The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

johncs2016
01 October 2025 07:24:13
Since we're now into a brand new month once again, it's now time for another new thread although September's thread will continue to remain available for the time being in order to allow anyone to post their final totals for September.

I would normally be doing that myself but the official observation period which covers September doesn't actually end until 10am BST this morning as that is 09:00 UTC when we go from one official observation day (according to the Met Office) to the next. However, I have a very busy morning ahead at that time with a couple of appointments so I'm not going to be around at the usual time to be able do that. I reckon that I will only be able to do that from the latter part of this afternoon onwards, so please feel to also start the September stats thread in my absence if you have anything to report for that before I can get a chance to post my own stats for that month.

One thing that I will say is that September was once again yet another drier than average month in terms of the actual rainfall amounts but unlike other recent months, it was actually slightly wetter than average in terms of the number of official rain days. This is why I always post the number of rain days on here as well as the actual rainfall totals because this is showing us that there are two different ways of determining how wet or dry any particular month, season or year has actually been.

For here in Edinburgh, the higher number of rain days in September reflects the more unsettled nature of the month but with the actual rainfall totals continuing to be lower than average, this is once again showing us just how little of that rainfall is actually getting through those water scarcity affected areas which need it the most.

Only time will tell whether or not that changes this month in any way but by the end of this month, we will then be ore than two thirds of the way through the autumn which means that if our rainfall totals are going to recover with the water scarcity situation easing as a result, and with the river and reservoir levels also recovering in the manner in which many on this forum have suggested, it very much really needs to be getting on with that now.

According to the 1991-2020 averages, October is actually our wettest month of the year on average but this also means that we will need to getting a lot more rain than what we've been getting in order to finally get a wetter than average with that required total. being more than it would be in any other month. Personally, I have my doubts as whether that will actually happen or not but regardless of how all of that does pan out, this is the very place to post those all important rainfall totals.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
01 October 2025 13:30:27
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 1.6 mm (as at 1:30 pm BST (12:30 UTC) this afternoon on Wednesday 1 October 2025)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 1.6 mm (1.9% of 1991-2020 October average)

Number of rain days during this month: 1 (7.7% of 1991-2020 October average)

Number of dry days during this month: 0

Seasonal Data

Total for this autumn so far: 47.8 mm (22.6% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of rain days during this autumn: 13 (35.7% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of dry days during this autumn: 14

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 409.6 mm (52.2% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 77 (56.0% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 153

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

fairweather
01 October 2025 22:22:08
BBC weather continues to ignore drought in the S.E and persists in thinking it isn't a forecast to say it won't rain.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
speckledjim
02 October 2025 06:40:04
4.8mm
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

johncs2016
02 October 2025 06:49:24
Total for this month at Edinburgh Gogarbank now up to 3.8 mm (4.6% of the 1991-2020 October average) after a further 2.0 mm of rain fell there during the night.

This brings the total for this autumn to 50.0 mm (23.6% of the 1991-2020 autumn average) and total for this year to 411.8 mm (52.5% of the 1991-2020 annual average)/

This is all with more to come in the next day or so, especially with the arrival of Storm Amy.

However, we are still only in the first official observation day of this month as that doesn't end until 10am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning, which means that the number of rain days and dry days remains unchanged since my last report on here.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
03 October 2025 06:17:45
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 3.8 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 5.4 mm (as at 6:40 am BST (05:40 UTC) this morning on Friday 3 October 2025)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 9.2 mm (11.1% of 1991-2020 October average)

Number of rain days during this month: 2 (15.4% of 1991-2020 October average)

Number of dry days during this month: 0

Seasonal Data

Total for this autumn so far: 55.4 mm (26.2% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of rain days during this autumn: 14 (38.5% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of dry days during this autumn: 14

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 417.2 mm (53.2% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 78 (56.8% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 153

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

fairweather
03 October 2025 09:29:16
Today looks promising for some meaningful rain at last judging by the tracking of the radar. We've already had 1.2mm this morning which is the highest daily amount for three weeks! My annual pre-winter polishing and waxing of the car yesterday probably helped. 🤔
S.Essex, 42m ASL
speckledjim
03 October 2025 09:48:47
10.6mm and more to come today
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
03 October 2025 10:38:43
8mm overnight and some more patchy rain approaching. Thick fog an hour ago. Feels damp.
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
03 October 2025 14:49:25
More rain than expected from the front which is the forerunner of Amy - it hasn't stopped raining all day. While not heavy, the forecast was for sunny periods this afternoon.
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

johncs2016
04 October 2025 07:56:21
The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 5.4 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) yesterday morning: 20.8 mm (as at 7:40 am BST (06:40 UTC) this morning on Saturday 4 October 2025)

This makes yesterday our wettest day of this year so far.

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 30.0 mm (36.3% of 1991-2020 October average)

Number of rain days during this month: 3 (23.1% of 1991-2020 October average)

Number of dry days during this month: 0

A thoroughly wet start to this month by our usual standards and we're only around halfway through the first week of this month.

Seasonal Data

Total for this autumn so far: 76.2 mm (36.0% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of rain days during this autumn: 15 (41.2% of 1991-2020 autumn average)

Number of dry days during this autumn: 14

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 438.0 mm (55.8% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 79 (57.5% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 153

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
04 October 2025 08:27:48
16mm out of this system and not flash flooding precipitation which was great. Good soaking rain, more please.
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Chunky Pea
04 October 2025 20:35:10
A lot of rain has fallen across the land here in Ireland this month so far. Impressive capture this:


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

speckledjim
05 October 2025 08:51:00
23.8mm
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

fairweather
05 October 2025 15:50:44
13.4mm here from the event which is a lot and took me just over the 300mm YTD. 
S.Essex, 42m ASL
Northern Sky
05 October 2025 17:43:17
28mm here so far. 
Retron
05 October 2025 17:59:34
15.6mm so far this month, 319mm YTD.
Leysdown, north Kent
POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
05 October 2025 19:02:47
30.6mm mtd 594.8mm ytd
Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex, 121m asl.
speckledjim
06 October 2025 06:46:26
26mm 
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

tierradelfuego
06 October 2025 07:07:33
13.8mm this month, 425mm YTD
Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

speckledjim
13 October 2025 06:07:02
29mm
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

Ulric
13 October 2025 08:34:49
This month: 12.6 mm

This year: 370.5 mm


Solar is only worth it if your roof has toenail fungus.
fairweather
18 October 2025 10:41:50
13.3mm but like many here in the south and east none for two weeks. Anybody like to hazard a guess as to how much we are likely to accumulate over the next week in total? I'm going to go for 15-20mm which may be optimistic  for here but it looks like this first spell may be of the steady but lengthy variety.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
tierradelfuego
20 October 2025 03:25:15
A welcome 12.2mm yesterday in the end, 27.2 mtd. Could be the same again today if we get lucky with the showers.


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
20 October 2025 06:30:11
34mm yesterday and overnight plus 4mm the day before. Delighted!
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Remove ads from site