The Weather Outlook

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TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2026 11:29:03

A lot of trees round here are starting to drop their leaves. The young trees which managed to survive after being planted on a new "country park" near a housing development in summer 2022 (!) look to have been just about finished off now. Many of them are now totally brown and dead looking.

BTW looks like 31.3C was the final max yesterday at Ross-on-Wye.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

So the heatwave finishes on 43.8 points then. 


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
picturesareme
18 July 2026 11:42:09
It's saying something when it actually feels fresher despite the temperature of 26.5C and dew point of 12C.
Essan
18 July 2026 11:59:29

I wonder how many days in the 1980s reached or exceeded 30C. Any ideas?

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

I don't know, but it didn't reach 30c at all in 1980 or 1981, and the warmest day in 1985 was just 30.0c   1987 and 1988 both reached 30.2c


Andy

Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl

Weather & Earth Science News 

Look in the doubt we've wallowed, look at the leaders we've followed, look at the lies we've swallowed, and I don't want to hear no more

Rob K
18 July 2026 12:17:32

I don't know, but it didn't reach 30c at all in 1980 or 1981, and the warmest day in 1985 was just 30.0c   1987 and 1988 both reached 30.2c

Originally Posted by: Essan 

I posted the total on the previous page, thanks to a chart by Sryan Bruen on Twitter. 46 for the 1980s and only 1983 and 1989 reached double figures.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Hungry Tiger
18 July 2026 12:30:37
A brief interruption. I can see heatwave No4 brewing. 🙂🙂🙂🙂
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



lanky
18 July 2026 12:57:50
Just examining my database of Kew Gardens weather data of daily maxes and mins since 1881

The graph below shows the number of days reaching 30C at Kew in each decade since 1881 

UserPostedImage

There have been 99 such days in the most recent decade on that graph (2017-2026) and part of this summer is still left

It took 85 years from 1881 to 1976 to get to almost the same number of days reaching 30C (93 times in that period)


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Ally Pally Snowman
18 July 2026 12:58:36

I posted the total on the previous page, thanks to a chart by Sryan Bruen on Twitter. 46 for the 1980s and only 1983 and 1989 reached double figures.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Any idea what the other decades did in the 20th Century.  I imagine the 60s was the lowest of the whole century. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
picturesareme
18 July 2026 13:50:14
Well we have managed to just scrape a 28C so we are technically still in the heatwave 😉
BYF1
  • BYF1
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2026 14:02:59
Edit: My reply was for TimS

Out of interest what is your criteria for the end of the heatwave? Is it the regional heatwave threshold?

I'm glad of a fresher few days, anything over a heat index of about 22c is enough for me, as I work outside in direct sunlight. Even sitting still in the shade outside sipping cold beer much over 26c-27c is plenty and 25c indoors is enough. If I worked in a shady office with aircon I'd have a different opinion. I only really like heatwaves between early May to Early August for an hour before and after the sunset/sunrise, and the nights. As soon as the sun is high enough with warm enough air it's 30+c in direct sunlight every quickly. September/October heatwaves are far more enjoyable due to lower sun angle/intensity.


North downs, near Folkestone, 177m asl.
picturesareme
18 July 2026 14:06:00
The metoffice criteria is 27C for x amount of days but as this is the coolest day in about a fortnight then we are still in a heatwave. 
Rob K
18 July 2026 14:09:49

Any idea what the other decades did in the 20th Century.  I imagine the 60s was the lowest of the whole century. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

The graph is here: https://x.com/SnowbieWx/status/2077335147448283555?s=20 

The 1960s managed 25 in total. We have had more than that just this year alone.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Hungry Tiger
18 July 2026 16:10:00

The metoffice criteria is 27C for x amount of days but as this is the coolest day in about a fortnight then we are still in a heatwave. 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

In the 1960s 25C was considered a hot day. Hard to imagine that now. 🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2026 16:22:02

In the 1960s 25C was considered a hot day. Hard to imagine that now. 🙂🙂🙂

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Depends where you are of course. I still consider 25C to be a hot day, or at least the lower limit for it to be considered one. A poor summer up here in the 1990s might have 25C as the highest temp reached all year.


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Ally Pally Snowman
18 July 2026 16:30:55

The graph is here: https://x.com/SnowbieWx/status/2077335147448283555?s=20 

The 1960s managed 25 in total. We have had more than that just this year alone.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Thanks.

50s - 38

60s - 25

70s - 58

80s - 46

90s - 86

00s - 85

10s - 80

20s - 105


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2026 16:47:41

Edit: My reply was for TimS

Out of interest what is your criteria for the end of the heatwave? Is it the regional heatwave threshold?

