The Weather Outlook

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KevBrads1
10 November 2021 18:15:52

 

The coldest winter of the Great War, the severe winter of 1916-17 which had a CET of 1.5

December 1916 was a notably cold month. The first cold wintry spell came around the 10th, when a low pressure
became slow moving around the south of the UK, this brought wintry showers to many places.

This spell more or less continued until about the 17th with air becoming colder and snow showers falling often

The weather became somewhat milder around the 20th but it wasn't until the 28th that it became very mild

This mild spell continued into the early part of January

The weather became colder around the 9th as a NEly developed across the UK

The 14th was a particularly cold day with a biting NEly and snow showers

High pressure started to build over Scandinavia and a cold continental flow developed across the UK

The last third of January was cold with a cold easterly south/easterly flow with maxima near or below freezing

The flow became an Arctic northerly at the start of February and this heralded the coldest spell
of the winter as an anticyclone developed over the UK and with the clear skies at night and a snow cover minima drop below -10C in a number of places

The Atlantic started to make in roads on the stagnant cold high after mid month and the high slipped further and further into Europe and this allowed milder Atlantic air to push in over the UK

 

As we moved into the spring of 1917, the cold air was still close by and a tight pressure gradient over the UK developed during early March between a strong low in the mid Atlantic and a strong high pressure over Russia

The 8th of March was a particularly cold day and there was heavy snowfalls during this period

The weather alternated between cold and mild spells after mid month for the rest of the month

On the 1st of April, low pressure was over southern Norway and this directed a northerly flow over the UK which was intensely cold and a number of places in the north had subzero maxima.  The polar airmass that flooded the UK came from the Spitsbergen area which recorded a minimum of -49.2C on the 28th of March 1917. That was the lowest minimum recorded that year for stations in the latitude zone of 70N to 80N and the lowest minimum recorded in that latitude range from 1910 to 1918.

 

Snowfalls fell in many places especially in Ulster which was exposed to the flow, depths of snow over the Mourne Mountains were approaching 1m.
The low pressure over Norway moved over the UK and the snowfalls continued although the intensity of the cold was losing its grip during the day, the intensity of the cold at night was increasing with the snowcover, clear skies and slack gradients.
Minima were breeching the -10C mark regularly and at Newton Rigg in Cumbria, -15C was recorded on the 2nd.
April 1917 was cold with a CET of 5.4. The first two thirds of the month was plagued by cyclonic conditions and with winds with a northerly component. High pressure dominated the last third of the month.


Data for winter 1916-17

December 1916: 1.9 (-2.1)
January  1917: 1.6 (-1.9)
February 1917: 0.9 (-3.0)
-----------------------------

March 1917: 3.2  (-1.9)
April 1917: 5.4  (-2.3)


1st-28th December: 1.1
2nd half of January: -0.5
1st half of February: -2.2


Coldest spells of winter

13th-19th December -0.7

14th January- 16th February: -1.1

 Mildest CET maximum day: 13.0  29th December

Coldest CET maximum day: -2.6  7th February

Coldest CET minimum night: -11.7 7th February

1st-10th March: 1.3

1st-10th April: 2.1

The period 1st December 1916-15th April 1917: 2.0C

-------------------------------------------------------------

 Unlike with World War 2, weather reports in the newspapers was not as restricted, during World War 1

Guardian clippings from December 1916

2nd https://i.imgur.com/pYlnrFF.jpg

4th https://i.imgur.com/y9D328y.jpg

5th https://i.imgur.com/A7xtYAN.jpg

6th https://i.imgur.com/35XAXi7.jpg

7th https://i.imgur.com/kKfYOK9.jpg

12th https://i.imgur.com/umZLqK6.jpg

13th https://i.imgur.com/2hc5QKw.jpg

14th https://i.imgur.com/zxt0Ke3.jpg

15th https://i.imgur.com/t2bjPur.jpg

16th https://i.imgur.com/uU1feDT.jpg

18th https://i.imgur.com/zArwNzQ.jpg https://i.imgur.com/y5Yp4gy.jpg

19th https://i.imgur.com/LdTbMih.jpg

20th https://i.imgur.com/Q5ScVsj.jpg

21st https://i.imgur.com/u2EWvv6.jpg

22nd https://i.imgur.com/s463oRY.jpg

23rd https://i.imgur.com/yLxO1Rv.jpg

26th https://i.imgur.com/jG4K8LC.jpg

27th https://i.imgur.com/ZLDFoir.jpg

28th https://i.imgur.com/ILtDc6U.jpg

29th https://i.imgur.com/6EBgqwv.jpg

 

January 1917

3rd https://i.imgur.com/xLXwPnU.jpg

4th https://i.imgur.com/XFvv0AL.jpg

5th https://i.imgur.com/rbmzxlv.jpg

6th https://i.imgur.com/9lxoGNI.jpg

8th https://i.imgur.com/ToFh9Aa.jpg

9th https://i.imgur.com/XdsSjIK.jpg https://i.imgur.com/pTy8fYJ.jpg https://i.imgur.com/QJUzdaE.jpg 

