My prediction is for a mildish one of 6.55c

December Statistics:

2024 = 6.84c

2023 = 7.1c

2022 = 3.5c

2021 = 6.4c

2020 = 5.0c

2019 = 5.8c

Average 1991 -20 = 4.8c

Warmest all time = 9.6c (2015) - Second warmest was way below at 8.1c (1934)

Coldest this century = -0.7c (2010)  -  1981 was 0.1c

Predictions by email by midnight on 30th November to [email protected] 

A very good chance of beating the warmest CET year though.

2015 was insane. With Jan, Feb and March by contrast - I am amazed the very old records are still standing. There has been a strange lack of very warm Januaries too recently while Dec and Feb have effortlessly delivered the mild... 

The fly is that there's persistent blocking to our north on repeated runs... but MO is keeping low pressure 'stuck' over us. If that block can ridge south, we're looking at colder air flushing over the UK, which would change everything.

Sorry I'm a little late. 

Thank you!

7.6 to the 1st

3.1c above the 61 to 90 average

1.9c above the 91 to 20 average

We're off to the usual very cool start I see !!

It only needs to be 1.7c above average to beat the year CET record 

7.7 to the 2nd

3.2c above the 61 to 90 average

1.9c above the 91 to 20 average

6.9 to the 3rd

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average

1.1c above the 91 to 20 average

Given the latest model output we've all probably gone too low but it's great to see such a big spread in the last month especially given how tight the top of the table is - it looks like the competition will go right down to the wire.

On a different note, thank you for all of the good wishes and festive cheer in the emails - it's much appreciated.

If anyone has a desire to run the CET competition next year then I'm very happy to hand it over but equally if there are no takers then I'm happy to carry on.

Merry Christmas and good luck everyone!

December CET Predictions

December warmest            9.6

December 2nd warmest     8.1

Jemblow                                7.7

WindyWillow                         7.3

Redmoons                             7.25

Wallaw                                   6.95

DingleRob                              6.9

Magda                                    6.9

Ally Pally Snowman                6.8

Rick M                                    6.65

Scillydave                               6.55

Caz                                         6.5

GezM                                     6.2

Bolty                                      6.1

Lanky                                     6.02

Hungry Tiger                         6

Frank                                     5.96

Spring Sun Winter Dread      5.9

Grandad                                5.9

SaintSnow                             5.9

Domma                                 5.9

Kendalian                              5.7

Dickieboy68                          5.68

Stormchaser                          5.67

Snowshoe                              5.23

Sussex snow magnet             4.8

December 1991 - 2020 CET 4.8

Dingle Rob will win by 0.01c if the December CET is 6.86c and 0.09c if its 6.9c or above.

Quite the photo finish if that occurs!

Could be a bit of a nailbiter then. We shall see .... 

6.4 to the 4th

1.8c above the 61 to 90 average

0.7c above the 91 to 20 average

I knew I was taking a risk though, as my lower estimate stems from a chance of some calmer, chillier weather in the final ~third of the month. Something the Met Office are now mentioning as a possibility but no more than that.

Apologies Andrew - I'll go back through the emails and ammend the table accordingly!

6.0 to the 5th

1.5c above the 61 to 90 average

0.3c above the 91 to 20 average