The Weather Outlook

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johncs2016
01 November 2024 10:31:13
We have now entered into the final month of the meteorological autumn and so far in this part of the world, this autumn has been slightly wetter than average overall.

Although October 2024 was slightly wetter than average here though, it wasn't excessively wet given that October is our wettest month of the year on average anyway according to the 1991-2020 averages and we are now into a much drier spell of weather which is largely dominated by high pressure, a pattern which we could have done with seeing during the summer when we were actually looking for that to deliver some decent summer weather to these parts.

The outlook according to the latest model output is also looking very dry, so I'm not expecting very much activity on this thread, at least during the first part of this month.

I have created this thread just now in case anyone has anything to report on here in the meantime although I will be very surprised if that is actually the case for the time being at least.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
02 November 2024 07:56:34
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

Total since 9 am GMT (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 1.8 mm (as at 7:00 am GMT (07:00 UTC) this morning on Saturday 2 November 2024)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 1.8 mm (2.4% of 1991-2020 November average)

Number of rain days during this month: 1 (7.8% of 1991-2020 November average)

Number of dry days during this month: 0

Seasonal Data

Total for this autumn so far: 149.0 mm (70.5% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of rain days during this autumn: 26 (71.4% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of dry days during this autumn: 27

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 792.8 mm (101.1% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 126 (91.7% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 116

More rain has now fallen during this year than the 1991-2020 annual average and so regardless of what happens during the

rest of this year, this year will now go down as being wetter than average in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form

by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Bolty
14 November 2024 17:59:32
Just 4.8mm to 18:00 on the 14th here.

Remarkably dry for November, though you wouldn't think it with how damp everything still is. It shows how low the evaporation rates are at this time of year. If this was May or June, it would be more or less bone dry by now.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Chunky Pea
14 November 2024 20:07:04

Just 4.8mm to 18:00 on the 14th here.

Remarkably dry for November, though you wouldn't think it with how damp everything still is. It shows how low the evaporation rates are at this time of year. If this was May or June, it would be more or less bone dry by now.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

Even less here. 1.5mm and much of that from fog deposits. As you say though, drying is very poor and the ground here is soaking wet despite no rain for weeks. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

johncs2016
19 November 2024 08:07:26
I thought I'd bump this thread as some people are getting some snow just now which will no doubt convert to an equivalent rainfall total which can then be posted on here.

Here in Edinburgh, a total of just 3.6 mm of rain has been recorded during this entire month at Edinburgh Gogarbank and there has been no meaningful rainfall here since the very first day of this month.

Given that we are an island which is surrounded on almost all sides by large bodies of water, this sort of thing shouldn't be happening especially given that we are now into the time of year when we would expect the polar vortex to be at its strongest, so the fact that this has happened anyway is yet another example of why I will never agree with those who come on here and say that just because we live on an island which is largely surrounded by water, we will never experience really bad droughts or water shortages in this country due to a lack of rainfall.

If it doesn't rain for long periods of time, that is still going to happen anyway and being just an island which is surrounded by water is not in any way going to save us from such a fate.

This winter half of the year is actually the most important time of the year to be getting rain because that is what keeps the reservoirs and groundwater levels in good shape going into the following spring and summer.

I know that this month has brought a welcome relief from a very extended wet period in many parts of the UK but although this has been a fairly wet year overall here in Edinburgh, we haven't had the excessive amounts of rain which some parts of the UK had been getting, so that doesn't really apply to the same extent here.

If we don't start to get some very serious rainfall very soon, I fear that this will come back to bite us big time when it comes to next spring and summer with an increasing risk of water shortages as a result. As I said above, the very fact that we are an island nation is not going to save us from that in any way and in any case, getting moderate amounts of rainfall every now and then is part and parcel of what makes up a changeable weather pattern.

The fact that we're not even getting that any more is yet another example of why we just don't get changeable weather here any more like what we used to and it's just all become boring and tedious as a result.😡


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

speckledjim
19 November 2024 08:16:03
total for the month is only 1.8mm
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

Retron
19 November 2024 08:16:34

I thought I'd bump this thread as some people are getting some snow just now which will no doubt convert to an equivalent rainfall total which can then be posted on here.johncs2016;1610718

Some people, but not here - just bucketloads of cold rain.

Up until Friday the monthly total was just 1mm. Over the weekend there was a couple of mm more, and last night's deluge dropped another 12.4mm, taking the total up to 15.6mm.

There's an angry-looking red blob of rain on the radar about to hit, so a few more mm before the sun comes out!


Leysdown, north Kent
speckledjim
19 November 2024 08:18:35

I thought I'd bump this thread as some people are getting some snow just now which will no doubt convert to an equivalent rainfall total which can then be posted on here.

Here in Edinburgh, a total of just 3.6 mm of rain has been recorded during this entire month at Edinburgh Gogarbank and there has been no meaningful rainfall here since the very first day of this month.

