below 3 or 2 i doubt currently due to the forecast showing cloud over large parts all week. If skies cleared for some time you would record probably close to record breaking figures with such depth of snow across places.
But you would need a few -15+ in a row this week for a cold cet. Looks like coming in just under average but not a representation of how potent january will have been. 50% of the month well below, matching the first 50% with mildness.
I'm not sure how you work that out. We could easily get below 2c this month. We only need CET's of 0c to the end of the month for it to come in at 2.38c - Current CET (4.1) multiplied by days already gone (18) divided by number of days in the month (31).
CET now down to 4.1c to 18th
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
The big question though Caz is if the cold spell holds or intensifies - Or if it breaks down just before the end of the month.
Many forecast models are now indicating a breakdown.
Yes, that's true HT, though some are saying -10 this week if skies clear, so if that happens it will offset any milder days later in the month. I don't think the models know what to make of it and I'm quite enjoying this nowcast situation.
I was really responding to Western saying we'd need a few -15,s this week and wondered how he'd worked that out.
Anyway, CET now down to 3.8c to 19th Jan
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
[edit] I see Gav has already posted today's CET. That'll teach me to go off and make a cuppa, mid post! Yes, Gav, it is a pretty impressive crash. Just goes to show how CET's alone don't show the true pattern of the month.
Edited by user
20 January 2013 12:51:38
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Reason: Not specified
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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