Remove ads from site
I always find it a bit disappointing when the record setting potential of a month drops off in the second half after such an amazing start, as this year now seems set to do.
My memory of 1994 is that the warmth just kept coming even later on in the month. Next week is probably going to ruin any chance we had of beating it now unless we get a proper SW blowtorch in the final week
12.1 to the 13th
5.7c above the 61 to 90 average
3.7c above the 91 to 20 average
12.0 to the 14th
5.6c above the 61 to 90 average
11.8 to the 15th
5.4c above the 61 to 90 average
3.5c above the 91 to 20 average
11.6 to the 16th
5.2c above the 61 to 90 average
3.4c above the 91 to 20 average
Formerly Guest (16) since 2004
11.2 to the 17th
4.8c above the 61 to 90 average
3.0c above the 91 to 20 average
10.7 to the 18th
4.3c above the 61 to 90 average
2.6c above the 91 to 20 average
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
.... And the value us still above all of us!!! Maybe, just maybe the number will get into our range of guestimates by the weekend, some cold nights to come in the relatively clear CET triangle...
Originally Posted by: Dickieboy68
Although temps recover a bit from the weekend, the daily CET numbers still look lower than what the ongoing average will be, thus nudging it down further right to the end of the month.
Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
The GFS 06z gives me a final CET estimate of about 8.7°C, but I know it tends to overestimate the overnight lows in cold setups, so that could easily be a few tenths too high. Given I went for 8.33°C I'd not mind that at all.
https://twitter.com/peacockreports
2025's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 32.0°C 12th Aug | T-Min: -5.4°C 4th Jan | Wettest Day: 31.8 mm 18th Dec | Ice Days: None
Keep Calm and Forecast On
10.3 to the 19th
3.9c above the 61 to 90 average
2.3c above the 91 to 20 average
9.9 to the 20th
3.4c above the 61 to 90 average
2.0c above the 91 to 20 average
9.4 to the 21st
3.0c above the 61 to 90 average
1.6c above the 91 to 20 average
Hadley
Originally Posted by: Gavin D
Still remarkably high, something in the 8s a likely finish now.
Cheers All!
9.2 to the 22nd
2.8c above the 61 to 90 average
1.5c above the 91 to 20 average
9.0 to the 23rd
2.6c above the 61 to 90 average
1.4c above the 91 to 20 average
https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:c3yk6es2hmt5umw5s6z5fbgw/post/3m6hjbravnk2a
Of course, I'd quite like it to be spot on 😁
8.9 to the 24th
2.5c above the 61 to 90 average
1.3c above the 91 to 20 average
Latest GFS run gave me a final CET estimate of about 8.3°C and that could still be a little on the high side given we've at least more cold night to come, for which it tends to overestimate the minimums.
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser
Given what I was thinking I was looking at 10 days ago, I'd be delighted if 8.3c was spot on!!
Would be a bit of a 'great escape'
8.7 to the 25th
2.3c above the 61 to 90 average
1.2c above the 91 to 20 average
8.5 to the 26th
2.1c above the 61 to 90 average
1.0c above the 91 to 20 average
8.5 to the 27th