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Yes, I have to say I'm quite surprised at how high the CET figure currently is - feels like a different world here in Kent with frost after frost and low daytime maxima!
Originally Posted by: Twister
Same here in my part of Surrey too, cold, cold! 😀
Loving the weather whatever it brings, snow, rain, wind, sun, heat, all great!
Met office Hadley5.2 to the 19th1.7 above the 61 to 90 average0.8 above the 81 to 10 average_____________________________________Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th
To be clear it is not a personal prediction just an estimate of the likely outcome based on what the models are currently showing. If the models change significantly then so will the predicted outcome.
Originally Posted by: Global Warming
If the block to our E/SE keeps grimly clinging on, I'd imagine your entry for the month could be bang on the button.
Now that the colder air is inching further N and W, the Pershore & Stoneyhurst figures should be much lower (here in NW England, the past several days have seen leaden skies, drizzle and temps never deviating from between 7c and 10c regardless of the time of day. Much clearer today and temps forecast to got to around zero overnight for the next few days at least.
Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Day 4 of Met Office Hadley at 5.2 Anomaly 1.7c.
Metcheck 4.46c. Anomaly 0.30c.
Netweather 4.92c. Anomaly 0.73c.
Peasedown St John 5.1c. Anomaly -1.0c.
Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Originally Posted by: ARTzeman
It should stop to drop off now that Pershore is out of the doldrums
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News
Look in the doubt we've wallowed, look at the leaders we've followed, look at the lies we've swallowed, and I don't want to hear no more
Here are the predictions for January so far. 64 in all. No penalties for predictions up to 23:59 today given the January thread was a little late being opened.
Great to see several new people taking part this year.
Anyone between 4-5c looks in with a shout depending on the Block/Atlantic.
My own is running at 3.9C.
Home : Mid Suffolk.
48m Asl
My 3.5c guess is looking poor. I've started this year as badly as I ended the last one!
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
5.1 to the 20th
1.6 above the 61 to 90 average
0.6 above the 81 to 10 average
_____________________________________
Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th
Met Office Hadley 5.1c. Anomaly 1.6c. Provisional to 20th.
Metcheck 4.35c. Anomaly 0.18c.
Netweather 4.8c. Anomaly 0.61c.
Peasedown St John 4.9c. Anomaly -1.2c.
4.9 to the 21st
1.4 above the 61 to 90 average
0.4 above the 81 to 10 average
Met Office Hadley 4.9c. Anomaly 1.4c. Provisional to 21st.
Metcheck 4.16c. Anomaly 0.01c.
Netweather 4.64c. Anomaly 0.45c.
Cheadle Hulme Weather 5.5c. Anomaly -0.1c.
Clevedon Weather 5.8c. Anomaly -1.6c.
Mount Sorrel 4.3c. Anomaly 0.1c.
Peasedown St John 4.7c. Anomaly -2.4c.
My local weather station is showing a mean for the month at 1.8C (don't have my own station set up atm)
https://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/research/dtg/weather/period-text.cgi?2017-01
Can not remember such a big difference from the CET compared to my imby stats.
4.8 to the 22nd
1.2 above the 61 to 90 average
0.3 above the 81 to 10 average
Going down again... Definitely the wrong way for me.
Met office Hadley 4.8c. Anomaly 1.2c. Provisional to 22nd.
Metcheck 4.04c. Anomaly -0.11c.
Netweather 4.47c. Anomaly 0.28c.
Peasedown St John 4.6c. Anomaly -1.5c.
It's a little bit mad looking at that Hadley figure and then my own; I've got 3.5*C to 22nd and depending on to what extent the freezing fog sticks around today and tomorrow, could be between 2.8*C and 3.1*C by the time 26th is over and done with
https://twitter.com/peacockreports
2025's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 32.0°C 12th Aug | T-Min: -5.4°C 4th Jan | Wettest Day: 31.8 mm 18th Dec | Ice Days: None
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Originally Posted by: Caz
It really bugs me that at the same time, we've so very nearly done a great job this month; the weather patterns are just a couple of hundred miles out, nothing in the grand scheme of things!
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser
There's the difference the greater influence of the continental flow has had in SE England the past 7-10 days, compared to other parts of England.
I remember in January 2010 it barely got more than a degree or two above freezing for the whole month up here, but in the south temps were up toward double figures from mid-month'ish.
This months prediction of mine was too high.. Dare I drop below 4.75 for next month.. Looks like a cold one......
2.85C is my mean (rounded) to the 22nd. A skewed value, as mentioned, due to the position of the high and the colder surface air in the south. Great spells of wintry weather since November. If it hadn't been for 2015-16 I would probably have been on the richardabdn thread.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
NO update from Met Office yet.
Metcheck 3.98c. Anomaly -0.17c.
Netweather 4.38c Anomaly 0.19c.
Peasedown St John 4.5c. Anomaly -1.2c.
They haven't updated the front screen, but you can see here that the provisional average to yesterday is 4.68C, anomaly +1.05C.
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Originally Posted by: Darren S
Thank you for keeping the data up to date.. Gone down in my daily data record.