Metcheck               18.06c          Anomaly        4.34c

Netweather            18.84c          Anomaly        5.15c

Peasedown st John 17.45c      Anomaly     1.67c.   

September off to a flyer!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

September off to a flyer!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

 

+0.53C the target now for record hottest year. Not difficult to achieve. 

Metcheck            17.99c          Anomaly       4.26c

Netweather         18.62c          Anomaly       4.93c

Peasedown St John  17.35c    Anomaly    1.57c.  

 

+0.53C the target now for record hottest year. Not difficult to achieve. 

Every chance of the first 11c+ in the CET series. Ive no doubt this Semptember will be another very warm one and most again in the CET comp have too low.

Hadley

18.2c to the 6th

4.6c above the 61 to 90 average
3.0c above the 81 to 10 average

It's one of those transition months, innit?

All things being equal, it should get naturally cooler as the month progresses. Been many a September that has started off like an extension to summer, but ended with low-single figure mins and low-teens maxes.

Hadley

18.2c to the 6th

4.6c above the 61 to 90 average
3.0c above the 81 to 10 average

Whats most remarkable about those stats is the change between the 61-90 and 81-10 averages. 2 decades. 1.6C warming. 

Metcheck                 17.70c          Anomaly         3.98c

Netweather              18.44c          Anomaly         4.75c

Peasedown St John 17.13c          Anomaly         1.35c.   

Hadley


18.1c to the 7th

4.5c above the 61 to 90 average
3.0c above the 81 to 10 average

Noted for the speed.

Metcheck                17.39c         Anomaly        3.66c

Netweather             18.13c         Anomaly        4.44c

Peasedown St John  17.08c        Anomaly        1.30c.

Those lower down in the table will need to hope that ECM is on the money with developing high pressure in a relatively cool position for the UK later next week. Cool air with clear skies can really hammer the CET down come mid-September.

Personally, I'm torn between wanting that (due to the mid-table estimate of 14.98) versus another exceptionally warm month to make 2022 stand out even more and keep it well on course to be the warmest year on record.

Yesterday was the first maximum below 22C here for six weeks of consecutive days. The mean max for August/September was 27.1C.

What an incredible summer!

..... and also for those who like quirky stats

If September 2022 ends up with a positive anomaly (CET Mean, based 1961-90) which it looks very likely to do, it will be the first time in the history of the monthly CET (since 1659) that 16 months in a row have had a positive anomaly

We are currently on 15 (Jun 2021-Aug 2022) and tied with just one other 15 month period (Apr 2006 to Jun 2007)

Metcheck                 17.19c         Anomaly       3.47c

Netweather              17.87c         Anomaly       4.178c

Peasedown St John 16.77c         Anomaly         0.99c.    

Met Office Hadley CET     17.7c      Anomaly        4.1c. Provisional to 9th.

..... and also for those who like quirky stats

If September 2022 ends up with a positive anomaly (CET Mean, based 1961-90) which it looks very likely to do, it will be the first time in the history of the monthly CET (since 1659) that 16 months in a row have had a positive anomaly

We are currently on 15 (Jun 2021-Aug 2022) and tied with just one other 15 month period (Apr 2006 to Jun 2007)

Seems highly likely now, even with a cool spell mid month.

Annual record target now only +0.44C. With that kind of target we could afford a cooler than average month this autumn and still be on course.

 

Seems highly likely now, even with a cool spell mid month.

Annual record target now only +0.44C. With that kind of target we could afford a cooler than average month this autumn and still be on course.

I suppose the biggest threat will be a very cool month- like some of the Octobers in the early 90s, or a wintry December.