10th https://i.imgur.com/nXcAMZx.jpg 

12th https://i.imgur.com/3NdbPYH.jpg 

13th https://i.imgur.com/yc11YuP.jpg 

15th https://i.imgur.com/NvfytUQ.jpg 

16th https://i.imgur.com/560wpMH.jpg https://i.imgur.com/0YxDaEy.jpg 

17th https://i.imgur.com/0JGxhA4.jpg 

18th https://i.imgur.com/uE1iZ8O.jpg 

19th https://i.imgur.com/Hl3WkZs.jpg 

20th https://i.imgur.com/hc1MBNc.jpg

22nd https://i.imgur.com/n2c4LVR.jpg 

23rd https://i.imgur.com/xh60NA6.jpg 

24th https://i.imgur.com/vvHgSvG.jpg

25th https://i.imgur.com/txvXuNO.jpg 

26th https://i.imgur.com/iMJVBeM.jpg 

27th https://i.imgur.com/TRvTv8k.jpg

29th https://i.imgur.com/1hLMiMt.jpg https://i.imgur.com/tfFQbNn.jpg https://i.imgur.com/hLizaA5.jpg

30th https://i.imgur.com/4bMLw89.jpg https://i.imgur.com/Ul2vx0Y.jpg https://i.imgur.com/xTe3LaO.jpg https://i.imgur.com/O3kZYOn.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/hcvAfSW.jpg

31st https://i.imgur.com/6Ufzv3D.jpg

 

February 1917

1st https://i.imgur.com/ScFEFS2.jpg 

2nd https://i.imgur.com/ScFEFS2.jpg

3rd https://i.imgur.com/V2KdInb.jpg 

4th https://i.imgur.com/QBAefai.jpg

5th https://i.imgur.com/QaMxQdE.jpg

6th https://i.imgur.com/sWbUz6L.jpg https://i.imgur.com/JTxbH5x.jpg

7th https://i.imgur.com/DfFbp77.jpg https://i.imgur.com/skBZmND.jpg https://i.imgur.com/Hu94YFT.jpg https://i.imgur.com/I731oX6.jpg

8th https://i.imgur.com/CXx0t53.jpg https://i.imgur.com/2jZ6OJK.jpg

9th https://i.imgur.com/XlLdD18.jpg https://i.imgur.com/eqVYb9X.jpg

10th https://i.imgur.com/i8ysddi.jpg

11th https://i.imgur.com/jwZDjNy.jpg https://i.imgur.com/WfChFAy.jpg https://i.imgur.com/vTu7Ofg.jpg

12th https://i.imgur.com/HEKl3YG.jpg

13th https://i.imgur.com/tsiI6oX.jpg

14th https://i.imgur.com/z0Dl0G4.jpg

15th https://i.imgur.com/yqHHFU4.jpg

16th https://i.imgur.com/LszAqMd.jpg

17th https://i.imgur.com/6pzOy2F.jpg

19th https://i.imgur.com/Qp9SImT.jpg

20th https://i.imgur.com/21R5UMh.jpg

21st https://i.imgur.com/l1EZB4g.jpg

22nd https://i.imgur.com/GDz4j21.jpg

23rd https://i.imgur.com/iChwnFk.jpg

24th https://i.imgur.com/exILsnA.jpg

26th https://i.imgur.com/CjrD6ap.jpg

27th https://i.imgur.com/4pzprjT.jpg

28th https://i.imgur.com/mTvXwI3.jpg

March 1917

5th https://i.imgur.com/3D9n7H9.jpg

6th https://i.imgur.com/KFDiH1H.jpg

8th https://i.imgur.com/CQa835S.jpg https://i.imgur.com/9O3MEJT.jpg

 

April 1917

2nd https://i.imgur.com/9c8nt7f.jpg

3rd https://i.imgur.com/xPq71P8.jpg https://i.imgur.com/6Ow3KXn.jpg

4th https://i.imgur.com/r4hU4lx.jpg

 


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

ozone_aurora
11 November 2021 08:42:40

Very interesting account. Thanks Kev. 

Crepuscular Ray
11 November 2021 13:24:24
Very interesting reading Kev 👍
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Hungry Tiger
11 November 2021 15:12:48

That April is amazing - The 5th equal coldest on record.


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



jhall
11 November 2021 21:54:37

Thanks, Kev. It's the length of the cold that is most striking, with every month from December to April being well below average. A bit like a converse of the summer of 1959 (which I  still have fond memories of), which was predominantly dry, warm and sunny from May through to early October.


Cranleigh, Surrey
Hungry Tiger
13 November 2021 10:47:54

I'll move this to to the classics thread tomorrow. Some valuable info here for anyone with an interest in this - or who happens to be doing research.

 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Gusty
13 November 2021 20:22:14

Thanks Kev.

A world away from where we are these days. 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



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