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Offline TimS  
#401 Posted : 24 July 2019 17:25:30(UTC)
TimS

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Location: Brockley

Arôme is usually the most accurate, so it’s interesting they stick with 38.

Belgium and NL could beat their records again tomorrow, potentially both breaching 40C.

Seems a shame that next week we’ll be back into low 20s and showers.

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Offline Rob K  
#402 Posted : 24 July 2019 17:32:42(UTC)
Rob K

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Location: Northeast Hampshire

Originally Posted by: TimS Go to Quoted Post
Arôme is usually the most accurate, so it’s interesting they stick with 38.

Belgium and NL could beat their records again tomorrow, potentially both breaching 40C.

Seems a shame that next week we’ll be back into low 20s and showers.


The latest AROME run had quite a few 40C maxima showing in Belgium for today, and the official max reading seems to have been 39.9C. For tomorrow it is showing a decent swathe of 41s in Belgium.

Edited by user 24 July 2019 17:36:35(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl.
Offline Polar Low  
#403 Posted : 24 July 2019 17:43:12(UTC)
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I know Rob it’s been murder here today have been cleaning school carpets all day 8-6 murder!


ps just can’t get that solar interference down


https://www.cm2weather.co.uk/gauges


 


 


quote=Rob K;1129314]34.3C at Writtle confirmed making this the hottest day of the year... until tomorrow!

Offline Ally Pally Snowman  
#404 Posted : 24 July 2019 17:55:29(UTC)
Ally Pally Snowman

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Originally Posted by: TimS Go to Quoted Post
Arôme is usually the most accurate, so it’s interesting they stick with 38.

Belgium and NL could beat their records again tomorrow, potentially both breaching 40C.

Seems a shame that next week we’ll be back into low 20s and showers.


 


Arpege has been very accurate the last 3 days the fact its going for 40c is astonishing.  We wait and see what happens tmrw.

Offline Caz  
#405 Posted : 24 July 2019 17:55:41(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Rob K Go to Quoted Post


 


Lots of info here: https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1256/wea.10.04A


 


The heat was more widespread on August 9th but less intense.


 



 


1990 had a much wider spread of really high temperatures. 1911 looks close to that too.


 



This year looks like having a wide spread too.


 


As for this spell, the Met still reckon 39C is the most likely max.


 


https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1154043560418783233


 


Thanks Rob, that’s a really interesting and comprehensive report!  I remember the 2003 heatwave as it was my daughter’s 18th birthday on 8th August.  We bought her first car as she’d just passed her test and she got her right arm sunburnt while driving around. 


We surpassed our forecast temp today by 2c, as we did yesterday and have 36c forecast for tomorrow.  That’s scary!

SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.
Offline SJV  
#406 Posted : 24 July 2019 17:58:49(UTC)
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27.7C recorded at a local station. We'll see what the Met Office have us down for but it'll likely be around 28C which is just about what the models had for us, maybe a degree above though.

Hoping to achieve 35C here tomorrow.
CAPE-steve
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Recognise the hallucinatory nature of your reality.
Offline Polar Low  
#407 Posted : 24 July 2019 18:04:37(UTC)
Polar Low

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No upgrade from them Im sticking with 37C do or die 































-07-25 15Z2733.633.330.732.733.733.533.233.533.733.533.634.233.633.733.733.633.534.134.133.734.234.9

 


But more carpets to clean tomorrow  

Offline Ally Pally Snowman  
#408 Posted : 24 July 2019 18:11:14(UTC)
Ally Pally Snowman

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Latest Beeb forecast seems to think a max of 39c ish will be in London or Kent which is different to Arpege. 

Offline Polar Low  
#409 Posted : 24 July 2019 18:15:33(UTC)
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I just cant see 40c tomoz Jires it would be like having -15 at mid day in \\chelmsford it just aint happening I HOPE if so ILL let you know from the writtle green


 


Originally Posted by: Jiries Go to Quoted Post


 


Would be so nice to see rounded up 40C mark tomorrow and perhaps once in your life time to see this unless it become more frequent in future.


 


Offline lanky  
#410 Posted : 24 July 2019 18:19:22(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman Go to Quoted Post


Latest Beeb forecast seems to think a max of 39c ish will be in London or Kent which is different to Arpege. 



