The Weather Outlook

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Brian Gaze
19 April 2025 21:28:53
Here are the dates for the last 5 years when 30°C was reached for the first time:

2020: Wednesday, June 24th - Heathrow – 32.6°C

2021: Sunday, July 17th - Heathrow – 31.6°C

2022: Friday, June 17th - Santon Downham, Norfolk – 32.7°C

2023: Saturday, June 10th - Heathrow – 30.5°C

2024: Tuesday, June 25th - Chertsey, Surrey – 30.0°C

Would anyone like to make a prediction when it will be reached this year?

Edit: As it's Easter and I'm feeling charitable, the winner - if there is one - will receive premium access to TWO at no cost until the end of 2025. If the correct date is selected by more than one person, the winner will be the one who posted first in this thread. (No edits allowed.)

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Bolty
19 April 2025 21:53:45
23rd June at London Heathrow. 31.2°C.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
20 April 2025 06:12:15
Further back, temperatures of 30C and above have been recorded for every day from May 21st onwards except the 26th, though the majority of those in May are from what must have been a remarkable heat wave in 1922. Even discounting the highest values from a slightly suspect site (Camden Square in London) many other sites recorded 30C+. 1947 was a hot year, too.

https://www.torro.org.uk/extremes/date-records/max-temp  

My prediction for this year; Mon 9th June, a day earlier than any in the current sequence.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Ally Pally Snowman
20 April 2025 06:31:55
I still think it's just about possible that 30c won't be achieved.  2007 and 2008 we only just did it. Maybe this year. But probably late June .

 I'll go 29th June.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
JOHN NI
20 April 2025 09:21:48
Just for fun I’ll go for 28th June.
John.

The orange County of Armagh.

Brian Gaze
20 April 2025 11:01:32
I'm wondering if we could see 30C before May ends. Just a gut feel at the moment.
Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Jiries
20 April 2025 11:27:51
We overdue to see a 30c or more in May as long it not a cloudy heat spike set up. Had not seen 30C here last year.  One thing we need to see old June hottest record temps to be broken as it still stood during non global warming stage that time. 

cultman1
20 April 2025 13:10:02
My gut feeling we are in for a cooler summer than normal so July 10th 
picturesareme
20 April 2025 13:20:44
If high pressure settles to the E/NE again then we could see 30C in May somewhere down along the southern or southwest coast. But i think we'll see regardless before June is out. 
Allatt29
20 April 2025 17:25:38
The curse will be lifted june 13th 😉 30.2c
westv
20 April 2025 18:56:46
I'll suggest not at all.
Big heat in May

Summer will be spray.

Retron
21 April 2025 04:47:53

I'll suggest not at all.

Originally Posted by: westv 

That'd be wonderful, but I just can't see it - it's not the 1980s any more! 😁

I'd go for early June this year (as we had an early final warming, so I reckon that'll mess up the typical "European monsoon" timing.) I'll say the 6th June as a complete guess.


Leysdown, north Kent
TheJudge
21 April 2025 08:31:58
16th June at Heathrow 15:00hrs 😉
Barby 551 ft above sea level
Ally Pally Snowman
21 April 2025 09:00:19

The curse will be lifted june 13th 😉 30.2c

Originally Posted by: Allatt29 

The curse has already gone in 2023. 30.8c Porthmadog 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
21 April 2025 09:47:28
Long shot but I'll go for May 22nd in a front loaded summer
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Ally Pally Snowman
21 April 2025 10:10:42
This mornings GEM going for an April 30th 30c. 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten.php?map=20&model=gem&var=5&run=0&time=228&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=6#mapref 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
MRazzell
24 April 2025 11:12:23
May 5th.
Far north of East Sussex. +150m asl.
Nick Gilly
24 April 2025 20:36:41
May 7th.
Jiries
24 April 2025 20:38:24
April 30th if possible somewhere.
Chunky Pea
25 April 2025 15:56:21
June 13th. 
Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
26 April 2025 08:48:23
I think mid-week next week will be close but not quite there. So I will go for May 22nd, just a speculative date well beyond any reasonable forcasting timescale.
Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Naturefreak
26 April 2025 13:37:59
30c will be reached somewhere between 22ndmay and my bday 28may  I reckon 

X thenatureandweatherfreak

Brian Gaze
26 April 2025 13:46:31

30c will be reached somewhere between 22ndmay and my bday 28may  I reckon 

X thenatureandweatherfreak

Originally Posted by: Naturefreak 

If you'd like a chance to win the competition can you provide an exact date? I appreciate it will be a guess to an extent, but that's part of the fun. 

Also remember that if you pick a date which someone else has already gone for earlier in the thread they would win if it was correct. 🙂


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Naturefreak
26 April 2025 13:51:17
Ok 25th may  ill go for that 
speckledjim
26 April 2025 13:58:44
I'll go for 14th June
Thorner, West Yorkshire



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