Hello folks,

Here's the weather forecast for the week ahead (including the traditional Written Thoughts)

https://www.gavsweathervids.com/weather-forecast-for-the-week-ahead.php

Much drier and start cold with frost and fog.

Thanks as ever for your support and to Brian and the Mods for making it happen! 

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Great stuff Gavin P.

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Thanks Gav
I have read elsewhere that HP and colder temperatures could persist beyond next weekend especially for the south ?

Thanks Gav.

I suppose that for here in Scotland, our winter borefest goes on to an even greater extent.

It's just a shame that this big area of high pressure couldn't reposition itself either to our north or west, so that it brings in either some really cold air from Siberia with bitterly cold easterly winds and a lot of snow, or a direct northerly blast from the Arctic.

That would just be wishful thinking though and as we all know, that is something which doesn't tend to ever happen at this time of the year when we really want that the most.

I suppose though at other times of the year, it would be a completely story and because of that, I've lost track of all of the times that we've had "if only it were winter" synoptic setups even in the middle of summer, which have resulted in us getting a lot of rain from a cold trough that is sitting right over the UK underneath the northern blocking which is around at that time.

 

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Just be nice to have some dry weather for a while. Fed up with it being wet every day. Just means trying to de-ice the car everyday cause I bet it will be frosty

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Thank you, Gavin. Sunshine instead of rain.  Great.

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^^^^

Thanks guys! 

Agreed it will be nice to have a break from the rain. It's just what we all need I think.

Cultman it's always possible that high pressure will hang around longer than the models think but at the moment the gradual decline of the high seems to be pretty well modeled so we'll see.

John, hopefully you'll get some northerlies before the end of the winter. Time will tell.

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Thanks Gavin.  ALIWBM by Sunday.  Good to see there will be some gof during the week, as well.

But I'm puzzled about this chap Hugh, and why is he pressing, and on what?

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I've just been watching Gav's latest spring update and first of all, the fact that last month's overall pattern has even been compared with that of December 2015 just shows what an utter and disastrous complete non-event, this so-called "winter" has been up until now.

However, it is interesting to note that so far, the analogues in those spring updates appear to be more or less in line with what I predicted for this spring as part of my overall prediction for this year in the thread where predictions for both this year ahead and this decade ahead are discussed. Having said that, northern blocking and easterly winds do quite commonly appear in the spring months after being completely absent during the winter, so such an outcome wouldn't surprise me one single bit.

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Cheers Gavin

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