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Offline Joe Bloggs  
#321 Posted : 24 July 2019 06:59:21(UTC)
Joe Bloggs

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Posts: 24,902
Location: Manchester

I notice Arpege has backed off slightly for exceptional temps in the north of England - a shame if that’s the case. Would be good to see records being broken across the country. 

Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

Offline Caz  
#322 Posted : 24 July 2019 07:03:00(UTC)
Caz

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Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post
The Metoffice App has now also nudged to 38C. The Highest I have ever seen it.
 Met office app showing 35c here for tomorrow.  Highest I’ve ever seen forecast and I’ve been around since the fifties!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Offline Heavy Weather 2013  
#323 Posted : 24 July 2019 07:12:49(UTC)
Heavy Weather 2013

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Location: Muswell Hill, North London

I am looking at the Aperge Zoom 0z

The performance today will be key to determining how well we do tomorrow.

Today

30-31C in around London

34C in East Anglia

Tomorrow 

37C-38 around the SE, East Anglia and East Midlands

40C in three grid points around West and NW London

We need today to come in around the values forecast to be in with a shout of July and all time record.

 

 

Mark

Beckton, SE London

Online TimS  
#324 Posted : 24 July 2019 07:15:18(UTC)
TimS

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Joined: 13/04/2010(UTC)
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Location: Brockley

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post

I am looking at the Aperge Zoom 0z

The performance today will be key to determining how well we do tomorrow.

Today

30-31C in around London

34C in East Anglia

Tomorrow 

37C-38 around the SE, East Anglia and East Midlands

40C in three grid points around West and NW London

We need today to come in around the values forecast to be in with a shout of July and all time record.

We may do better than that in London today and less we’ll in East Anglia. Let’s see

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Online Brian Gaze  
#325 Posted : 24 July 2019 07:39:31(UTC)
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I've made my call this morning and am expecting the August 2003 record to still be standing in 48 hours time. However, the July record will very probably go.  

Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Offline Gusty  
#326 Posted : 24 July 2019 07:55:34(UTC)
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Plenty of 37c (99f)'s tomorrow. ECM 0z

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Offline Heavy Weather 2013  
#327 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:14:53(UTC)
Heavy Weather 2013

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Location: Muswell Hill, North London

Did we tie to the overnight record?

http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~brugge/06.html

2019 Jul 24 06 03797 / 16 07 82  23.9  14.3 1010.5  -0.3 nowF          tr 2        20.0  18 13.7        kn          AWS Manston


Mark

Beckton, SE London

Offline Heavy Weather 2013  
#328 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:16:14(UTC)
Heavy Weather 2013

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Posts: 3,175
Location: Muswell Hill, North London

MetOffice now saying 60% chance of the all time record tomorrow with 39C being shown on their maps.

https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1153940531594104832

 

Mark

Beckton, SE London

Offline Bertwhistle  
#329 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:20:36(UTC)
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Online TimS  
#330 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:25:26(UTC)
TimS

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Joined: 13/04/2010(UTC)
Posts: 9,792
Location: Brockley

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post

MetOffice now saying 60% chance of the all time record tomorrow with 39C being shown on their maps.

https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1153940531594104832

Interesting passive-aggressive stand-off with their erstwhile clients the BBC, who are resolutely avoiding ramping on this. I woke up to the Today programme forecast this morning and they managed to describe today as “showery and generally cooler, but still fairly hot in the South and East, nudging 30 or 31” and tomorrow “we may even reach 37C”.

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Offline Rob K  
#331 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:27:48(UTC)
Rob K

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Location: Northeast Hampshire

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post

Did we tie to the overnight record?

http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~brugge/06.html

2019 Jul 24 06 03797 / 16 07 82  23.9  14.3 1010.5  -0.3 nowF          tr 2        20.0  18 13.7        kn          AWS Manston


No, the highest min I can find is 21.5C at Langdon Bay. (That 23.9C is the 0600Z reading, the min was 20.0C at Manston)

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl.
Offline Heavy Weather 2013  
#332 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:28:47(UTC)
Heavy Weather 2013

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Posts: 3,175
Location: Muswell Hill, North London

Originally Posted by: Rob K Go to Quoted Post

 

No, the highest min I can find is 21.5C at Langdon Bay. (That 23.9C is the 0600Z reading, the min was 20.0C at Manston)

Thanks for confirming :)

Mark

Beckton, SE London

Offline Rob K  
#333 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:37:03(UTC)
Rob K

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Posts: 21,899
Location: Northeast Hampshire

Biggest 40C isotherm award goes to HARMONIE this morning. https://www.meteociel.fr...&mode=41&map=500

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl.
Offline Joe Bloggs  
#334 Posted : 24 July 2019 08:49:01(UTC)
Joe Bloggs

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,902
Location: Manchester

MetO app now saying 34C for Manchester tomorrow.

