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BTW, I have to say there's some really excellent contributions from those on here on these topics. Thanks and well done everyone.  🙂🙂🙂🙂

GFS 06z is buliding a large high pressure system from the West next weekend into the following week.

Note, other models like the ECM has high pressure buliding abit earlier than this.

GFS is still not having any meanful rainfall for the south next week. It is a  Low Resolution so maybe the model won't pick up on showers however. Tuesday looks the best chance.

This option is gathering more and more support. Fits in with expectations for mid month to be very warm to hot. I'd say 9th-10th onwards.

The useless app are so terrible wrong for this coming week as vast difference from all the models and from posts that are so informative, all I see is no sun, rain all day and extremely low day maxes.  All I know will be hot dry and sunny in low 30s here on Monday then mid 20s with sunshine and staying dry as we been told HP strongly build again.  Today was 26.5C while app undercooked at 23.  Been using fan every night and day from late morning to 5 or 6 to turn off.  I would not use fan if the temps was 23 as the twat app think.

29c, 33c ,32c, 27c.

Not spectacular like we've been used too, but decent enough. 

It's also been under doing the temps by a degree or two recently. 

29c, 34c, 32c, 28c

Very little away from the West.

Our only chance of rain down here on Monday/Tuesday.  After that it looks dry for some time again,

Good chance of 30c today you'd think , if the cloud keeps away.

If Charlwood is accepted then that is 33 30C+ days which means we should break the record for most 30C days in a year on Tuesday.

Not another suspect 'runway effect'?

With a light easterly wind (as was the case today) the air could pass from Gatwick - I assume the observation station is near the terminal building at the east end of the runway - 3.7km straight down the length of the runways to Charlwood where the station is not in the village but on the Birchfield Estate  just 1km west of the end of the runway.

The ultra dry weather may be accentuating the conditions locally. We'll see

Possibly. The station is pretty much aligned with the centre line of the runway.

Regarding tomorrow's max, the GFS has nudged the temperature down a degree or so - still some 35C gridpoints but the 35C isotherm has almost vanished. I would expect to see the 15Z UKV update drop to 34 now.

I can empathise. It has dropped by a degree or so here on the 12z GFS op run too, so I think the 13°C isotherm has disappeared.

Well I've got a reply, 

"Thank you for your email in regarding the anomaly of temperature on that site.

It is currently a known issue and we are investigating it as we speak and possibly removing it as it is likely an error.

I will update you when an action has been made to resolve it."

Bit of a shame, but it didn't look right. 

One thing I would say is that the Met Office are very good at replying to queries. 

What about in the past when Concorde used to take off at Heathrow or any other airport during it visit, they have massive reheat but seem not effect the station temperatures?

Today was 28.7C.

It's an issue with the weather station itself I think. Not the surroundings. 

Frittenden also reported a max of 31.0C today, but that seems to have been another station with problems (it had a 39 the other day!)

However it's worth mentioning that both those stations were right in the area modelled to be hottest today. Hopefully tomorrow will see a decent reading at a station that is working properly!

Interesting,  hopefully its kosher. It is a bit farcical that so many of our WS have question marks over them.

So both Charlwood and Frittenden discounted.  

So how many 30 days left need to beat it now?   I still don’t like Met office fiddling it like they remove Epsom 35C recorded in Sept 1906 according to Surrey weather book.  They shut down Redhill which was famous for frost hollow very low temps before. 

I think we are on 31 30c days now. I'm going to email the Met Office and ask them. 

Hopefully Charlwood and Frittenden are repaired soon as they are often hotspots