The Weather Outlook

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scillydave
16 August 2026 17:21:13
A question for those more knowledgeable than I on the forum.

What effect (if any) do you think the record sea temperatures around the UK will have on our Autumn storms.

And similarly what effect might there be on the Mediterranean basin - particularly on Medicanes.

For info we're currently running a staggering 2c above average with some places 4 or 5c above.

Southampton today is at 22.4c!


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

scillydave
16 August 2026 19:13:38

That's a great article - thanks for the link.

I'd supposed that the increase in sea temperatures would lead to stronger storms buts it's fascinating to see some research that starts to quantify the impact.


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
17 August 2026 12:55:29
You'd think that the increased energy would enhance rainfall, so it will be interesting to see what happens this Autumn.

Thanks for that link Rob.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Jiries
17 August 2026 14:43:24

You'd think that the increased energy would enhance rainfall, so it will be interesting to see what happens this Autumn.

Thanks for that link Rob.

Originally Posted by: NMA 

What they getting in Cyprus today with storms over Nicosia, can't we get the same way for us here when Autumn come that give us thunderstorms, hail and dropping fast temperatures during the rain?  Don't want a bog standard wet and windy after this drought ends.  With higher SST's should bring something more interesting weather events to be par with Med storms in the autumn.

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