The Weather Outlook

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Heavy Weather 2013
23 June 2026 21:02:40

A new June record tomorrow doesn't look a shoo-in to me: 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/signal#rep596 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

I agree, it’s loom touch and go. I’m nervous because while Friday does look hotter, there is a risk of showers and storms and we all saw what has happened over the last 24hrs.


Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

Rob K
23 June 2026 21:10:01

I agree, it’s loom touch and go. I’m nervous because while Friday does look hotter, there is a risk of showers and storms and we all saw what has happened over the last 24hrs.

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 

The high res models look pretty solid on at least 37 being reached on two separate days. They had trended cooler but seem to have swing back hotter now.  Even the Met Office raw here has gone from 35 back up to 37.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Jiries
23 June 2026 22:08:09

That may be, but we are not Death Valley. And the humidity there is considerably lower than here in the UK which is what makes here so uncomfortable right now. Don't you have blinds on the roof of your conservatory to reduce/regulate the temperature?

Originally Posted by: NMA 

No don’t have only windows blinds but been open since end of March and use again in end of September.  No point using them during long daylight hours.   Just surprised to see high midnight temps that normally the average for Death Valley.

moomin75
23 June 2026 22:12:01
I finally bit the bullet and purchased a couple of portable air con units, which both arrived bang on time today.

Yes, it costs a bit to run. But the cost of the actual units was £150 each on Ebay. Best thing I've ever bought.

My bedroom temperature has plummeted from 29.9c at 5pm to a wonderfully comfortable 22.1c now.

Its absolute bliss. 


Witney, Oxfordshire

100m ASL

Rob K
23 June 2026 22:25:39
Arpege 18Z has a few small areas of 37 tomorrow, and 38s on Thursday and Friday. Saturday looks a lot cooler than the 12Z though, a small area of 33 rather than widespread 34s and a few 35s.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

White Meadows
23 June 2026 22:38:27

Arpege 18Z has a few small areas of 37 tomorrow, and 38s on Thursday and Friday. Saturday looks a lot cooler than the 12Z though, a small area of 33 rather than widespread 34s and a few 35s.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

“A lot cooler” at 33c …amazing to think of that statement in context over the past few decades this would have been an exceptional heat event even at 30c

Matty H
23 June 2026 23:01:02

A new June record tomorrow doesn't look a shoo-in to me: 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/signal#rep596 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Looks an absolute certainty 


Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

picturesareme
24 June 2026 01:34:41
UserPostedImage 

We've just had an upgrade for temperature later today. This is utterly insane for a coastal location and I've never seen such high temperatures for this location forecast 😲

Still only in the Amber warning 🤣

The Beast from the East
24 June 2026 02:17:09
Most uncomfortable night I can ever remember in this country.  The humidity is making it worse than 2022. 

Even with copious booze and a fan, struggling to sleep. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Retron
24 June 2026 03:37:16

Looks an absolute certainty 

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Agreed! We'll have lost a lot of the soil moisture from the London / M4 area today too, which will help boost things.

It's going to be a very hot day widely given how many places are still in the 20s as of four in the morning:

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/obs.jpg 

UserPostedImage


Leysdown, north Kent
warrenb
24 June 2026 05:51:04
Tropical night here with a low of 20.2c
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
24 June 2026 06:01:44

Most uncomfortable night I can ever remember in this country.  The humidity is making it worse than 2022. 

Even with copious booze and a fan, struggling to sleep. 

The Beast from the East wrote:

The copious booze would not have helped. Something I soon learnt in Palawan, where last night's temps would have been cool.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Brian Gaze
24 June 2026 06:06:49
UKV hitting 37C this afternoon so the June record should be comfortably beaten if it close to the mark.

I had my glasses on the bedside table overnight. When I got up and left the air conditioned room they immediately steamed up. 😂 The temperature gradient was 19C to 30C over 10cm. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Rob K
24 June 2026 06:13:56
Herstmonceux sounding overnight had a 1000-500mb thickness of 577.5dam so a whisker away from a record. Could go higher yet on the midday one. 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Retron
24 June 2026 06:17:27

UKV hitting 37C this afternoon so the June record should be comfortably beaten if it close to the mark.

I had my glasses on the bedside table overnight. When I got up and left the air conditioned room they immediately steamed up. 😂 The temperature gradient was 19C to 30C over 10cm. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

And this is why a/c is going to become all-pervasive in the years to come. My shed-on-a-bungalow regularly gets into the 30s, but for a proper house with presumably decent insulation it shows the problem well. Tens of millions will have, and will continue, to endure those temperatures in their houses in the next few days. And regardless of whether people profess to enjoy the heat and humidity, it's a different matter when you're lying there at 2AM covered in sweat!

