Looks like they issued those this morning. There was a snippet on their site yesterday saying that they were waiting for the event to get within the range of their 48-hour, high-res models. I'd imagine it's the same with our Met Office - should be an update from them within the hour.

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2025-01-24  

In terms of strongest sustained winds over actual land, ECM has it at 72mph over parts of SW Ireland which is near Hurricane force, and at which time the storm itself has maximum winds of 101mph (or cat 2 equivalent).

Based on this I think its basically certain that SW ireland will see Beaufort9 'severe storm' force winds, and a coin toss somewhere could be in the Beafort10 'Hurricane' force winds catogary. Obviously this means I would expect the maximum gust recorded to be even higher and probably approaching 150mph. Its quite likely this will be a record breaker of sorts for somewhere.

I’m not sure this is accurate

It’s not a hurricane force storm, it’s a storm with the potential for hurricane level gusts

Beaufort 10 is storm and winds to 63mph, not hurricane force  11 is violent storm and 12 is hurricane force 

Good that the midlands will miss out just bog standard type.

Our bin day is also Friday, but many people's bins have been out on the street for two weeks as the snow prevented them from picking up two weeks ago.  So there is loads of rubbish and extra bags around, it is going to be chaos. 

I'm hoping that SE Ireland will be spared the worst and it's interesting that the UK Met Office amber warnings are all for North Wales(and locations further North) which might suggest slightly less severe conditions for me(being on a latitude South of North Wales. That's what I hope at least.  

True. Storm force winds are sustained (10 min mean) winds of between 55mph and 63mph. Rare enough these days even on the exposed western headlands of Ireland and Scotland. 

Edit: Handy guide:

https://www.met.ie/cms/assets/uploads/2022/09/Beaufort-scale-for-land.png 

The other fun thing is having emptied bins blow down the road and into people's cars - they tend to blow over after about 50mph or so.

This morning's Arpege, incidentally, paints a grim picture for the north, but even more so for Ireland: the worst of the winds will be in the Galway area by the looks of it, and yes, that's showing over 110mph gusts. That grey area further SW, over the ocean, is upwards of 137mph, which is just plain nuts. Life-threatening conditions, frankly, and I only hope it's overdoing things.

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/58/18379/arpegeuk_52_102_0lsv9.png 

I think roof tiles and trampolines might be a bigger problem than bin bags having seen the projected synoptic maps

Google suggests it's from the Lord of the Rings, and people have named themselves after it. The Oxford dictionary of names doesn't mention it...

And the Irish Met Office says, "pronounced Ay-oh-win". I'm guessing it's not an Irish name then as it's pronounced like an Englishman reading French. If it were Irish I daresay it'd sound completely different (memories of the Siobhan and Niamh discussion from another thread...)

So now we know. 😁

It is and you would pronounce it Aowen

https://www.met.ie/warnings-friday.html 

They're taking it very seriously, then - and rightly so, looking at the 12z ICON, which has jumped up from the 6z in terms of strength. I've posted the charts below - 12z on the left, the old 6z on the right.

It's worth saying that those values the models are suggesting are off the scale compared to what you would normally see there, on a par if not stronger(!) than what we had here in 1987. Were that to happen here I would expect prolonged power cuts, many trees down and significant structural damage... I don't know whether you have your own house or not, but if you do I'd be checking up on the buildings insurance just in case!

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/7/29870/iconeu_uk1_52_65_0hgb9.png 

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/33/29247/iconeu_uk1_52_69_0bnb4.png 

We had no power for over a week from that storm, I wouldn't wish the likes on anyone.

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/forecast/gc3x1g6dq#?date=2025-01-24 

EDIT: Those gust ratios are insane btw, 26 to 93? That's even more than the 3-to-1 ratios we saw down in the Westcountry in one of the storms last year.

A bit off topic, but hats off the the GFS on this one. I recall you posted a chart there a while back showing a 917hPa low roughly in the same area for around this time. And while the low was never going to bomb that low, the fact that the GFS picked up on something like this at the time is commendable. 

Noticed that and I'm relieved that I'm still in the orange area. Then again, the storm could easily shift South too. Let's hope that it moderates a little.

Looks like it's all red now...

https://www.met.ie/warnings/friday/wexford 

There's still time for changes, of course, even this time tomorrow - when it's only 12 hours out.

Yep, the entirety of Ireland is now under a red weather warning

Yep. 

'And we raise our heads for the Colour Red'. 

The next question is whether any of NI goes red tomorrow, and possibly southern Scotland/northern England. The Met Office don't tend to issue reds more than 24 hours out, but as we've seen the current amber is on the red track...