The Weather Outlook

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bledur
19 July 2022 12:31:16

Heathrow at 40c, it is all the Jet Exhausts. If there had been that much Tarmac and Jet Exhausts in 76 it would have been 43c

nsrobins
19 July 2022 12:31:41

Thought this brilliant piece of music was apt for today (end of film ‘Knowing’)


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

Quantum
19 July 2022 12:32:15

Oh god. 38C now appearing in Lincs.

SE seems to have plateued.


25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

Chunky Pea
19 July 2022 12:33:15

 

Know thy strengths.

AROME is the first model you go to in rain/snow situations. It is pretty much always spot on at deciding which kind of precip will fall.

Not that good at other stuff though.

 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Never found Arome to be that great to be honest. It overdoes convective potential a lot I find. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Quantum
19 July 2022 12:33:55

 

Never found Arome to be that great to be honest. It overdoes convective potential a lot I find. 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

Its bad at that too.

But as I say, for precip type, its the best model there is.

 

 


25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

NickR
19 July 2022 12:34:32
36.5°C in Durham. Astonishing,
Nick

Durham

[email protected]

Ally Pally Snowman
19 July 2022 12:34:32

Charlwood 39.9c ,Kew 39.6c at 1pm

Lots over 39c

Met office twitter 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
19 July 2022 12:35:41
Jumping up again in Pett Bottom: suddenly 37.9C after a plateau of an hour.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
19 July 2022 12:36:17

36.5°C in Durham. Astonishing,

Originally Posted by: NickR 

Any news on the Scottish record? Sparse stations in the borders.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Jiries
19 July 2022 12:37:03

39C 102 and inside 34.5 to 36.5C as all windows open to feel the hot air inside. very welcome

johncs2016
19 July 2022 12:37:37
It's now 33°C here in Hawick as I write which on its own, could be enough to beat the all time Scottish record if that was to be officially confirmed.
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Quantum
19 July 2022 12:38:09

The hotzone:

Doncaster: 38C (r, 1:20pm)

Cranwell: 37.9C (1pm)

Coningsby: 37.3C (1pm)

Leconfield: 37.4C (1pm)

Humberside: 37C (r, 1pm)

Gringly: 36.8C (1pm)

Hull: 36.6C (1pm)

Bramham: 36.5C (1pm)

Waddington: 36.5C (1pm)

Normanby (what I thought would be the hottest): 36.4C (1pm)

 

Its no longer about the SE. It is time for Humberside to return.

 

 


25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

Chunky Pea
19 July 2022 12:38:46

 

Its bad at that too.

But as I say, for precip type, its the best model there is.

 

 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

True, but the ICON is not bad in this regard either. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Ally Pally Snowman
19 July 2022 12:39:05

39.1c St James's park 1pm


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
doctormog
19 July 2022 12:39:12

39C 102 and inside 34.5 to 36.5C as all windows open to feel the hot air inside. very welcome

Originally Posted by: Jiries 



That indoor temperature sounds horrific and potentially harmfully. I hope it cools down soon.


NDunwell
19 July 2022 12:39:16
40 now showing on Iphone for my location and for Northolt
Nick

Ruislip (2 miles from the Northolt recording station)

Jason H
19 July 2022 12:40:36
39.8° here at 13:40. Just wow!!!
I feel great! so maybe I might just

Search for a 9 to 5, if I strive

Then maybe I'll stay alive

Bexleyheath, Kent.

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
19 July 2022 12:40:44

The hotzone:

Doncaster: 38C (r, 1:20pm)

Cranwell: 37.9C (1pm)

Coningsby: 37.3C (1pm)

Leconfield: 37.4C (1pm)

Humberside: 37C (r, 1pm)

Gringly: 36.8C (1pm)

Hull: 36.6C (1pm)

Bramham: 36.5C (1pm)

Waddington: 36.5C (1pm)

Normanby (what I thought would be the hottest): 36.4C (1pm)

 

Its no longer about the SE. It is time for Humberside to return.

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Levelling up


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Gavin D
19 July 2022 12:41:06

Looks like Brian has hit 40c

 

 

Quantum
19 July 2022 12:41:22

 

True, but the ICON is not bad in this regard either. 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

ICON is useless though when you want precip type for convective precip, since it does not advect moisture which means you never get winter showers inland on the ICON.

 


25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

NDunwell
19 July 2022 12:43:15

 

Its no longer about the SE. It is time for Humberside to return.

 

 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Still rising in this bit of the SE, didn't think it would into the afternoon, but it is


Nick

Ruislip (2 miles from the Northolt recording station)

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
19 July 2022 12:43:37

Carlisle and Redesdale camp, both close to the border, are showing 34C so surely the Scottish record will go today.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Chunky Pea
19 July 2022 12:43:39

The hotzone:

Doncaster: 38C (r, 1:20pm)

Cranwell: 37.9C (1pm)

Coningsby: 37.3C (1pm)

Leconfield: 37.4C (1pm)

Humberside: 37C (r, 1pm)

Gringly: 36.8C (1pm)

Hull: 36.6C (1pm)

Bramham: 36.5C (1pm)

Waddington: 36.5C (1pm)

Normanby (what I thought would be the hottest): 36.4C (1pm)

 

Its no longer about the SE. It is time for Humberside to return.

 

 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

I'm really rooting for Doncaster, but those are just incredible temperatures all round. Almost scary. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

redmoons
19 July 2022 12:44:59

wow, I just got to 40c at 1.40pm 

I never would have thought that would happen, double checked on a mercury thermometer and it's correct.


Hungry Tiger
19 July 2022 12:46:11

Heathrow reported 40.2C nearly an hour ago now. Has that been exceeded anywhere yet.

 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



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