14 day discussion The 14 day discussion is usually updated twice each week. Changeable through the week Week 1: 09/10 to 15/10 Friday: Windy. Showers or longer spells of rain push southeastwards through the day, but there will be sunny intervals too. The driest conditions are likely to be in the south and east. Saturday: Sunny spells and blustery showers, which will be the heaviest and most frequent in the north and west. Feeling chilly, particularly in the north. Sunday: After a chilly start with patchy ground frost and fog, sunny spells develop widely. Scattered showers are likely, but many places remain dry. Later in the day cloud builds from the west. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday: Changeable. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible in all regions, but there will be significant differences across the UK. In the north west there is the potential for strong winds and very wet conditions, whilst in the south east amounts of rain are likely to be below the average. Temperatures fluctuate, but it is likely to feel warm at times in the south where temperatures could climb into the low 20Cs. Forecast confidence is high falling to moderate. Ad-free browsing and premium features Subscribe to The Weather Outlook Premium to enjoy ad-free browsing and extra features. Subscribe on a recurring monthly basis or for a fixed 12 month period. Find out more: The Weather Outlook Premium Mixed weather continues Week 2: 16/10 to 22/10 Mixed conditions are expected. In the south there should be a reasonable amount of dry weather. However, showers or longer outbreaks of rain and strong winds are likely at times, mostly in the north and north west. Temperatures are forecast to be a little above the norm overall, although rather chilly nights are possible in drier and clearer periods.That also leads to the chance of mist, fog and patchy frost forming on some nights. Forecast confidence is very low. Expected developments Week 1 A changeable pattern persists through the week. Initially a chilly northwesterly flow will cover the UK, but later on areas of low pressure will generally track northeastwards, taking them close to Ireland and north western Britain. The chart below is from the UK Met Global model. It shows forecast surface conditions at 15:00 Monday 12th October. Week 2 High pressure continues to have influence, with most models showing it centred to the south or southwest of the UK. It suggests that conditions will be more mixed in the north of the UK than the south. The chart below shows the GEFS forecast mean surface level pressure on Sunday 18th October. Key developments Changeable weather is forecast for much of the period. The driest conditions are likely to be in the south and east, the wettest in the north and west. The UKV chart shows forecast temperatures at 15:00 on Saturday 10th October.