Dreaming of a white Christmas?

Can we expect snow this Christmas? Until a few days before the big day it's usually not possible to say with any certainty, but that doesn't stop us taking a fun look ahead as we count down to December 25th.   
 
 

Christmas 2014: Snow on northern hills?

Christmas weather forecast introduction

Welcome to our dedicated Christmas 2014 weather forecast page. The 'computer says' section provides a daily update and 'TheWeatherOutlook says' section is usually updated weekly and suggest a very different picture. Who will be right?

 

TheWeatherOutlook says

December 25th is now within the range of the GFS/GEFS medium range forecasting model. Despite this it is too early to be entirely confident about the prospects.

The current update increases the chances of snow falling on Christmas day in the north and makes no change for the south. A continuation of the current fairly mobile pattern is forecast during the run up the big day. Colder incursions remain more likely in northern regions with milder air more frequently pushing into the south.

Given the general outlook the best chance of seeing snow falling on the big day remains over higher ground in northern parts of the UK. Because of the mobile and changeable outlook a call on the Christmas day weather may not be made until December 22nd this year.

Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Remember that forecasting specific days at longer ranges accurately is considered next to impossible in the UK with current technology so the Xmas outlook should be viewed as fun until December. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below.

Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day
North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 24%
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 15%

Forecast issued
Update 15, 13/12/2014

The computer says [Issued 18/12/2014 17:34:00]

The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right?
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north.
  • Cold but dry conditions are expected in Scotland
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands.

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