The Weather Outlook

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johncs2016
01 April 2026 08:36:02
As we have just entered into another new month, it's now time for a new thread.

March 2026 was a complete flip from what happened in the winter, so those parts of the NW corner of the UK which were very dry during the winter, ended up being the wettesp places in March. Conversely, most of England was a lot drier in March than it was in the winter, especially towards the SE.

For in Edinburgh, the main Met Office station at Gogarbank was wetter than average in March, though only just and no more and had it not been for a spell of high pressure dominated weather in the middle of the month, it would probably have been a lot wetter here than it actually ended. As it was, our rainfall totals in March were only just above average with some stations recording only average or even slightly below average rainfall overall.

However, even that is in complete contrast to the same month last year which was very dry. Indeed, that very dry spring followed by a dry summer was what led to the various issues with drought and water scarcity which I then went on report quite a lot on this forum as a result. Even this year, there is still a slight overall deficit at Edinburgh Gogarbank overall for this year so far, but that deficit is very small and nothing like in the same scale of what we experienced last year.

Furthermore, we are also in an unsettled spell just now and over the course of the Easter weekend, it could even get quite stormy. That would suggest that a wet start to this month at least, seems likely and when you add all of that today, I don't see any issues with water scarcity arising on this occasion, such as what we experienced last year.

However it all pans out though, this is the very place to report those all important rainfall totals for this month in your area.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

speckledjim
07 April 2026 17:57:21
3mm
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

johncs2016
07 April 2026 21:16:26
I have been down in Hawick recently without any access to my usual scripts, but I am now back in Edinburgh which means that I can now give everyone an update on here.

With that in mind, the latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 0.2 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 0.0 mm (as at 9:40 pm BST (20:40 UTC) this evening on Tuesday 7 April 2026)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 25.0 mm (54.5% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of rain days during this month: 5 (54.3% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of dry days during this month: 1

We are only a week into this month but this already means that only at least another 5 official rain days need to be recorded between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the number of rain days.

Seasonal Data

Total for this spring so far: 87.0 mm (58.6% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of rain days during this spring: 18 (59.5% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of dry days during this spring: 14

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 199.2 mm (25.4% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 49 (35.7% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 26

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
10 April 2026 15:05:46
2mm so far this month, with what looks like trace approaching. The last proper rain here was 11.5mm on March 13th.

Edit. (The front has almost passed through and still dry)


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

fairweather
10 April 2026 23:28:22

2mm so far this month, with what looks like trace approaching. The last proper rain here was 11.5mm on March 13th.

Edit. (The front has almost passed through and still dry)

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Same here, 4 weeks now since we had more than a couple of mm. 


S.Essex, 42m ASL
johncs2016
11 April 2026 14:22:11
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 2.4 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 0.0 mm (as at 2:40 pm BST (13:40 UTC) this afternoon on Saturday 11 April 2026)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 28.2 mm (61.5% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of rain days during this month: 6 (65.1% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of dry days during this month: 3

This means that only at least another 17.8 mm of rain now needs to fall between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

In addition to that, only at least another 4 official rain days need to be recorded between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the number of rain days.

Seasonal Data

Total for this spring so far: 90.2 mm (60.7% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of rain days during this spring: 19 (62.8% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of dry days during this spring: 16

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 202.4 mm (25.8% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 50 (36.4% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 28

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

tierradelfuego
11 April 2026 19:24:31
1.4mm for the month. 0.2mm from a bit of early morning drizzle and then another 0.4mm from a couple of hail showers this afternoon.
Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

Saint Snow
11 April 2026 22:41:19
Walking back from Anfield to the car this evening, an absolutely torrential shower - with sideways rain - soaked me to the absolute skin.

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

johncs2016
12 April 2026 06:22:17
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 2.4 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 1.6 mm (as at 6:40 am BST (05:40 UTC) this morning on Sunday 12 April 2026)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 29.8 mm (65.0% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of rain days during this month: 7 (76.0% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of dry days during this month: 2

This means that only at least another 16.2 mm of rain now needs to fall between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

In addition to that, only at least another 3 official rain days now need to be recorded between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the number of rain days.

Seasonal Data

Total for this spring so far: 91.8 mm (61.8% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of rain days during this spring: 20 (66.1% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of dry days during this spring: 15

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 204.0 mm (26.0% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 51 (37.1% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 27

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

speckledjim
12 April 2026 07:33:56
6mm mtd
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

fairweather
12 April 2026 22:29:33

Walking back from Anfield to the car this evening, an absolutely torrential shower - with sideways rain - soaked me to the absolute skin.

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Lucky ******! Forgotten what rain looks like!


S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
12 April 2026 22:34:41
Not a drop yet. Zero rainfall in April so far and only 4mm in the past month!
S.Essex, 42m ASL
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
13 April 2026 05:45:13
7mm in the past month with 3mm this month, so technically we're in drought land again, though many will argue that's not the case!

Exceptionally dry for the UK I'd say. But this part of Dorset is a tiny part of the UK.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

johncs2016
13 April 2026 05:52:08
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 2.0 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 1.0 mm (as at 5:40 am BST (04:40 UTC) this morning on Monday 13 April 2026)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 31.2 mm (68.0% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of rain days during this month: 8 (86.9% of 1991-2020 April average)

Number of dry days during this month: 2

This means that only  at least another 14.8 mm of rain now needs to fall between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

In addition to that, only at least another 2 official rain days now need to be recorded between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the number of rain days.

