Snow on leading edge of Friday

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Then into Saturday

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Saturday continued

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Be it rain or snow, it really isn't looking at all good for the already heavily saturated parts of the UK, especially Wales and Cumbria. 

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Yeah just seen Met Office forecast for the week on Facebook. Straightforward cold, sunny spells, wintry showers N England northwards with snow building up on hills (its already here!)
Thursday Friday and beyond small disturbances will run across the south with snow possible North London, north of the M4 into south Midlands, even beyond the weekend!

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Looks like front page chart is showing a snow row of 20 (of 23) for London

 

More interestingly, after initial 2 zeros, there is only one more zero

Quite rare for London to have a snow row count for virtually a fortnight

 

Of course, no guarantee of falling snow, and even less likely to settle on low ground

 

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Snow at this time of year doesn't really interest me. It's either not going to settle or in the unlikely event it does settle a rapid thaw sets in immediately. I'd much rather have some early Spring warmth like last year.

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I think the immediate concern will be flooding if the depressions track as forecast on the 12z GFS. 

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I like the diminishing rain spikes.

They are not small dougal, just further away.🤡🤡

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According to the above chart, it looks as though we might finally at long last, be about to get a bit of a break from all of the almost incessant rain which we have getting during this month, albeit only until around the end of the month. I also like the way in which the rainfall spikes are diminishing in intensity as we go further into March but since that is mostly in the unreliable time frame, I'm not really taking that too seriously at the moment.

However, isn't it just like the thing that just we come to the end of the meteorological winter and approach the start of spring, the overall trend now suddenly becomes a bit colder, after a so-called "winter" which has hardly delivered anything in the cold weather throughout? It's nice to see cold and wintry weather appear, ideally with a bit of snow but at the end of the day, that is probably something which I would rather have been seeing around two or three months ago rather than right now.

 

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Very satisfied with developments. I think winter is about to start and will run on for a good few weeks.

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Looking at the Met Office App for Thursday - Sunday this week for the London area there is no sign of snow or low temperatures indeed it is showing a max of 8- 10 degrees for this period with rain showers interspersed with winds from the south yet the forecast on the TWO site shows markedly lower temperatures and snow for some of us during these days. Rather confusing if one is planning events etc....

Looking at the Met Office App for Thursday - Sunday this week for the London area there is no sign of snow or low temperatures indeed it is showing a max of 8- 10 degrees for this period with rain showers interspersed with winds from the south yet the forecast on the TWO site shows markedly lower temperatures and snow for some of us during these days. Rather confusing if one is planning events etc....

If you’re planning events stick to forecasting from model and fax output - the apps are notoriously poor.

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If you’re planning events stick to forecasting from model and fax output - the apps are notoriously poor.

Indeed. The apps are crapps.

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Looking at the Met Office App for Thursday - Sunday this week for the London area there is no sign of snow or low temperatures indeed it is showing a max of 8- 10 degrees for this period with rain showers interspersed with winds from the south yet the forecast on the TWO site shows markedly lower temperatures and snow for some of us during these days. Rather confusing if one is planning events etc....

Well it looks to me as if this forum is no different to the other one. I read on the other forum a few days back a poster was not sure of the forecast to make for the coming two or three days ahead and was unsure what to tell family and friends. I mean seriously do posters on here and the other forum really think they are better than the professionals. Its the same with the posters spouting out teleconnections this and teleconnects that yet they really haven't a scooby do. 

The Met office forecast for this winter season was bang on the ball yet in the Autumn many (including myself ) questioned their bullishness of a mild to very mild and unsettled winter giving a 50 to 60 percentile probability. Not often you see them that bullish about any given forecast yet i did not see one single long range forecast saying we would see a very positive AO this winter. 

One so called or self professed professional on the American forum was claiming success yet he fore cast a neutral AO during the Winter months. Sorry pal that is a big bust in my book. My point of this post being yes these forums can be a form of  great entertainment but at the end of the day we are only amateurs. Lets not kid ourselves.

Very satisfied with developments. I think winter is about to start and will run on for a good few weeks.

Or in the case of Kent, more like a continuation of Autumn with a big wind event likely on Saturday (particularly in the morning). 

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The 12z GFS has Liverpool with three consecutive days scoring 22 in the snow rows with the 850 bumping along at -7c'ish, then down to 2 for a day as the 850 temp spikes to around +3c, before sinking again as the low pulls in cold air on its back, and we get snow rows of 18 then 20.

 

I'm expecting no lying snow

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Best chance of the "winter" so far for me to see snow.

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The 12z GFS has Liverpool with three consecutive days scoring 22 in the snow rows with the 850 bumping along at -7c'ish, then down to 2 for a day as the 850 temp spikes to around +3c, before sinking again as the low pulls in cold air on its back, and we get snow rows of 18 then 20.

 

I'm expecting no lying snow

I've seen 100% in the snow row for my location at T=0 and yet not seen a single flake. The snow row is a complete waste of pixels.

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Looks like front page chart is showing a snow row of 20 (of 23) for London

 

More interestingly, after initial 2 zeros, there is only one more zero

Quite rare for London to have a snow row count for virtually a fortnight

 

Of course, no guarantee of falling snow, and even less likely to settle on low ground

 

Yes, Spring is certainly looking like the new winter there! It's snowed before on my birthday but not my 70th !

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