March 2025 CET discussion, analysis and CET competition

scillydave
Advanced Member Topic Starter

27 February 2025 09:46:25

IMPORTANT - Brian has turned off the PM system for the forum (see discussion in the Forum arms for details) so for this month please post your predictions in this thread. I'll have a think about how we get back to anonymised predictions for next month.

March beckons and with it Spring - will we see early warmth or will March bring a rare cooler than average month. Is it the year that we break the March CET record?

Following February's unexpected warmth the CET competition table is wide open so it's all to play for in the months ahead.

Historical data below, I've added all-time CET data as well as the usual 1970 onwards reference period.

March Historical Statistics
All-time CET Average 5.42c
1991 – 2020 Average 6.74c

All time
Warmest
1957 9.20
1938 9.10
2017 8.80
2012 8.40
1997 8.30

Coldest
1674 1.0
1785 1.2
1748 1.8
1883 1.9
1845 2.0

Since 1970
Warmest
2017 8.8
1997 8.4
2012 8.4
1990 8.3
2024 8.2
Coldest
2013 2.8
1970 3.7
1987 4.1
1996 4.5
1979 4.7 also 1980, 1984 & 1985 all at 4.7

Last 5 Years
2024 8.2
2023 7.0
2022 8.0
2021 7.3
2020 6.8

As usual all predictions are due by 23.59 on the 28th of February.
Good luck!

Edited by moderator 27 February 2025 21:05:15 | Reason: Not specified

Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

+4

Frank H
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 14:32:03

#2

PMs or equivalent are only critical for December(maybe November to some extent) otherwise the competition loses integrity.
You can get by without them in the other months, though its not ideal. I think GW used to run it this way.

Wrightington, Wigan

+1

Bolty
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 14:33:23

#3

I'll go for 7.8 please.

Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station

Windy Willow
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 14:35:20

#4

8.33c please

South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

lanky
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 14:41:03

#5

I will go for 7.92C please for my March 2025 CET Estimate

You could open a new email address of you own (in gmail for example) and just use it for these guesses. I do prefer the system where all the guesses are secret until they are all in

Martin
Richmond, Surrey

+1

Windy Willow
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 14:53:14

#6

I will go for 7.92C please for my March 2025 CET Estimate

You could open a new email address of you own (in gmail for example) and just use it for these guesses. I do prefer the system where all the guesses are secret until they are all in

Originally Posted by: lanky

That's a good idea 👍

South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

Dickieboy68
Newbie

27 February 2025 19:26:15

#7

7.68 for me this time please
(Couldn't find the DM functionality, screen blind I think !!)

Dickieboy - In the deep mid-Wiltshire
Formerly Guest (16) since 2004

Sussex snow magnet
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 19:44:07

#8

8.1 for me please.

Saint Snow
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 20:58:09

#9

7.68 for me this time please
(Couldn't find the DM functionality, screen blind I think !!)

Originally Posted by: Dickieboy68

It's gone, mate.

Brian is trying to save the forum as a whole in the face of the idiotic new 'online safety' regulations, and DM's has to be cast adrift.

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan

Hungry Tiger
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 21:07:38

#10

Just stickied it for you. 🙂

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

+1

Ally Pally Snowman
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 21:10:08

#11

7.6c for me .
Thanks

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.

Hungry Tiger
Advanced Member

27 February 2025 21:13:03

#12

I'll go for 8.0C. 🙂

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

scillydave
Advanced Member Topic Starter

27 February 2025 21:43:01

#13

I will go for 7.92C please for my March 2025 CET Estimate

You could open a new email address of you own (in gmail for example) and just use it for these guesses. I do prefer the system where all the guesses are secret until they are all in

Originally Posted by: lanky

Lanky that's a good call - I'll set it up for April - I prefer the secret guess system too.

Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

+1

scillydave
Advanced Member Topic Starter

27 February 2025 21:46:33

#14

My guess this month is 8.15c - I'm going for a warm one.

Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.