The Weather Outlook

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bledur
20 August 2026 18:20:07
Seems to be agreement on more general and widespread rain next week . Some heavy as well. Spreading up from the South so the driest regions should get a decent drop.
Jiries
20 August 2026 19:50:52

Seems to be agreement on more general and widespread rain next week . Some heavy as well. Spreading up from the South so the driest regions should get a decent drop.

Originally Posted by: bledur 

It been pushed back and putting BH weekend at risk of washout.  It looking very dry here to Friday and it was lot of outliers spikes, the outliers was on Wed now pushed back.  Those who planning for BH really need to pray the Low to be sent down to Iberia than moving to UK to launch attack on BH weekend.

RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 August 2026 20:13:27
Rain spikes in the ensembles seem to have been showing in the 5 to 10 day range for months.

Yet still zilch here.

I suppose it will rain eventually, but by then most of my garden plants will be dead. That in itself doesn't really matter. But the impact on wildlife is yet to be determined.


Rob

In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.

johncs2016
20 August 2026 21:18:12
This week's water scarcity report has just been released by SEPA and can be viewed here . There has been some rain in the past week, especially in the last few days but this hasn't been enough to prevent two areas within SW Scotland from having their status upgraded all the way up to significant water scarcity status with water extraction restrictions being imposed in those areas as a result.

The southern half of the Borders around Hawick along with parts of Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire also remain at significant water scarcity status with restrictions on water extraction still in place.

Most of the rest of eastern Scotland including Edinburgh is still at moderate water scarcity status. There are two areas in NE Scotland and one area of Dumfrieshire which are at alert status and a number of other areas within central and SW Scotland which are at early warning status.

One area has had its status downgraded to early warning status with another area returning to normal, and all of the areas which have not been mentioned so far are at normal status.

River levels continue to be low to very low in eastern Scotland in particular, where groundwater levels are also low to very low especially in central Fife.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

MRazzell
21 August 2026 08:00:30

Rain spikes in the ensembles seem to have been showing in the 5 to 10 day range for months.

Yet still zilch here.

I suppose it will rain eventually, but by then most of my garden plants will be dead. That in itself doesn't really matter. But the impact on wildlife is yet to be determined.

Originally Posted by: RobN 

Indeed. We had a burgeoning sparrow population in our garden, many dozens whizzing about daily and breeding nearly constantly in our soffits. However they now seem to have moved on. The bird feeder and extra water bath i put out at the weekend is untouched.

Much of the rain these past 2 days has missed us. 3mm on Wednesday and 1mm on Thursday. The most we've had since early June. I watched the radar with incredulity yesterday as one particularly potent downpour literally parted as it approached and passed either side of us! 


Far north of East Sussex. +150m asl.
The Beast from the East
21 August 2026 08:16:07

Indeed. We had a burgeoning sparrow population in our garden, many dozens whizzing about daily and breeding nearly constantly in our soffits. However they now seem to have moved on. The bird feeder and extra water bath i put out at the weekend is untouched.

Much of the rain these past 2 days has missed us. 3mm on Wednesday and 1mm on Thursday. The most we've had since early June. I watched the radar with incredulity yesterday as one particularly potent downpour literally parted as it approached and passed either side of us! 

Originally Posted by: MRazzell 

This time next week looks like we will all see some significant rain and the pattern change looks set for some time. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

21 August 2026 12:57:02

Wrong on all counts really.

Originally Posted by: fairweather 

What an enlightened response, feel free to elaborate. 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
21 August 2026 17:52:40
You know it's serious when the annual duck race on the Great Ouse at Buckingham has been postponed due to lack of water.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c05q45q8djno 

Actually, probably a good proxy measure for river levels - at least it creates an interest amongst the general public


It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Lionel Hutz
25 August 2026 08:39:42
Looking at the fax charts and the current forecasts, it looks to me like this week is the week that the drought finally ends, in particular this side of the Irish Sea. Despite some forecasts of rain this month, following a July with 0.9mm, we had 12mm of rain the first week of August, but virtually nothing since. However, this week looks like being very different:

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/datukgfshires.aspx?display=fax&model=fax 

I'm looking forward to a decent fall of rain this evening and during the rest of the week, it's badly needed. As someone else said, it's almost like the new snow.


Lionel Hutz

Nr.Waterford , S E Ireland

68m ASL



RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
25 August 2026 09:25:19
I wish I could share you optimism in my location. During the last two months I have seen the rain spikes on the charts come and go, yet we have had no meaningful rainfall and the desert-like conditions continue.  The forecast of "sporadic thundery showers" this week does not at the moment excite my interest because these are by nature "hit and miss" and in my location, probably due to some quirk of topography, they are invariably a "miss".
Rob

In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.

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