It's the warmest morning of the spell so far here, 21C at just gone 7 AM and with 32 in the forecast. There will be an ENE'ly picking up during the day (which will push the core of the heat west of London and down to the south coast) and I'm hoping it picks up a bit sooner than modelled! 

I'm expecting the MetO to issue an amber for Friday today - their raw output still shows high 30s in the east/Kent and East Anglia especially, with even a few 40s mixed in. The UKV reflects it well:

UserPostedImage

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts3/ukv/ukv_custom/ukv_2026_JUN_24_03_60_2mmaxtemp_51.9_0.9_1.png 

UserPostedImage


Leysdown, north Kent
doctormog
24 June 2026 06:20:38
We have had our one day heatwave here. 😎
Brian Gaze
24 June 2026 06:22:15

And this is why a/c is going to become all-pervasive in the years to come. My shed-on-a-bungalow regularly gets into the 30s, but for a proper house with presumably decent insulation it shows the problem well. Tens of millions will have, and will continue, to endure those temperatures in their houses in the next few days. And regardless of whether people profess to enjoy the heat and humidity, it's a different matter when you're lying there at 2AM covered in sweat!

 

Retron;1703869

Spot on. I enjoy the heat except at night when I'm trying to sleep. I seriously think having a/c installed in the bedrooms was the best investment my wife and I ever made. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Retron
24 June 2026 06:23:59

Herstmonceux sounding overnight had a 1000-500mb thickness of 577.5dam so a whisker away from a record. Could go higher yet on the midday one. 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

If you look at the Wyoming archives, the max for Camborne was 577.3 on the 0z reading for 19Jul22, while Herstmonceux recorded 577.1 at the same time - and both were lower both before and after that particular reading. If there was a higher reading at an intervening period it didn't show up on the Wyoming search interface - I'd be interested to know what the record actually is!

FWIW Wyoming is reporting 577.6 for Herstmonceux this morning (using the Legacy interface,  it includes the exact thickness near the bottom), and 576.1 for Camborne. 

https://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding_legacy.html 


Leysdown, north Kent
scillydave
24 June 2026 06:28:14
Ukv 03z is a distinct upgrade in heat again for tomorrow (Thursday) with widespread 38/ 39c and the odd 40c for the Western parts of Central southern England,  the East of Wales and the West Midlands. 

This morning here feels like walking into a bathroom after someone has had a hot shower.


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Rob K
24 June 2026 06:29:34
Fair enough Darren, I did it by just subtracting the values on the Windy.com chart that come up when you hover at different heights. 

BTW TORRO says the record was from 2019 - the famous “not hot at ground level” spell I think?

578 dam at Camborne (Cornwall) on 28 June 2019.

Heathrow had a minimum of 22.1 overnight which is the highest I can see. Strange as it’s not usually one of the warmest overnight stations. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Retron
24 June 2026 06:33:57

BTW TORRO says the record was from 2019 - the famous “not hot at ground level” spell I think?

578 dam at Camborne (Cornwall) on 28 June 2019.

Heathrow had a minimum of 22.1 overnight which is the highest I can see. Strange as it’s not usually one of the warmest overnight stations. 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

I pity the poor person who puts the overnight minimums on the Met Office X account - you can just imagine what the replies will be like!

As for the record thickness, interesting - thank you, I hadn't thought of checking 2019! Popping it into the Wyoming archive shows:

              1000 hPa to 500 hPa thickness: 5782.00

So it looks like 578.2 is the one to beat!


Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
24 June 2026 06:38:18
Temps starting to rise now. Be interesting how fast they go up.  30c by 11am ?? 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Heavy Weather 2013
24 June 2026 06:45:26

Temps starting to rise now. Be interesting how fast they go up.  30c by 11am ?? 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Would quite like a 30C for 10am Obs please.


Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
24 June 2026 06:53:00

Would quite like a 30C for 10am Obs please.

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 

Seems very likely. In previous 36C+ days somewhere has easily breached 30C by 10, in fact I can recall a couple of 9am 30s.

On the very hottest days there's a specific pattern I've noticed, which I don't think we'll get today as it seems to happen on the last culminating day:

- very rapid heating early morning, usually headed by LHR, so that the record is almost reached by midday

- a small plateau early afternoon when other stations catch up with the leader

- a humidity collapse in some sites mid afternoon with DPT falling to 10C or lower

- final peak mid-late afternoon somewhere different

That humidity fall almost looks like a sort of dynamic process, a mini stingjet, and I wonder if it's a pre-frontal feature given the records often fall a day or so before a cold front.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
sunny coast
24 June 2026 07:00:12
 . And already 26 at 8am here bonkers 

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