WX temp charts show temps not far from seasonal average across Europe for the next two weeks, comfortably warm in the south and cool in the north. For Britain, that 'comfortably warm' means essentially the SE; and given that these charts are an average, they imply that a predicted burst of warmth at the weekend is likely to be shortlived. Rain mostly from Britain to W Scandinavia in week 1, drifting E-wards in week 2, and a separate narrower band extending NE from the Alps.
GFS Op - Atlantic depressions moving E-wards across Britain until Tue 18th, though the one off W Ireland on Sat 8th sticks there for a couple of days, long enough to bring up warmth from the S (and some heavy rain according to MetO). From the 18th HP from the SW takes over with 1025mb centred Cornwall Thu 20th.
ECM - similar to GFS; a hint that pressure may rise from the SW a few days sooner.
GEFS - cool for a couple of days, then a burst of warmth Sat 8th (most noticeable, as above, in the SE), but back to a little below seasonal norm from Mon 10th through to Thu 20th. Good ens agreement. Rain in the S now, not much thereafter but highest chances around Wed 12th; for the N, significant amounts of rain on and off from Sun 9th onwards
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Chichester 12m asl