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Offline Rob K  
#161 Posted : 26 March 2019 10:16:56(UTC)
Rob K

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 20,960
Location: Northeast Hampshire

Should be massively ahead by the end of March! A decent summer could see us heading for 11C.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl.
Offline TimS  
#162 Posted : 25 April 2019 07:33:17(UTC)
TimS

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Joined: 13/04/2010(UTC)
Posts: 9,507
Location: Brockley

Currently running at +1.71 for YTD which means the rest of the year would need to be +1.32C to beat the record.

https://www.metoffice.go...adcet/cet_info_mean.html

Always interesting following this running average because it’s so much like limited overs cricket.

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#163 Posted : 11 May 2019 21:24:07(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,124

April update

Still close to 1C above average for the year as a whole against the 1971-200 mean

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Online KevBrads1  
#164 Posted : 01 June 2019 14:23:17(UTC)
KevBrads1

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 17/03/2012(UTC)
Posts: 28,557
Location: Irlam

The CETs for this year so far are pretty similiar to those of 1961. April is the biggest difference between the two but it has been pretty similiar.

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

Offline Global Warming  
#165 Posted : 08 June 2019 11:27:03(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,124

2019 running CET mean to end of May

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#166 Posted : 08 June 2019 11:33:10(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,124

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 Go to Quoted Post
The CETs for this year so far are pretty similiar to those of 1961. April is the biggest difference between the two but it has been pretty similiar.

Indeed. 1997 is also very similar if you start from February.

The summer of 1961 was very poor. 1997 was mixed with a cool June, average July, but hot August.

We are due a hot August. Since 1997, only 2003 had an August CET above 18C. In fact since 2004 the August CET has never been above 17C. But then again since 1950 the August CET has only been higher than 17C on 12 occasions, so about once every 6 years on average. Given it has been 15 years now since the August CET was above 17C we are most definitely due a hot August.

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline johncs2016  
#167 Posted : 08 June 2019 13:27:36(UTC)
johncs2016

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 13/06/2016(UTC)
Posts: 5,211
Man
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Location: West Pilton, Edinburgh

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

 

Indeed. 1997 is also very similar if you start from February.

The summer of 1961 was very poor. 1997 was mixed with a cool June, average July, but hot August.

We are due a hot August. Since 1997, only 2003 had an August CET above 18C. In fact since 2004 the August CET has never been above 17C. But then again since 1950 the August CET has only been higher than 17C on 12 occasions, so about once every 6 years on average. Given it has been 15 years now since the August CET was above 17C we are most definitely due a hot August.

That true.

Even when we had that really good summer during last year, we still failed to get a decent August (although even that wasn't as bad the dross which we are having to put up with just now).

Given just how bad a start this so-called "summer" has got off to though, I think that it would a huge bonus for us if ANY of this month's summer months turned out to be decent regardless of when that happens, since this month is clearly not going to be one such decent summer month with the manner in which this is turning out just now.

 

MY THREE LOCAL WEATHER STATIONS

EDINBURGH GOGARBANK (more up to date sunshine totals come from here)

Latitude: 55° 55' 40.8'' N (DMS) or 55.928° (Dec)

Longitude: 3° 20' 34.8'' W (DMS) or -3.343° (Dec)

Altitude: 57m above mean sea level

EDINBURGH AIRPORT (added as an additional backup)

Latitude: 55° 56' 53.88'' N (DMS) or 55.9483° (Dec)

Longitude: 3° 20' 40.92'' W (DMS) or -3.447° (Dec)

Altitude: 33m above mean sea level

ROYAL BOTANIC GARDENS, EDINBURGH (the closest station to where I live)

Latitude: 55° 58' 1.2'' N (DMS) or 55.967° (Dec)

Longitude: 3° 13' 1.2'' W (DMS) or -3.2217° (Dec)

Altitude: 26m above mean sea level

Offline Global Warming  
#168 Posted : 14 July 2019 15:10:48(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,124

The annual CET has now dipped slightly below 0.5C above the 1981-2010 mean. 

The first 6 months of 2019 are the 17th warmest first half of the year since 1989 (i.e. 17th in the past 31 years) so middle of the pack.

So 16 warmer first halves of the year in the past 30 years but in the 330 years prior to that there have been only 18 warmer first halves of the year. 

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#169 Posted : 03 August 2019 14:43:45(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,124

No real change to the anomaly in July as the month had a similar positive anomaly to the overall year to date

https://i.imgur.com/10CL9SA.png

https://i.imgur.com/FMkiNQ1.png

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#170 Posted : 01 September 2019 20:15:55(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,124

For the year as a whole we remain around 0.5C above the 1981-2010 mean after a relatively warm August

2019 Hadley CET

2019 monthly anomaly

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
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