Not gonna get excited, not gonna get excited, not gonna get excited

1070mb+ over Greenland in GFS op: that'll direct the flow. But I agree with Doc- there are repeated, and in some cases intensifying, signals for deep arctic advection.

Remember the trusted adage - 'what GFS giveth, GFS can (and in most cases does) take away'.

A fairly impressive signal for a substantial positive height anomaly to the North into mid-November, but as Michael has correctly said, it's a very long journey before anything is realised.

Interesting trends, made to feel more notable given most were expecting the zonal express as we head into winter proper.

However, we’ve been round the block a few times now, and it’s never worth getting excited until we have cross model agreement of a cold pattern at circa T+96. 

Don't know, but such FI charts are probably more reliable in November than they would be later in the winter. After all, the PV has not really got going yet, but FI charts in January which show promise often get blown away by the zonal express.

Some interesting developments - But let's not get carried away. But bear in mind what we've been looking at thats all.

Indeed, a continued trend for the polar vortex to fall to bits in the 10-day period

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_240_1.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_300_1.png

Pressure remaining high to the south for the time being though, limiting the southward progress of any cold air. Not bad to see though.

Is anyone here NOT a fan of cold winter weather and looking for mild synoptics?

Mild, wet and stormy is fine by me. Mild and dry dog days aren't. At the moment the mid term outlook is tilted towards average / cooler than average. 

(With all the usual caveats of course! Not only that but it doesn’t even show particularly cold weather in our neck of the woods anyway.)