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Offline Solar Cycles  
#61 Posted : 09 April 2019 20:50:08(UTC)
Solar Cycles

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Posts: 18,299
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Location: Blackburn Lancs

Originally Posted by: David M Porter Go to Quoted Post


We'd best not go down that road in here, guys.


😁

Offline Gandalf The White  
#62 Posted : 09 April 2019 23:03:05(UTC)
Gandalf The White

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Originally Posted by: David M Porter Go to Quoted Post


We'd best not go down that road in here, guys.



The Climate Forum may have been lost but the behaviours and stupidity of certain 'contributors' that were the cause are alive and well, unfortunately.

Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.2N 0.5E
Brexit: proof that you can fool people into making a stupid choice
Offline David M Porter  
#63 Posted : 10 April 2019 07:10:39(UTC)
David M Porter

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Joined: 03/08/2006(UTC)
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Location: Lenzie, Kirkintilloch, Glasgow

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White Go to Quoted Post


 


The Climate Forum may have been lost but the behaviours and stupidity of certain 'contributors' that were the cause are alive and well, unfortunately.



I won't make any comment here about who and what were responsible for the demise of the climate forum; I think Brian said all that needed to be said about the matter in that forum at the time of its closure and in a post he made several weeks ago in the thread in UIA about the recent school climate strikes (I don't think that thread is there now FWIW, guess it must have been deleted).

Edited by user 10 April 2019 07:17:32(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

"Sometimes what we accept as the truth may not be the full story".
Hercule Poirot (David Suchet)
Offline Roger Parsons  
#64 Posted : 10 April 2019 08:04:23(UTC)
Roger Parsons

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Joined: 23/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,097
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Location: Lincolnshire

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White Go to Quoted Post


The Climate Forum may have been lost but the behaviours and stupidity of certain 'contributors' that were the cause are alive and well, unfortunately.



Most of the perpetrators are still on my blocked list! I never see their posts. R.

RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
No county (Lincolnshire) has better churches and worse houses. The poorer sort of people wash their clothes with hog's dung, and burn dried cow's dung for want of better fuel; whence comes the Lincolnshire proverb: "Where the hogs shite soap and the cows shite fire".
Curiosities of Great Britain (c.1780)
Offline Solar Cycles  
#65 Posted : 10 April 2019 13:05:58(UTC)
Solar Cycles

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Posts: 18,299
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Location: Blackburn Lancs

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White Go to Quoted Post


 


The Climate Forum may have been lost but the behaviours and stupidity of certain 'contributors' that were the cause are alive and well, unfortunately.


Irony was never a strong point of yours. 😂😂

Offline ozone_aurora  
#66 Posted : 10 April 2019 20:11:48(UTC)
ozone_aurora

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2012(UTC)
Posts: 522
Location: Lowestoft

One decent sunspot has come into view 


http://solarham.net/regions/map.htm.


 

Offline Gandalf The White  
#67 Posted : 10 April 2019 22:02:49(UTC)
Gandalf The White

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Posts: 35,881
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Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles Go to Quoted Post


Irony was never a strong point of yours. 😂😂



Intelligence was never a strong point of yours.


Can we stop this stupidity please.

Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.2N 0.5E
Brexit: proof that you can fool people into making a stupid choice
Offline Roger Parsons  
#68 Posted : 11 April 2019 16:30:55(UTC)
Roger Parsons

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Location: Lincolnshire

Interesting "Long Deep Solar Minimum" article in:
http://spaceweather.com/
If you have not read it, have a butcher's.

Roger
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
No county (Lincolnshire) has better churches and worse houses. The poorer sort of people wash their clothes with hog's dung, and burn dried cow's dung for want of better fuel; whence comes the Lincolnshire proverb: "Where the hogs shite soap and the cows shite fire".
Curiosities of Great Britain (c.1780)
Offline Jim_AFCB  
#69 Posted : 21 April 2019 20:44:42(UTC)
Jim_AFCB

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 526

Back on topic! (please!)


Most of the recent small increase in solar activity is still from the old cycle. Still also seeing a few spot regions from the new cycle at high latitudes in recent weeks.


Some stats on solar flux on solen.info reveal that the smoothed solar flux (12-month mean) but centred in the middle of the relevent period indicates that this value bottomed out last August. The similar 3-month smoothed mean bottomed out last December. Time will tell whether those end up being the minimum values for the cycle.

Jim, Bournemouth, Dorset. Home of the mighty Cherries
Bournemouth Weather Onine - Click here.
Offline Solar Cycles  
#70 Posted : 22 April 2019 19:07:38(UTC)
Solar Cycles

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Posts: 18,299
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Location: Blackburn Lancs

Originally Posted by: Jim_AFCB Go to Quoted Post


Back on topic! (please!)


Most of the recent small increase in solar activity is still from the old cycle. Still also seeing a few spot regions from the new cycle at high latitudes in recent weeks.


Some stats on solar flux on solen.info reveal that the smoothed solar flux (12-month mean) but centred in the middle of the relevent period indicates that this value bottomed out last August. The similar 3-month smoothed mean bottomed out last December. Time will tell whether those end up being the minimum values for the cycle.


