10.2 to the 18th

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average

1.8c above the 91 to 20 average

Allowing for typical bias currently gives me an estimated April CET close to 10.0°C.

Or maybe 10.04😀

I'm hoping for some frosts to drag it down!!

10.1 to the 19th

2.2c above the 61 to 90 average

1.7c above the 91 to 20 average

10.0 to the 20th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average

1.5c above the 91 to 20 average

9.9 to the 21st

2.0c above the 61 to 90 average

1.3c above the 91 to 20 average

9.9 to the 22nd

2.0c above the 61 to 90 average

1.3c above the 91 to 20 average

The wind is forecast to start easing off this evening so it'll be interesting to see how far temperatures drop in the very dry airmass. Recent nights have stayed a little above what GFS predicted but in my experience its bias tends to be the other way around once winds fall light. OTOH it's not good with terrain (let alone building) heat storage and release, often behaving as if that process doesn't exist.

We've seen a delaying and watering down of easterlies that would make a winter month blush.

2.0c above the 61 to 90 average

1.3c above the 91 to 20 average

10.0 to the 24th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average

1.2c above the 91 to 20 average

10.0 to the 25th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average

1.1c above the 91 to 20 average

10.1 to the 26th

2.2c above the 61 to 90 average

1.2c above the 91 to 20 average

10.2 to the 27th

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average

1.2c above the 91 to 20 average

Looks like being at the upper end of this scale now, perhaps even .1 above it

Indeed. Having spent some time hoping for warmth to prevail, the phrase "too much of a good thing" comes to mind 😅

10.2 to the 28th

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average

1.2c above the 91 to 20 average

It's insane, mate. We both went over 1c above the CET average and are going to be at leat 1c too low.

IMO, it's the lack of cold nights that is the killer.

Be interesting to see the YTD CET anomaly.

Down here the nights have been quite cool but days have been consistently warm. The first 10 days killed it for me. It was over 1.5C higher than the raw figures forecast at the start of the month. There was no coming back from that . 

10.3 to the 29th

2.4c above the 61 to 90 average

1.2c above the 91 to 20 average

The true gap is fractionally smaller as the 31 day win for 2026 will fractionally outweigh the 30 day win for 2025. 

Interestingly after a hot start, May last year had a dip before warming up again.