The Weather Outlook

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Brian Gaze
01 September 2026 14:44:29
Summer 2026 has smashed the Central England Temperature (CET) record set in 2025 and 1976.

Our calculation, based on Met Office data, puts the summer CET at 18.5°C which is a huge 0.8°C above the previous record.

That makes it an extraordinary summer by historical standards.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/cet.aspx 

(The calculation is ours, so any errors are ours and not the Met Office's.)

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Jiries
01 September 2026 15:48:03
I think we could got a 19-20C range if we didn't have a poor first half of June and very poor 2nd half of August?

Despite this I still consindering May being 10/10 out of this than Jun which end up 9/10 after a 0/10 start, 10/10 start in July then drop to 6/10 due to clouds issues.  August started 10/10 dropped quickly to 2/10 due to stinky rain showers and 1 weak thunderstorms.  

I think 1995 still remain the top in term of dryness that lasted full 3 summer months albeit few unsettled spells lasting few days unlike this year first half of June and 2nd half of August went very poor and extremely wet.  2026 will be the top for temperatures only then next sunshine amount.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
01 September 2026 16:42:53

I think we could got a 19-20C range if we didn't have a poor first half of June and very poor 2nd half of August?

Despite this I still consindering May being 10/10 out of this than Jun which end up 9/10 after a 0/10 start, 10/10 start in July then drop to 6/10 due to clouds issues.  August started 10/10 dropped quickly to 2/10 due to stinky rain showers and 1 weak thunderstorms.  

I think 1995 still remain the top in term of dryness that lasted full 3 summer months albeit few unsettled spells lasting few days unlike this year first half of June and 2nd half of August went very poor and extremely wet.  2026 will be the top for temperatures only then next sunshine amount.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

I think a more valid dryness index would be based on soil moisture. That way you not only take account of the dry days but of this year's baking heat which dried out the top layers of the soil.


It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Jiries
01 September 2026 20:56:16

I think a more valid dryness index would be based on soil moisture. That way you not only take account of the dry days but of this year's baking heat which dried out the top layers of the soil.

Originally Posted by: DEW 

That time we didn't have internet and information about dryness levels but from our eyes.  All I know it was very wet winter then suddenly dried out in March and continue to little rain all the way to September which was the wettest month after Jan and Feb then very dry October which became semi parched and it just stay like this to early November.   What we had this year is the dryness occur right on the peak of the summer months lasting 2 months only.  

Charmhills
02 September 2026 08:17:16
Summer 2026 is one of the all-time golden classics and is going to be hard to beat, if ever.

Beating 76/89/95/2011/2018/2022/2025.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power.

Duane.

scillydave
02 September 2026 08:57:39

Summer 2026 is one of the all-time golden classics and is going to be hard to beat, if ever.

Beating 76/89/95/2011/2018/2022/2025.

Originally Posted by: Charmhills 

I agree - for the Southern half of England and Wales in particular it's in a league of it's own. 

Truly extraordinary. 

Today it's drizzling, cool and heavily overcast - the first day like this for months. And it feels weird - almost as if I've moved to a different country.


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

The Beast from the East
02 September 2026 09:13:17

I agree - for the Southern half of England and Wales in particular it's in a league of it's own. 

Truly extraordinary. 

Today it's drizzling, cool and heavily overcast - the first day like this for months. And it feels weird - almost as if I've moved to a different country.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 

If you live in Scotland or northern england you would  be wondering how this is possible.  But rather like economics, it's London and the SE carrying the rest of the country especially with all those tropical nights we had. 

I think Kevin's index shows 1995 was a much better summer for Manchester. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Crepuscular Ray
02 September 2026 10:01:58
To keep things in perspective, it's an England & Wales record. Scotland's Summer was the sixth equal warmest
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

scillydave
02 September 2026 10:11:22

To keep things in perspective, it's an England & Wales record. Scotland's Summer was the sixth equal warmest

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

I think that's also the thing that makes this summer so fascinating. There really has been a clear divide between North and South of the UK - not that the North has been particularly bad (in terms of heat, rainfall etc) but that the South has been so extraordinarily good.

There's always a difference between the North and South of the UK but this Summer it's really been extreme.


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
02 September 2026 10:48:50

I think that's also the thing that makes this summer so fascinating. There really has been a clear divide between North and South of the UK - not that the North has been particularly bad (in terms of heat, rainfall etc) but that the South has been so extraordinarily good.

There's always a difference between the North and South of the UK but this Summer it's really been extreme.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 

As the saying is, you can have too much of a good thing.


It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Jiries
02 September 2026 10:59:04

I think that's also the thing that makes this summer so fascinating. There really has been a clear divide between North and South of the UK - not that the North has been particularly bad (in terms of heat, rainfall etc) but that the South has been so extraordinarily good.

There's always a difference between the North and South of the UK but this Summer it's really been extreme.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 

Yes it is so extreme divide compare to normal divide as the south only get average temperatures during NW/SE divide, never a heatwave set up but this year many heatwaves manage to get in during this divide.  None of those dividing thing in the past hot good summers.

How the outcome if there was no divide?  Would the South experience days of 40's while the north in the 30s? 

Saint Snow
02 September 2026 11:47:06

I think that's also the thing that makes this summer so fascinating. There really has been a clear divide between North and South of the UK - not that the North has been particularly bad (in terms of heat, rainfall etc) but that the South has been so extraordinarily good.

There's always a difference between the North and South of the UK but this Summer it's really been extreme.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 

The summer has been one of a succession of multiple heatwaves.

The main difference between the south and north has been that the weather in gaps between heatwaves has been a little more prnounced and less warm the further north you went.

In parts of the S & SE, the gaps were less noticeable as temps only fell back to 'warm' or 'fairly hot', and any rain was negligible.

It's been a very good summer here, with periods of 1-3 weeks of hot, dry and sunny, but interspersed with anything from a few days to over a week of temps back closer to the norm, increased cloud and sometimes a little rain. 1995 was better as it was more one bloc of warm/hot and sunny and dry lasting a couple of months.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

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Aneurin Bevan

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