Indeed, the predictions for the next cycle was for it to occur around next year but I’m not so sure how as these things are notoriously difficult to pin down.

Offline KevBrads1  
#71 Posted : 23 June 2019 10:26:13(UTC)
KevBrads1

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 17/03/2012(UTC)
Posts: 28,557
Location: Irlam

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 35 days
2019 total: 108 days (62%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
Offline Roger Parsons  
#72 Posted : 03 July 2019 06:43:00(UTC)
Roger Parsons

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 23/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,097
Man
Location: Lincolnshire

Solar Cycle 25 kicking off?


Addition on 8/7/2019: http://spaceweather.com/


"Solar Cycle 25 is coming to life. For the second time this month, a sunspot from the next solar cycle has emerged in the sun's southern hemisphere. Numbered "AR2744", it is inset in this magnetic map of the sun's surface from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory..."



Roger

Edited by user 08 July 2019 18:01:34(UTC)  | Reason: + addition

RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
No county (Lincolnshire) has better churches and worse houses. The poorer sort of people wash their clothes with hog's dung, and burn dried cow's dung for want of better fuel; whence comes the Lincolnshire proverb: "Where the hogs shite soap and the cows shite fire".
Curiosities of Great Britain (c.1780)
Offline Jim_AFCB  
#73 Posted : 13 July 2019 11:14:18(UTC)
Jim_AFCB

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 526

Cycle 25 regions are appearing more and more often now. The proportion of C24 to C25 regions is close to half and half, of late.


Solar activity remains very low but it is probably a matter of time before increasing sunspot regions from the new cycle starts to properly impact on the solar indices.


Solen.info now saying that Jan 2019 is the solar minimum candidate month, and any increase in solar activity in the next few months and the very low activity of last autumn dropping out of the reckoning will likely confirm that.


As always... we shall see!


 

Jim, Bournemouth, Dorset. Home of the mighty Cherries
Bournemouth Weather Onine - Click here.
Online Maunder Minimum  
#74 Posted : 02 August 2019 14:28:07(UTC)
Maunder Minimum

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Posts: 32,537
Man
Location: Copenhagen (work) and West Worcestershire (home)

NASA predicts a low cycle:


https://electroverse.net/nasa-predicts-next-solar-cycle-will-be-lowest-in-200-years-dalton-minimum-levels-the-implications/


However, I don't know why they bother trying to predict the size of a solar cycle - pretty well impossible I would have thought.


Another article on the same topic:


https://earthsky.org/space/solar-cycle-25-likely-weak-according-to-predictions


 

Edited by user 02 August 2019 14:34:20(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

EUphiles will stop at nothing to prevent the UK from regaining its lost independence.
Offline KevBrads1  
#75 Posted : 29 August 2019 06:20:00(UTC)
KevBrads1

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 17/03/2012(UTC)
Posts: 28,557
Location: Irlam

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 22 days
2019 total: 166 days (69%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%) 
2015 total: 0 days (0%) 
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%) 
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)


 


Another 56 days to go overtake last year's total of spotless days. 


Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
Offline Roger Parsons  
#76 Posted : 31 August 2019 16:41:04(UTC)
Roger Parsons

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 23/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,097
Man
Location: Lincolnshire

SpaceWeather.com says a G2-class geomagnetic storm is in progress. See:
http://spaceweather.com/



also see:
https://aurorawatch.lancs.ac.uk/


Roger

RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
No county (Lincolnshire) has better churches and worse houses. The poorer sort of people wash their clothes with hog's dung, and burn dried cow's dung for want of better fuel; whence comes the Lincolnshire proverb: "Where the hogs shite soap and the cows shite fire".
Curiosities of Great Britain (c.1780)
Offline Roger Parsons  
#77 Posted : 01 September 2019 16:40:13(UTC)
Roger Parsons

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 23/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,097
Man
Location: Lincolnshire

More...

GEOMAGNETIC STORMING CONTINUES:
For the second day in a row, G2-class geomagnetic storms are underway as a fast stream of solar wind lashes Earth's magnetic field.

http://spaceweather.com/


Follow how things develop on:


https://aurorawatch.lancs.ac.uk/



Roger

Edited by user 01 September 2019 16:42:27(UTC)  | Reason: + bold

RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
No county (Lincolnshire) has better churches and worse houses. The poorer sort of people wash their clothes with hog's dung, and burn dried cow's dung for want of better fuel; whence comes the Lincolnshire proverb: "Where the hogs shite soap and the cows shite fire".
Curiosities of Great Britain (c.1780)
Online Maunder Minimum  
#78 Posted : 20 September 2019 10:09:50(UTC)
Maunder Minimum

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 08/09/2007(UTC)
Posts: 32,537
Man
Location: Copenhagen (work) and West Worcestershire (home)

Interesting new paper discussed here regarding the nature and origin of sunspots:


https://phys.org/news/2019-09-plasma-sun-surface-sunspots-solar.html


 

EUphiles will stop at nothing to prevent the UK from regaining its lost independence.
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