Seasonal Data

Total for this spring so far: 93.2 mm (62.7% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of rain days during this spring: 21 (69.4% of 1991-2020 spring average)

Number of dry days during this spring: 15

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 205.4 mm (26.2% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 52 (37.8% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 27

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

tierradelfuego
13 April 2026 06:14:12
2mm yesterday from the showers, 4.2mm mtd
Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

Retron
13 April 2026 06:14:46
Zero so far this month, the dry season having well and truly arrived. Yesterday's potential showers delivered around 20 drops per square metre, not even enough to make the ground look wet. 

The forecast again mentions a chance of heavy showers today... will we get the first rain since March?


Leysdown, north Kent
speckledjim
13 April 2026 08:19:16
8mm mtd
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

Devonian
13 April 2026 08:29:44

7mm in the past month with 3mm this month, so technically we're in drought land again, though many will argue that's not the case!

Exceptionally dry for the UK I'd say. But this part of Dorset is a tiny part of the UK.

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Plenty of the UK east and south are in a similar situation. Amazingly, to listen to some of the media you'd think it's been cold, wet and dull for a month...

warrenb
13 April 2026 10:02:04
0.5mm so far this month, things looking as dry if not drier than this time last year.
fairweather
13 April 2026 10:48:04

Zero so far this month, the dry season having well and truly arrived. Yesterday's potential showers delivered around 20 drops per square metre, not even enough to make the ground look wet. 

The forecast again mentions a chance of heavy showers today... will we get the first rain since March?

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Looking at the radar a shower is possible later. A big clump moved up from N.France earlier but ran up the N.Sea and to our east just clipping Dover. Cleaned my car last week and now a thick layer of dust and pollen on it.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
13 April 2026 10:50:44

Plenty of the UK east and south are in a similar situation. Amazingly, to listen to some of the media you'd think it's been cold, wet and dull for a month...

Originally Posted by: Devonian 

Having been watching the Met Office video forecasts of late I can confirm that and in fact contacted them this morning via email and Facebook to ask if they were evenly vaguely aware of the situation as it is never mentioned!


S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
13 April 2026 10:54:39
I was explaining to our guides in Costa Rica who constantly banged on about us being used to it raining all the time and thinking we couldn't cope with 28C heat that climate change has altered things a lot, especially in the S.E. I now refer to April  to September as the dry, often hot season and October to March as the wet and cool season.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
Retron
13 April 2026 18:20:12

I was explaining to our guides in Costa Rica who constantly banged on about us being used to it raining all the time and thinking we couldn't cope with 28C heat that climate change has altered things a lot, especially in the S.E. I now refer to April  to September as the dry, often hot season and October to March as the wet and cool season.

Originally Posted by: fairweather 

TBF we've pretty much got a textbook Mediterranean climate now, just as predicted back in the 80s and 90s! Look up csb, especially Porto, and you'll see some familiar-looking graphs:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mediterranean_climate#Warm-summer_Mediterranean_climate 

It's not dissimilar. A marked dropoff in rain in the summer half of the year, temperatures in the mid 20s in summer... we're a tad colder all round, especially in winter, but we're not far off it. And similarly Victoria (on Vancouver Island) - again, not far off, warmer if anything!


Leysdown, north Kent
fairweather
14 April 2026 13:01:42
We did actually get 2.5mm from showers yesterday, which is now the total for the month to date.

The response to my email from the Met is laughable given that I specifically referred to the South East corner and coastal Kent.

"Thank you for your email.

We don't have the complete observations for April yet but given what you say it will be worth checking once they are published early next month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/research/mwr_2026_03_for_print.pdf  "

Scroll down to the rainfall map of the UK.

The map of rainfall on this link he sent does not back that up at all. Even for the UK as a whole I pointed out that it isn't good practice to take a large region of above average rainfall and combine it with one of below average and come up with average rainfall overall!


S.Essex, 42m ASL
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
14 April 2026 13:34:58

We did actually get 2.5mm from showers yesterday, which is now the total for the month to date.

The response to my email from the Met is laughable given that I specifically referred to the South East corner and coastal Kent.

"Thank you for your email.

We don't have the complete observations for April yet but given what you say it will be worth checking once they are published early next month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/research/mwr_2026_03_for_print.pdf  "

Scroll down to the rainfall map of the UK.

The map of rainfall on this link he sent does not back that up at all. Even for the UK as a whole I pointed out that it isn't good practice to take a large region of above average rainfall and combine it with one of below average and come up with average rainfall overall!

Originally Posted by: fairweather 

We've had about 1.5mm so far today and it feels damp. So for many people, conditions like today merely enhance the impression of a wet spring perhaps? The same for March perhaps.

I'd take issue with the term 'wildfires' because we had some fires here in Dorset too, which were certainly not 'wild' as in started by natural means. An arsonist caused these. Maybe the others they mention, bar the Dartmoor ones, began with lightning strikes, though I'd say they were purely arsonic. As are most if not all of these fires in the UK.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

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