100mm+ of rain in 48 hours over a large swathe of central France. Stalling cold front. Up to 100mm in a week in a lot of Central Europe. For once the U.K. is looking a lot better than the continent.

---

Something of an upgrade to this week's weather, with the main models showing more extensive HP and a warm source of air (though extreme NW and SE cooler at times with onshore breezes).But the longer range from GFS has gone downhill with a depression off SW Britain now predicted for the bank holiday weekend. Well, that's MRFs and bank holidays for you

---

Something of an upgrade to this week's weather, with the main models showing more extensive HP and a warm source of air (though extreme NW and SE cooler at times with onshore breezes).But the longer range from GFS has gone downhill with a depression off SW Britain now predicted for the bank holiday weekend. Well, that's MRFs and bank holidays for you

I remember when the last bank holiday was deep in FI GFS for a number of runs showed a potent northerly blast. The reality couldn't have been more different. Always worth watching but as we all know the models can flip in an instant and all I would be confident to predict is that there will be some weather at the bank holiday weekend :)

Sames goes for the royal wedding next weekend. At one point the runs were showing a deppresion in the channel, making for a thoroughly wet and miserable day in southern England. I know it's still 6 days away and not 'nailed on' but it looks like being warm and sunny for that day. A sudden reapearance of that channel low would be most unlikely at this stage.

 

---

Looking promising for next weekend with high pressure building during the week, turning out to being a good month thus far

---

00z UKMO is another great run for settled weather

Yes looking good again, although the latter stages of the ECM turn more unsettled. Still that's miles off and will probably change.

Tbh, it's getting to the point when the garden could do with a good soaking, there's been no significant rain here for ages.

Isn't May usually a good month for Scotland and less good for the rest of us?

---

Yes looking good again, although the latter stages of the ECM turn more unsettled. Still that's miles off and will probably change.

Tbh, it's getting to the point when the garden could do with a good soaking, there's been no significant rain here for ages.

Don't say that! The ground is basically rock solid now after being sodden throughout March and most of April.

---

Looks OK - just keep the green rubbish out of the way.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

 

---

 

 

 

---

High pressure firmly in charge until the weekend, though with decaying fronts giving cloudy conditions from time to time. After that, the general tendency seems to be for two high pressure centres, one over Scandi and the other the Azores high, sometime linking up strongly, sometimes withdrawing a bit to leave the British Isles in a col, or maybe even local low pressure drifting up from France.

---

High pressure firmly in charge until the weekend, though with decaying fronts giving cloudy conditions from time to time. After that, the general tendency seems to be for two high pressure centres, one over Scandi and the other the Azores high, sometime linking up strongly, sometimes withdrawing a bit to leave the British Isles in a col, or maybe even local low pressure drifting up from France.

 

Pleased it's looking dry for the foreseeable after all the rain I had during April and March

---

Interesting that both GFS and ECM are in reasonable agreement throughout the run. General tendency for low pressure to become established over France but a predominating axis of high pressure running NE/SW is providing a tantalising prospect of prolonged dry and warm weather for the majority.

Going forward it will interesting to see if this potential blocking pattern becomes even more firmly established into June. 

---

Interesting that both GFS and ECM are in reasonable agreement throughout the run. General tendency for low pressure to become established over France but a predominating axis of high pressure running NE/SW is providing a tantalising prospect of prolonged dry and warm weather for the majority.

Going forward it will interesting to see if this potential blocking pattern becomes even more firmly established into June. 

Possibly. However it doesn't look a million miles from the type of set-up that the Meteo France seasonal has been showing.

---

Looks like a high pressure fest for now.

---

Amazing 12z from GFS, wall to wall high pressure in various permutations right out and beyond. The previous mid-term 'blip' has been shunted east. Not sure if I can remember a run quite like this.

 

---

Looks like a high pressure fest for now.

Yes, and even Gavin P. was saying on today's main video that he is likely to be struggling to be able to find anything to talk about in his videos if that sort of pattern keeps up for any length of time. That in turn shows just how boring and uneventful our weather can be at times as I've mentioned on a number of occasions on at least one other thread on this forum.

Having said that though, I would have though that if we were just few weeks further on from now, a high pressure fest would be greatly welcomed as this is one of the components which make up a decent summer after all.

 

---

12z UKMO keeps the high with us into next week it doesn't look like it will be going anytime soon

---