I'm glad of a fresher few days, anything over a heat index of about 22c is enough for me, as I work outside in direct sunlight. Even sitting still in the shade outside sipping cold beer much over 26c-27c is plenty and 25c indoors is enough. If I worked in a shady office with aircon I'd have a different opinion. I only really like heatwaves between early May to Early August for an hour before and after the sunset/sunrise, and the nights. As soon as the sun is high enough with warm enough air it's 30+c in direct sunlight every quickly. September/October heatwaves are far more enjoyable due to lower sun angle/intensity.

Originally Posted by: BYF1 

I’m using 30C, not based on any official criteria but simply because when we’re comparing classic heatwaves of the past that’s the commonly understood number at which we all start to get interested.

1 point for 30, 2 for 31 etc. 


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2026 16:51:30

Thanks.

50s - 38

60s - 25

70s - 58

80s - 46

90s - 86

00s - 85

10s - 80

20s - 105

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Supports my feeling that, adjusting for global warming since, the 90s were the greatest decade.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Bertwhistle
18 July 2026 17:26:14
I have no idea what is the use for the MetO defining a heatwave.

3 consecutive days reaching 27°C + qualifies. So what? Is there a hot weather payment to older folk? Of course not.

It's a reference with no point.

Define it yourselves. How does it feel?

Also, I'm starting to think Tove Janssen has a Bristol follower.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Jiries
18 July 2026 19:30:23

I have no idea what is the use for the MetO defining a heatwave.

3 consecutive days reaching 27°C + qualifies. So what? Is there a hot weather payment to older folk? Of course not.

It's a reference with no point.

Define it yourselves. How does it feel?

Also, I'm starting to think Tove Janssen has a Bristol follower.

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 

26C is not really a heatwave as it just warm I think it should be 30C to 32C classed as a heatwave.  Cyprus consider 41 or over classed as a heatwave.

Matty H
18 July 2026 23:51:51

26C is not really a heatwave as it just warm I think it should be 30C to 32C classed as a heatwave.  Cyprus consider 41 or over classed as a heatwave.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

You’re right. 26 isn’t a heatwave

As for the rest of your post you might as well say you prefer beef to chicken because it tastes of beef and chicken doesn’t 


Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

Rob K
19 July 2026 07:37:36
27.4C was the UK max yesterday which is the lowest max of the month so far!


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Ally Pally Snowman
19 July 2026 07:54:05

You’re right. 26 isn’t a heatwave

As for the rest of your post you might as well say you prefer beef to chicken because it tastes of beef and chicken doesn’t 

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Indeed 28c should be the threshold for all of England apart from Cumbria and Northumberland.  27c for rest of UK.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Jiries
19 July 2026 09:06:41
I seen the posts of the temps charts for this coming week to weekend and show Friday and Saturday the warmest days and rest of the week 27-30C in all regions in England not just the south coasts even here to see 30C and London 32C on Friday.  Seem a push back on the Saturday cold and wet weather to early next week but hope this get cancelled to allow the 4th heatwave to commence asap while still high summer.   This coming week is not a heatwave just a very warm to hot spell so hopefully more sunshine than recently to increase the rating as it now very low due to cloud incidents.

 

Hungry Tiger
19 July 2026 10:33:50

I seen the posts of the temps charts for this coming week to weekend and show Friday and Saturday the warmest days and rest of the week 27-30C in all regions in England not just the south coasts even here to see 30C and London 32C on Friday.  Seem a push back on the Saturday cold and wet weather to early next week but hope this get cancelled to allow the 4th heatwave to commence asap while still high summer.   This coming week is not a heatwave just a very warm to hot spell so hopefully more sunshine than recently to increase the rating as it now very low due to cloud incidents.

 

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Heat coming back next weekend- but not scary heat. Just seen 31C for August 1st. I wonder what August has to offer.  🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Retron
19 July 2026 11:16:01

Heat coming back next weekend- but not scary heat. Just seen 31C for August 1st. I wonder what August has to offer.  🙂🙂

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

It offers 3½ minutes less daylight per day, on average, so even if the heat returns it won't feel quite as severe. (By comparison, we've lost 37 minutes of daylight down here in the last month, we'll lose that in 10 days in August).

I wouldn't be surprised to see another hot spell at some point, the atmosphere seems primed for it this year. Any hurricanes that head our way though will no doubt make it less predictable, they always add a bit of chaos to the forecasts!


Leysdown, north Kent
redmoons
19 July 2026 11:18:41
Just back from Barcelona for a week's holiday. The highest temperature there was 34 °C.

Meanwhile, back in Watford, these were the highest temperatures for the last days of the heatwave.

July

17th - 29.7c

16th - 30.9c

15th - 30.3c

14th - 29.3c

13th - 29.3c

12th - 31.8c


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