The Weather Outlook

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picturesareme
Wednesday, May 30, 2018 1:04:51 AM
Its nice warm yet refreshing rain tonight. My walk home at 1.15am with just my t-shirt was so nice - certainly not cold!

It's still very mild circa 16C

DEW
  • DEW
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Wednesday, May 30, 2018 6:19:32 AM

I'm mildly surprised that after yesterday's reports that there are only Flood Alerts not Warnings  i.e. only lowest level; or perhaps the most intense action was quite local, not the widespread intensity needed for major flooding. Highest MetO rainfall in the SE was at Frittenden near Tonbridge, 26.8 mm, but there must have been higher totals in between the official network.

https://www.floodalerts.com/

but the map shows where the action was.

My daughter who works in the Blackfriars area says that the Fleet river was escaping from its underground course and finding its way into local basements.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

picturesareme
Wednesday, May 30, 2018 6:37:32 AM
16mm rain fell overnight at one local station.
Caz
  • Caz
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Wednesday, May 30, 2018 7:27:12 AM

Radar showing lightning just to my East and I think I just heard a rumble!  We’ve missed out on anything more than a brief shower over the past couple of weeks, so we need it.  Although given the flooding some areas have experienced, I’m careful what I wish for!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Caz
  • Caz
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Wednesday, May 30, 2018 7:30:14 AM

  Right on cue!  Rain just started!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Rob K
Wednesday, May 30, 2018 8:05:21 AM
Had a couple of spells of very heavy rain last night around 2am, fortunately I only caught the edge of one on the way home on my bike. Very muggy this morning.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Caz
  • Caz
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Wednesday, May 30, 2018 9:12:33 AM

It’s stopped raining now.  No lightning but we had some very heavy bursts, you know when it’s been heavy when bits of rubbish float out of the garage!  Must get that soakaway drain rodded!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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NMA
  • NMA
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 5:48:56 AM

Some interesting looking activity approaching from France. Maybe today will be the first proper thundery spell for this part of Dorset in the current flabby low scenario?


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

haghir22
Thursday, May 31, 2018 6:22:29 AM

Some interesting looking activity approaching from France. Maybe today will be the first proper thundery spell for this part of Dorset in the current flabby low scenario?

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Definitely a case of look South.....


YNWA
NMA
  • NMA
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 6:35:57 AM

 Definitely a case of look South.....

Originally Posted by: haghir22 

Indeed. Still on track  I see. I have a meeting in Weymouth at 10am. Will take the brolly.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

AJ*
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 9:04:29 AM

Looks from the radar that there's a storm just heading towards me from the south-east as I type.

I've just read on Yahoo News that France has had some big storms - see if this link works...

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/eight-million-bottles-worth-champagne-170200949.html

Angus


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

warrenb
Thursday, May 31, 2018 9:20:07 AM

Just started raining here, which is good as it stops the gardeners in the next door garden strimming which is driving me nuts. How bad does your garden have to be for it to be strimmed for 2 hours.


NMA
  • NMA
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 9:53:36 AM

The thundery? rain over the Channel earlier is fizzling out as it approaches us but maybe another shot at a first proper thunderstorm of the year for here later? 


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Arcus
Thursday, May 31, 2018 10:03:59 AM

The thundery? rain over the Channel earlier is fizzling out as it approaches us but maybe another shot at a first proper thunderstorm of the year for here later? 

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Given that a large chunk of Dorset is under an amber warning from 16.00 I'd say you definitely have a chance.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-05-31

 


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Gray-Wolf
Thursday, May 31, 2018 10:21:45 AM

Well MetO's updated warning puts us in the Yellow for tomorrow but I'm still not giving up on seeing some flash bangs this evening as the storms from our South make it further north and the Hills 'pep them up' as they arrive over the Peak District.

Stay safe all the chasers out there, never trust flood waters!

EDIT: India/Pakistan have been hammered by storms through May ( 250 deaths so far!) and their studies into enhanced Lightening rates could not find any 'pattern' to years with enhanced rates other than if the year kicks off with high strike rates then the rest of the season will follow suit.

Seeing as we have started the year with high strike rates ( even the April 'plume' that passed over the east of the UK) I'm expecting anything that develops to follow suit and have epic strike rates....... remember how to avoid being struck please!


Koyaanisqatsi

ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.

VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS

The Beast from the East
Thursday, May 31, 2018 1:17:29 PM

Mailonline falsely reporting that a Red warning has been issued

As far as I'm aware its only Amber

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

NMA
  • NMA
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 1:53:31 PM

Mailonline falsely reporting that a Red warning has been issued

As far as I'm aware its only Amber

 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

That's what I thought but the hyperbole seems Expressesion in its nature. Have the papers merged?

A 'toxic cocktail' whatever next?

Unless the rainfall perks ups bit and of course it might, things look pretty benign again in this part of Dorset.

Maybe tomorrow or the day after then for the first thunderstorm of the year here.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

POD
  • POD
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 3:57:25 PM

Storm, not frequent lightning and thunder but some very loud claps.

rr/hr 51.6mm

4.6 mm


Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex, 121m asl.
Stewart
Thursday, May 31, 2018 4:43:53 PM
Period of very heavy rain late afternoon, thunder and lightning, roads flooded near Wantage. Looks like more to come.
Stewart

Southmoor or Harwell, Oxfordshire

JHutch
Thursday, May 31, 2018 4:45:30 PM

Seeing photos of flooding in Haywards Heath, 21mm recorded in the hour up to 1700 at nearby Wych Cross (East Sussex)

NMA
  • NMA
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 4:46:46 PM

All came to nothing here in South Dorset. Maybe tonight as the Amber warnings are still valid. Or even tomorrow?

It's a bit like forecasting snow and where it will fall.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Jeff
  • Jeff
  • Advanced Member
Thursday, May 31, 2018 4:57:20 PM

Seeing photos of flooding in Haywards Heath, 21mm recorded in the hour up to 1700 at nearby Wych Cross (East Sussex)

Originally Posted by: JHutch 

 

https://www.midsussextimes.co.uk/news/video-flash-floods-hit-haywards-heath-1-8517785

 

 


On the East/West Sussex Border

70m ASL

Clare
Thursday, May 31, 2018 5:10:50 PM
I'm bang in the middle of Haywards Heath and Wych Cross..torrential rain for about 90mins, very loud claps of thunder. Drain on drive struggled to cope with volume so had to venture out in it to clear it of leaves etc before it came into the house.
On the Mid Sussex downs,156m amsl on ridge near Ardingly. Igloo built in our garden,2010, lasted till march !
Arcus
Thursday, May 31, 2018 5:15:35 PM
Looks like these showers are prodigious rainmakers rather than being hugely electrically active, but no less severe in terms of impacts for some.
Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

RobN
  • RobN
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Thursday, May 31, 2018 8:35:23 PM

I'm in SE Gloucestershire at the moment and there's frequent T&L and intermittent tropical downpours. Even in half-light there's a very dark threatening sky to my east over Oxfordshire with frequent lightning flickering.


Rob

In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.

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