The Weather Outlook

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StoneCroze
12 July 2024 13:27:43
Lively little cell to my SE, very slow moving with deep rumbles of thunder.
Alderney, Channel Islands. (previously known as Beaufort)
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2024 14:25:48
Line of thunderstorms running along the Downs north of Chichester
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Rob K
15 July 2024 15:50:51
Looks like some isolated lightning strikes near the south coast, a line of heavy showers slowly inching this way.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

picturesareme
15 July 2024 20:35:03
Over 20mm in around 2 hours from downpours earlier 
ballamar
18 July 2024 06:50:53
Outside chance of some popcorn storms tomorrow east Anglia 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
30 July 2024 12:36:55
MetO warning out for thunderstorms tomorrow (Wed 31st) for the SE, from Dorset to Essex, and again for Thu for all of England and Wales except the far W & SW. (Memo; open an August convection thread)

Predictions on rainfall radar shows the storms to be well scattered , so a rather messy thundery breakdown of the hot spell.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
30 July 2024 12:51:46

MetO warning out for thunderstorms tomorrow (Wed 31st) for the SE, from Dorset to Essex, and again for Thu for all of England and Wales except the far W & SW. (Memo; open an August convection thread)

Predictions on rainfall radar shows the storms to be well scattered, so a rather messy thundery breakdown of the hot spell.

Originally Posted by: DEW 

I would guess it will stay dry here IMO based on previous forecasts of thundery outbreaks. Love to be wrong though.

The local media are currently full of hyperbolic talk about thunderstorms and flooding, as they are always in these situations.

One day it will happen again here of course but perhaps not this time.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Retron
30 July 2024 15:59:24
Interesting terminology in the SE text forecast from the Met Office - I can't say I've noticed them using the word "significant" in terms of thunderstorms before...

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Some significant thunderstorms and heavy showers remain possible through Thursday and into early Friday. Becoming fresher on Saturday with a spell of early rain clearing through.


Leysdown, north Kent
Roger Parsons
30 July 2024 16:58:21

Interesting terminology in the SE text forecast from the Met Office - I can't say I've noticed them using the word "significant" in terms of thunderstorms before...

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Some significant thunderstorms and heavy showers remain possible through Thursday and into early Friday. Becoming fresher on Saturday with a spell of early rain clearing through.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

There's the title for your novel...


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Retron
31 July 2024 17:59:41

There's the title for your novel...

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

Hah! Well, they've gone a step further today:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GT0z6-HWgAAPVTj?format=png&name=900x900 

https://x.com/metoffice/status/1818670454191571262 

for the SE tomorrow, from late morning onwards:

"Risk of severe thunderstorms. 100mm rain in 2-3 hours. Frequent lightning and large hail."

Hmm. I don't mind a good storm, but that sounds downright ominous! ⛈️🫤

If the likelihood and potential severity stays the same, I wouldn't be surprised to see an amber issued tomorrow morning...

EDIT: It's reflected in the text forecast for the SE, too:

Thursday:

A cloudy start with some showers, these gradually easing. Bright or sunny spells developing, before heavy showers and thunderstorms, possibly severe, develop into the afternoon


Leysdown, north Kent
Roger Parsons
31 July 2024 18:15:58

Thursday:

A cloudy start with some showers, these gradually easing. Bright or sunny spells developing, before heavy showers and thunderstorms, possibly severe, develop into the afternoon

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Looks like our prospects for thunderstorms here may be slipping away... This place has been throbbing with agricultural vehicles "doing their thing" today. I do love a good thunderstorm. We'll just have to hope...


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Windy Willow
31 July 2024 19:19:22

Looks like our prospects for thunderstorms here may be slipping away... This place has been throbbing with agricultural vehicles "doing their thing" today. I do love a good thunderstorm. We'll just have to hope...

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

One of the farms, not too far away, was definitely harvesting onions/garlic this afternoon, the air was very pungent with the scent for quite some time.


South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
31 July 2024 22:11:02
...closing ...


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

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