It looked as though there the forecast is for subtle shift of wind direction from SSW to SSE which would tend to favour the spots further west tomorrow than today and the shorter sea track will also boost the max's somewhat


 

Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Offline Heavy Weather 2013  
#411 Posted : 24 July 2019 18:31:45(UTC)
Heavy Weather 2013

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I’ll never forget the day on here in 2003. I am so excited for tomorrow.

Perhaps we can start a thread dedicated thread just for tomorrow. Not now but at 6am. I feel we will need to have a clear record of the build up and excitement.
Mark
Stratford, London
Offline Jiries  
#412 Posted : 24 July 2019 18:52:19(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post
I’ll never forget the day on here in 2003. I am so excited for tomorrow.

Perhaps we can start a thread dedicated thread just for tomorrow. Not now but at 6am. I feel we will need to have a clear record of the build up and excitement.


I am also and see how Lower Stoke will get tomorrow.  I remember in 2003 was 17C and then hit 38.6C around 5pm while Brannon Max and Min was 41C.  I remember the Brannon was 17C at 5am, 21C at 7am, 26C 8am 32C 9am, 34C 10am, 37C 11am 38C 12pm -2pm then 3pm 39-40C then 41C at 5pm, then drop to 38C by 6pm and 36C by 8pm, big drop afterward from the passing near storm and drop to 21C over night.  But I put 38.6C as the highest temps for West Ewell, Epsom.  I am off tomorrow so glad to see the heatwave then work on Friday-Sat when temps already dropped to comfortable levels.


 

Offline Col  
#413 Posted : 24 July 2019 19:12:34(UTC)
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Location: Bolton 160m asl

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post
I’ll never forget the day on here in 2003. I am so excited for tomorrow.

Perhaps we can start a thread dedicated thread just for tomorrow. Not now but at 6am. I feel we will need to have a clear record of the build up and excitement.


Agreed. There are several threads running at the moment that would be legitimate to post reports/comments in and it would be good to have tomorrow's unfolding story consolidated in some way. Whatever happens, whatever records are actually broken, one things for sure, it's going to be an exceptional event.

Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/c...UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Offline Heavy Weather 2013  
#414 Posted : 24 July 2019 19:25:05(UTC)
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Temperatures are dropping a lot slower this evening compared to yesterday.
Mark
Stratford, London
Offline Caz  
#415 Posted : 24 July 2019 19:35:53(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post
Temperatures are dropping a lot slower this evening compared to yesterday.
Still 25.8c here and feels more humid than last night!

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.
Offline TimS  
#416 Posted : 24 July 2019 20:12:20(UTC)
TimS

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Location: Brockley

Notable highs on the near continent today:

Belgian all time record: 39.9C at Kleine Brogel (often the hotspot), beating previous long-standing record of 38.8C.

Netherlands all time record: 39.1C at Eindhoven, beating previous record of 38.6C.

Both countries could beat the record again tomorrow.

French all time highs for St Dizier, Troyes, Nancy, Langres, Dijon, Épinal, Metz, Vichy plus a load of smaller sites. Highest of all 42.1C at Pont la Ville in Haut Marne.

This year so far we’ve seen all time national records in France, Belgium and Netherlands as well as June records in a large number of other countries.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Offline POD  
#417 Posted : 24 July 2019 20:25:30(UTC)
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Several degrees down on this time yesterday, 22c v 25c 

Pat.
Offline Bertwhistle  
#418 Posted : 24 July 2019 20:28:10(UTC)
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Um....really? This is 11am tomorrow morning:


Chart image

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
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Offline Tim A  
#419 Posted : 24 July 2019 20:29:31(UTC)
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Cooler here too than last night. 22.0c
Nothing to worry about though, waft of hot air coming tomorrow and how that pans out is much more important the temp now, or the max today or yesterday.

Tim
NW Leeds (1 mile east of LBA)
187m asl
Offline LeedsLad123  
#420 Posted : 24 July 2019 21:11:16(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Tim A Go to Quoted Post


Cooler here too than last night. 22.0c
Nothing to worry about though, waft of hot air coming tomorrow and how that pans out is much more important the temp now, or the max today or yesterday.



Met Office now showing 36C in Leeds!! surprised Madness.


 

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
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