Given that we are an island which is surrounded on almost all sides by large bodies of water, this sort of thing shouldn't be happening especially given that we are now into the time of year when we would expect the polar vortex to be at its strongest, so the fact that this has happened anyway is yet another example of why I will never agree with those who come on here and say that just because we live on an island which is largely surrounded by water, we will never experience really bad droughts or water shortages in this country due to a lack of rainfall.

If it doesn't rain for long periods of time, that is still going to happen anyway and being just an island which is surrounded by water is not in any way going to save us from such a fate.

This winter half of the year is actually the most important time of the year to be getting rain because that is what keeps the reservoirs and groundwater levels in good shape going into the following spring and summer.

I know that this month has brought a welcome relief from a very extended wet period in many parts of the UK but although this has been a fairly wet year overall here in Edinburgh, we haven't had the excessive amounts of rain which some parts of the UK had been getting, so that doesn't really apply to the same extent here.

If we don't start to get some very serious rainfall very soon, I fear that this will come back to bite us big time when it comes to next spring and summer with an increasing risk of water shortages as a result. As I said above, the very fact that we are an island nation is not going to save us from that in any way and in any case, getting moderate amounts of rainfall every now and then is part and parcel of what makes up a changeable weather pattern.

The fact that we're not even getting that any more is yet another example of why we just don't get changeable weather here any more like what we used to and it's just all become boring and tedious as a result.😡

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 

Hardly likely with all the rain we've had this year. Your reservoirs are 85% full!


Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

sunny coast
20 November 2024 20:53:39
33 mm nearly all yesterday and mondqy night 
speckledjim
21 November 2024 08:43:56
3.2mm mtd
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

johncs2016
24 November 2024 08:45:09
It's been a long time since I was last able to post a full report here but the latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 9 am GMT (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 2.6 mm

Total since 9 am GMT (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 17.6 mm (as at 7:40 am GMT (07:40 UTC) this morning on Sunday 24 November 2024)

This clearly makes yesterday our wettest day of this month by quite a distance. Most of what has fallen over the last couple of days has fallen as snow and a very large part of yesterday's official total is due to snow melt.

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 23.4 mm (31.8% of 1991-2020 November average)

Number of rain days during this month: 3 (23.3% of 1991-2020 November average)

Number of dry days during this month: 17

With less than a week to go, this month is now unlikely to be wetter than average.

Seasonal Data

Total for this autumn so far: 170.6 mm (80.7% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of rain days during this autumn: 28 (76.9% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of dry days during this autumn: 44

With less than a week to go, this autumn is now unlikely to be wetter than average.

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 814.4 mm (103.8% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 128 (93.1% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 133

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form

by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

speckledjim
25 November 2024 08:10:05
40.6mm 
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

speckledjim
26 November 2024 08:37:39
41.4mm
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

tierradelfuego
27 November 2024 18:16:58
10mm today taking us up to 100.8mm MTD

YTD is now 924mm so very possible we'll see the 2nd year in a row over 30% above average hitting the 1000mm mark


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

speckledjim
30 November 2024 09:02:14
42mm will be my total for the month
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
30 November 2024 10:06:59
30mm here about 1/3 normal.

Year will be 20mm below average at 30th November on 718mm


johncs2016
01 December 2024 09:51:47
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Monthly Data

Final total for November 2024: 31.2 mm (42.4% of 1991-2020 November average)

Number of rain days during November 2024: 6 (46.7% of 1991-2020 November average)

Number of dry days during November 2024: 18

An exceptionally dry month with barely any rain at all in the first half of the month.

Most of the rain in November 2024 came from Storm Bert and fell as snow with a very large part of that total being due to snow melt.

Seasonal Data

Final total for the autumn of 2024: 178.4 mm (84.4% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of rain days during the autumn of 2024: 31 (85.2% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of dry days during the autumn of 2024: 45

In the end, both September and October were slightly wetter than average with November being the autumn's only drier than average month but November was so exceptionally dry that this was enough for the autumn as a whole to be considerably drier than average both in terms of the actual rainfall amounts and in terms of the number of rain days.

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 822.2 mm (104.8% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 131 (95.3% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 134

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form

by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Andy J
01 December 2024 20:22:16
Final total for November here is 53.5mm,  very close to our long term average of 56mm.   The entire month's rainfall fell in the second half of the month.

Total Autumn rainfall here came to 280.5mm, making it the 4th wettest Autumn here in the last 42 years.  (167% average).


Gainsborough, Lincolnshire.
Crepuscular Ray
03 December 2024 11:49:44
Similar to Gogarbank, my nearest station, Swanston, had 38mm for November, only 30% of their average. This was helped by the Storm Bert snow event, otherwise it would have been exceptionally dry!
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

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