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Offline Gavin P  
#1 Posted : 18 May 2019 13:25:52(UTC)
Gavin P

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 35,102
Man
United Kingdom

Hello folks,

Here's the week ahead forecast including the traditional Gavins Thoughts

https://www.gavsweathervids.com/weather-forecast-for-the-week-ahead.php

A showery but quite warm start then cool and wet towards the end of the week.

Thanks as ever for your support and to Brian and the mods for making it happen! 

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://gavsweathervids.com/

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Offline Solar Cycles  
#2 Posted : 18 May 2019 13:37:13(UTC)
Solar Cycles

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/09/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,159
Man
Location: Blackburn Lancs

Summer is around the corner but the outlook is far from summery Gav. I still think the SE could well be the place for an extended warm/hot spell some point during the summer with the rest of UK being decidedly average at best.
Offline Hungry Tiger  
#3 Posted : 18 May 2019 13:44:35(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,591
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Cheers Gavin - A big thanks.

Gavin S.

UserPostedImage

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Online idj20  
#4 Posted : 18 May 2019 14:50:25(UTC)
idj20

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 26,614
Man
Location: Folkestone (near the coast)

Cheers as always Mr GP. Looks decidedly average for May.

Offline Caz  
#5 Posted : 18 May 2019 16:03:20(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 17,558
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Many thanks Gavin!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Gavin P  
#6 Posted : 18 May 2019 16:46:46(UTC)
Gavin P

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 35,102
Man
United Kingdom

^^^^

Thanks guys! 

SC I've got to say with one week to go I'm really struggling with this Summer. 

Edited by user 19 May 2019 00:13:56(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://gavsweathervids.com/

Offline ARTzeman  
#7 Posted : 19 May 2019 10:25:54(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 25,219
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Thank you for your thoughts, Gavin. The mix is better than frost.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Solar Cycles  
#8 Posted : 19 May 2019 14:21:40(UTC)
Solar Cycles

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/09/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,159
Man
Location: Blackburn Lancs

Originally Posted by: Gavin P Go to Quoted Post

^^^^

Thanks guys! 

SC I've got to say with one week to go I'm really struggling with this Summer. 

I think summers are even harder to forecast than winters. 

Online moomin75  
#9 Posted : 19 May 2019 15:31:46(UTC)
moomin75

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 24/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 5,029

Originally Posted by: Gavin P Go to Quoted Post

^^^^

Thanks guys! 

SC I've got to say with one week to go I'm really struggling with this Summer. 

To be honest Gav I don't think you will be far wrong if you go for average to below average temps and rather unsettled this year. It is not looking good this year.

My prediction is:

 

June: Temps average to just below average. Precipitation above average.

July: Temps near to average. Precipitation well above average.

August: Temps cool to very cool. Precipitation above average.

 

A very disappointing summer on the way in my view.

Witney, Oxfordshire

100m ASL

Offline Gavin P  
#10 Posted : 19 May 2019 18:34:44(UTC)
Gavin P

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 35,102
Man
United Kingdom

^^^^

Thanks guys. 

SC yes summer is the hardest season IMO as most of the "drivers" like QBO, ENSO etc don't "work" in Summer.

Thanks Moomin.

That would be a shocking Summer! 

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://gavsweathervids.com/

Offline AJ*  
#11 Posted : 21 May 2019 08:15:05(UTC)
AJ*

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 17/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 638
Location: Tonbridge, Kent

Thanks Gavin.  ALIWBM in places because of the murky conditions.  Looks as though you had to work a bit hard to get it in this week

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