The Weather Outlook

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The Beast from the East
29 May 2018 15:07:39

torrential now

garage getting flooded again

roads outside turning to rivers


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

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The Beast from the East
29 May 2018 15:12:09

hammering down, town centre valley likely to have some flash flooding as usual. Seems to happen every summer now

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Brian Gaze
29 May 2018 15:15:37

Massive rain here this afternoon. Can't recall seeing my veg plot flooded before! Sensational weather during the last few days. Heat, tornado See https://www.mix96.co.uk/news/local/2591108/videos-tornado-hits-marsworth/) , thunderstorms and torrential rain. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Retron
29 May 2018 15:42:34
Utter gridlock for a while this afternoon around the Medway Towns and Sittingbourne/Faversham!

We had more rain at work [in Sittingbourne] than I've seen there in 10 years and the roads around the school flooded to a good 9 inches of depth in places. The A2 past the school was a complete mess when I left, with Google Maps showing the dreaded dark red with gaps... meaning people haven't moved for so long that Google assumes the road is devoid of traffic!

Plenty of thunder around as well.

Meanwhile at home (12 miles away) there's been around 18mm of rain today... a fair bit, but not exceptional.


Leysdown, north Kent
Darren S
29 May 2018 15:46:30

We're not far from all those reporting copious amounts of rain. Since Friday morning we've had a couple of brief showers, only 0.9mm in total on the AWS rain gauge. A bit of distant lightning on Saturday evening but nothing otherwise.


Darren

Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)

South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:

2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm

Arcus
29 May 2018 16:14:57
Some very intense storms over the Netherlands and Germany currently. Some of the Dutch storms are dipping their toes in the sea, but moving very slowly.
Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
29 May 2018 17:06:02

Torrential rain here in Tonbridge at the moment.  We're right under the area of heaviest ppn shown on the rainfall radar, from which I estimate the rate to be around 70mm/hour.  (Sorry no measurement myself - I don't have a weather station.)

Angus


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

Arcus
29 May 2018 18:17:24
The steady northward increase in influence of the continental low pressure is evident with the pattern and direction of those storms over the low countries. It will be interesting to see how their integrity is maintained over the sea in the next few hours.
Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Heavy Weather 2013
29 May 2018 18:25:58
Lots of disruption today. I wonder - did some places merit a orange warning at least?
Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

Darren S
29 May 2018 18:27:16

We just had our first rumble of thunder of this spell loud enough to be heard indoors. Only 0.6mm of rain so far today whereas a PWS just 7.5 miles away north of Bracknell has had over 20mm.


Darren

Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)

South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:

2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm

Gusty
29 May 2018 18:31:13

27.4mm from today's downpours. Occasional thunder too. 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

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Rob K
29 May 2018 19:04:57

We're not far from all those reporting copious amounts of rain. Since Friday morning we've had a couple of brief showers, only 0.9mm in total on the AWS rain gauge. A bit of distant lightning on Saturday evening but nothing otherwise.

Originally Posted by: Darren S 

Yes we've had very little, although looking at the radar some heavier showers have made it to Yateley in the past hour (I'm still in London, where it is dry again after a very wet day with lengthy thunderstorms)


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

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Arcus
29 May 2018 19:15:40
Well those storms are maintaining themselves thus far over the southern north sea. EA and Essex may get a swipe tonight.
Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

ballamar
29 May 2018 19:24:17
Get your armbands ready if you are in north Kent !!
Darren S
29 May 2018 19:31:01

 

Yes we've had very little, although looking at the radar some heavier showers have made it to Yateley in the past hour (I'm still in London, where it is dry again after a very wet day with lengthy thunderstorms)

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

We've had 0.9mm of rain this evening so that's more than doubled our total since last Friday! About three rumbles of thunder too.


Darren

Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)

South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:

2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm

Phil G
29 May 2018 19:42:46

Well those storms are maintaining themselves thus far over the southern north sea. EA and Essex may get a swipe tonight.

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

Yes a line aimed at North Kent and a large clump heading towards Essex and Suffolk.

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/mobile

 

sunny coast
29 May 2018 19:45:01

nothing more than a few spots here this eve, a very grey and overcast humid day 2mm from the rain early this morning

Arcus
29 May 2018 20:05:58
Big MCS clusters moving over towards EA, Essex and Kent. Big rainmakers.
Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Polar Low
29 May 2018 20:28:10

sky a strange tint of red odd flash in the distance approx 15 miles from coast now

some clusters are holding

http://www.lightningmaps.org/#x=;m=sat;r=0;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=;n=0;

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/will-it-rain-today/#?tab=map&map=Rainfall&zoom=5&lon=-4.00&lat=55.74&fcTime=1527580800

 with interest  from SC

http://www.estofex.org/

 

 

 

Big MCS clusters moving over towards EA, Essex and Kent. Big rainmakers.

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

ozone_aurora
29 May 2018 21:10:59

Big MCS clusters moving over towards EA, Essex and Kent. Big rainmakers.

Originally Posted by: Arcus 



The cold waters of the NS will not affect it as it is a high level type storm.

ozone_aurora
29 May 2018 21:12:22

I'll try again in another thread.

What is the source of this unstable atmosphere? 

To what I'm getting at, for example, in a typical Atlantic low pressure in UK in summer, the Polar Maritime or Returning Polar Maritime from Greenland is the source of unstable air flowing over strongly heated land generating convection, but what about in this current synopsis? 

Thanks.

Arcus
29 May 2018 21:20:51



The cold waters of the NS will not affect it as it is a high level type storm.

Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 

You are correct to some extent in terms of their genesis, but they are now rooting into lower layers and I suspect they will be rain machines as they move onwards rather than the big lightning producers that they were over Holland as they evolve.


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Arcus
29 May 2018 21:35:54

I'll try again in another thread.

What is the source of this unstable atmosphere? 

To what I'm getting at, for example, in a typical Atlantic low pressure in UK in summer, the Polar Maritime or Returning Polar Maritime from Greenland is the source of unstable air flowing over strongly heated land generating convection, but what about in this current synopsis? 

Thanks.

Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 

You've answered your own question in what you've said.

Currently we have moisture being pumped north from the Med via the HP to the N/NE combined with low pressure over France/Spain. We often get this set-up in a transitory scenario where we have warm air adverted north before an LP system moves in from the west ("Three fine days and then a thunderstorm"). The difference here is that we have blocking also to the west and north with a cut-off low providing the heat pump, therefore we have sustained moisture, heat and instability for some areas, with no clear run for the Atlantic to smash through the block.

Your Atlantic LP PM scenario will give classic popcorn showers or storms, but is never conducive to high CAPE or long term instability due to the mobile nature of the Atlantic push.


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Arcus
29 May 2018 22:19:18
Signs now that the system of ex-storms is possibly becoming a convective cyclonic structure with an eye currently north of Amsterdam. Yuk.
Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

ballamar
29 May 2018 22:31:33
Gonna be a lively night in the SE!

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