The Weather Outlook

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Brian Gaze
06 July 2025 14:33:46
Following on from the 'guess the first date 30°C will be recorded' competition, I’ve decided to run another one, this time to see who can most accurately predict the lowest officially recorded temperature in the UK between now and the end of 2025. So the actual question is:

What will be the lowest temperature, to the nearest tenth of a degree, officially recorded (UK Met Office approved) in the UK between now and 31 December 2025?

Rules:

1. Submit your guess in this thread as a single temperature in °C, to one decimal place (e.g. -14.7°C)

2. Only one entry per person

3. Entries can be submitted at any time

4. The winner will be the person whose guess is closest to the actual lowest temperature officially recorded in the UK by the Met Office between the date of this post and 31 December 2025, inclusive

5. If two or more entries are equally close, the earliest submitted entry will be declared the winner

6. Entries that have been edited will not be accepted

Prize

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Retron
06 July 2025 14:38:41

A fun competition! I'll go for -10.3, please.


Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
06 July 2025 15:18:20

-8.8c please


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
06 July 2025 15:22:30

Minus 9.9C please. If it was for my back garden, I'd go for minus 1.9C.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

scillydave
06 July 2025 15:51:17

-14.3c for me please Brian. 


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

lanky
06 July 2025 16:06:51

-15.6 for me please Brian


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Gandalf The White
06 July 2025 16:21:33

I’ll go with -6.4c


Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



doctormog
06 July 2025 16:25:14
Rob K
06 July 2025 16:32:47

-11.2ºC for me.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Tim A
06 July 2025 17:01:45

-17.3c please


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

icpass
06 July 2025 17:09:42

-8 for me


Ian pass bath

www.cotswoldobservatory.co.uk

JOHN NI
06 July 2025 18:52:52

-14.8c please.


John.

The orange County of Armagh.

TheJudge
06 July 2025 20:16:29

-12.7


Barby 551 ft above sea level
westv
07 July 2025 06:48:27

I will go for -25.2c


Big heat in May

Summer will be spray.

Bertwhistle
07 July 2025 11:22:20

-7.7 and it'll be in November!


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

07 July 2025 18:41:32

-6.2 degrees centigrade 

Sussex snow magnet
07 July 2025 18:59:10

I'll go for -16.5

Chunky Pea
07 July 2025 19:31:05

-22.8c 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Bolty
08 July 2025 21:27:45

After how this year has panned out so far, my guess is for a generally autumn and start to winter. I'll go for -8.7C.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

redmoons
08 July 2025 23:57:00
picturesareme
09 July 2025 00:47:10

Altnahara dropping to 1C last night is a reminder that the Scottish climate is drastically different to that of most of the UK. 

So on that note i think -20.5C will be seen sometime before January.

Roger Parsons
09 July 2025 04:49:49

-10°C for me please.


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

domma
09 July 2025 05:45:34

-15.5c for me. 

Windy Willow
09 July 2025 08:17:28

-9.3c is my guess. 


South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

tierradelfuego
09 July 2025 17:51:56

-13.8c for me


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

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