being the "English" Met Office.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

LeedsLad123
05 July 2018 23:10:38
Talk about sour grapes.. get over it guys.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
06 July 2018 05:36:22

Hotspot yesterday was Coton-in-the-Elms with 31.2C

Similar highs likely today as ARPEGE only just squeezes out 30C to the west of London

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=3&mode=41&map=330

Hotter tomorrow with 33C expected

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=3&mode=41&map=330

The model still wants to reach 34C quite widely across the central south on Sunday as it has done for the past couple of days

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=3&mode=41&map=330

Slightly less hot on Monday with 32C

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=3&mode=41&map=330

The long range forecast last night still suggested that after some slightly cooler temperatures in the middle of next week it will turn very hot again towards next weekend. Staying dry throughout.

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