00z UKMO is another great run for settled weather

Yes looking good again, although the latter stages of the ECM turn more unsettled. Still that's miles off and will probably change.

Tbh, it's getting to the point when the garden could do with a good soaking, there's been no significant rain here for ages.

Isn't May usually a good month for Scotland and less good for the rest of us?

Don't say that! The ground is basically rock solid now after being sodden throughout March and most of April.

Looks OK - just keep the green rubbish out of the way.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

Quite a pleasant outlook for the week ahead.

Ems for the East Midlands.

High pressure firmly in charge until the weekend, though with decaying fronts giving cloudy conditions from time to time. After that, the general tendency seems to be for two high pressure centres, one over Scandi and the other the Azores high, sometime linking up strongly, sometimes withdrawing a bit to leave the British Isles in a col, or maybe even local low pressure drifting up from France.

Pleased it's looking dry for the foreseeable after all the rain I had during April and March

Interesting that both GFS and ECM are in reasonable agreement throughout the run. General tendency for low pressure to become established over France but a predominating axis of high pressure running NE/SW is providing a tantalising prospect of prolonged dry and warm weather for the majority.

Going forward it will interesting to see if this potential blocking pattern becomes even more firmly established into June. 

Possibly. However it doesn't look a million miles from the type of set-up that the Meteo France seasonal has been showing.

12z UKMO keeps the high with us into next week it doesn't look like it will be going anytime soon

Looks like a high pressure fest for now.

Amazing 12z from GFS, wall to wall high pressure in various permutations right out and beyond. The previous mid-term 'blip' has been shunted east. Not sure if I can remember a run quite like this.

Yes, and even Gavin P. was saying on today's main video that he is likely to be struggling to be able to find anything to talk about in his videos if that sort of pattern keeps up for any length of time. That in turn shows just how boring and uneventful our weather can be at times as I've mentioned on a number of occasions on at least one other thread on this forum.

Having said that though, I would have though that if we were just few weeks further on from now, a high pressure fest would be greatly welcomed as this is one of the components which make up a decent summer after all.

If this were July we’d be looking at a fortnight of temperatures around the 25-27C mark. If it were January we’d have a couple of frigid, frosty weeks.

That has very warm potentially even hot written all over it for these parts. Southern coastal often get significantly warmer then the rest of the country at this time of year when a slack high bringing winds from the NE quarter...

Take the past couple of days for example.

Another cracker from UKMO with high pressure always close by

Would be brilliant if this pattern can hold on through summer. After a long winter, I see no reason why we can't get a long summer

Its very rare to get all three summer months warm and dry in the UK, even in the best summers, you nearly always got one dodgy month at least.

The outlook looks dry and warm for now.

Even rarer in summers in years ending in "8"

Last one was 1878 !

Just a statistical quirk I know, but expecting July and August to go downhill. June might be ok-ish.

Still looks good.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

I could be *completely* wrong about this but if the GFS 06z verified perhaps we would be close to a record breaking +ve pressure anomaly across the UK for late May. If you know otherwise don't be scared to say! https://t.co/U7KMfgZWct pic.twitter.com/0ICJJwqcuK

— TheWeatherOutlook (@TWOweather) May 16, 2018

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Hi all I am still checking the Model Charts predictions.

The High Pressure remains with us this week and even further down to about 24th May it seems.

It looks being a mixed bag as far as any significant sunshine and also warmth is concerned.

Some warm weather, cloudy days and sunny days, light winds most of the next 12 days is expected, and it could be turning very warm at times too, but then less warm and even cool days are expected by the UKMO, GFS and ECMWF at the moment.

Later on by day 9-11 significantly warmer and sunnier weather could happen- but this is not yet agreed to say it is expected to happen, it might!.

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I'm wondering why there is now a recurring theme of HP over Scandinavia over the last few months. Before this it was considered a real rarity. Something must have changed.