If that verifies it'll be the hottest day in the city on record. Fingers crossed. Unfortunately the official site (Manchester Airport) could register a degree or so less.

Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

Offline picturesareme  
#335 Posted : 24 July 2019 09:19:39(UTC)
picturesareme

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Location: costa solent

Taken from the metoffice for southeast:

"Thursday:

Exceptionally hot and humid. Dry and largely sunny, with light winds throughout, although there is a of isolated thunderstorms later. Maximum temperature 39 °C."

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcp1pu361#?date=2019-07-24

 

Edited by user 24 July 2019 09:21:28(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline Rob K  
#336 Posted : 24 July 2019 09:32:30(UTC)
Rob K

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 21,899
Location: Northeast Hampshire

Originally Posted by: Rob K Go to Quoted Post

 

No, the highest min I can find is 21.5C at Langdon Bay. (That 23.9C is the 0600Z reading, the min was 20.0C at Manston)

 

And Langdon Bay is cooler now than it was overnight! 19.5C at 10am.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl.
Offline Tim A  
#337 Posted : 24 July 2019 09:35:48(UTC)
Tim A

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Joined: 09/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 13,726
Man
Location: Leeds

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs Go to Quoted Post

MetO app now saying 34C for Manchester tomorrow.

If that verifies it'll be the hottest day in the city on record. Fingers crossed. Unfortunately the official site (Manchester Airport) could register a degree or so less.

Think whether the cloud develops Mid-Afternoon could be a factor as to whether records are broken in the north.

Met Office has Leeds at 35c now, but also showers/thunderstorms from 4pm onwards.

 

Do you have the link for Manchester Uni to add to my bookmarks?

 

York University used to have a station on their roof also, but it seems it is down for repairs.

Tim

NW Leeds (1 mile east of LBA)

187m asl

Online johncs2016  
#338 Posted : 24 July 2019 09:46:28(UTC)
johncs2016

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Man
United Kingdom
Location: West Pilton, Edinburgh

The latest BBC Scotland forecasts have indicated that temperatures during tomorrow (today is forecast to be a bit cooler than yesterday, but still very warm here with temperatures in the low 20s instead of the upper 20s) could reach 30°C in the odd location even here in Scotland and if that happens, the most favoured locations for that appear to be around the Glasgow area, possibly partly due to the urban island effect caused by the fact that Glasgow is Scotland's largest city in terms of its overall area and population.

However, it is also possible that this could lead to another thunderstorm event later on tomorrow night such as what we had during the early hours of this morning, although I'm not expecting that to be such a major event this time.

Located in the north of Edinburgh where very little in the way of actual weather ever happens, compared to elsewhere within the rest of the UK.

Offline tallyho_83  
#339 Posted : 24 July 2019 09:49:08(UTC)
tallyho_83

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Posts: 9,838
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle Go to Quoted Post

Just remarkable - who would have ever thought the UK would see this!?? - High of 39c on Thursday! So this has upgraded a degree or two and has done each day! If this was reached, it would not just the all time July record of 36.7c that was set back in July 2015 but the All time UK maximum recorded high temperature beating previous record of 38.5c set in Faversham Kent, in August 2003. I would be keen to know what this July's CET will show next week. Given last year the CET was 3c above average. Anyone want cooler weather, they could head to Barcelona where it's 29c tomorrow. ALSO - Brussels, Paris, Bruges, Eindhoven, Amsterdam, Cologne, Frankfurt etc etc could all hit and exceed the 40c mark tomorrow! - Just incredible heat indeed esp for this latitude as well!!

LONDON & SOUTH EAST ENGLAND WEATHER FORECAST

Wednesday 24 Jul - Sunday 28 Jul

Headline:

Hot and humid Wednesday. Very hot Thursday.

Today:

Any early showers soon clearing. A dry, increasingly sunny day the follows, and turning hot and humid by the afternoon, especially in the east. However sunshine could turn a little hazy, as some cloud develops later. Maximum temperature 35 °C.

Tonight:

It will remain dry overnight with largely clear skies and light winds. It will stay very warm and muggy feeling. Minimum temperature 17 °C.

Thursday:

Exceptionally hot and humid. Dry and largely sunny, with light winds throughout, although there is a chance of isolated thunderstorms later. Maximum temperature 39 °C.

Edited by user 24 July 2019 09:55:17(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

Offline Quantum  
#340 Posted : 24 July 2019 10:29:52(UTC)
Quantum

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Joined: 27/11/2009(UTC)
Posts: 18,218

Thresholds looking to beat today versus what we would expect tommorow:

July record: 33C

Good chance of hitting 38C: 34C

All time record: 35C

Comfortably above all time record: 36C

Chance of 40C: 37C

 

We just missed out on yesterday's all time threashold of 34C.

 

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