Saint Snow
14 November 2023 08:54:50
Icelandic authorities now thinking it'll be far less severe than initially feared.

No 1783 for sure

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Roger Parsons
14 November 2023 09:09:01
Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Icelandic authorities now thinking it'll be far less severe than initially feared.

No 1783 for sure

Always better to have it that way round. 😁
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Saint Snow
14 November 2023 09:42:33
Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

Always better to have it that way round. 😁




Well summer 1783 was hot and sunny, whilst winter 1783/4 was a corker with persistent cold and plenty of snow.

What's not to like? 😋

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
The Beast from the East
14 November 2023 09:56:21
Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Icelandic authorities now thinking it'll be far less severe than initially feared.

No 1783 for sure



Booorring!
Next please

 
"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
doctormog
14 November 2023 13:12:13
It's probably a bit less boring if it erupts under your house I guess.
The Beast from the East
15 November 2023 03:08:24
Originally Posted by: doctormog 

It's probably a bit less boring if it erupts under your house I guess.



You must be such fun at parties!

Extreme events are exciting, just human nature and when such an event turns out to be a non event, then of course its disappointing unless as you say you are directly impacted. 

I was very grateful that Storm Ciaran went south for example
 
"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
15 November 2023 14:13:31
Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Icelandic authorities now thinking it'll be far less severe than initially feared.

No 1783 for sure


Perhaps not but it could last for many centuries.
Iceland's Reykjanes Peninsula is now in a new era of volcanic eruptions that will last for up to 500 years, and the building magma beneath SundhnĂșkur and GrindavĂ­k is part of this millenia-long cycle.
https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/volcanos/times-finally-up-impending-iceland-eruption-is-part-of-centuries-long-volcanic-pulse 

 
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
doctormog
15 November 2023 18:10:02
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

You must be such fun at parties!

Extreme events are exciting, just human nature and when such an event turns out to be a non event, then of course its disappointing unless as you say you are directly impacted. 

I was very grateful that Storm Ciaran went south for example
 




Thanks! Then again based on your last line, so must you.

Anyway back to the current potential eruption, yes the whole cycle could last for many many years I believe with three eruptions in the system already having occurred since 2021 (around Fagradalsfjall). The suggestion is that more magma has been fed into the system this time round so the eruption may be bigger or longer. However as it is a rifting event caused by a sill-type intrusion then it will be of a similar nature to these previous eruptions perhaps a bit more effusive and lasting a bit longer, but who knows. It may get a little bit more explosive if the vent opens just offshore. Either way it’s not great news for the people of Grindavík.

 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
20 November 2023 17:23:16
Meanwhile out in Papua New Guinea we have an ash cloud to 50,000 feet and a tsunami watch.

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/japan-weather-agency-papua-new-guinea-volcano-erupted-105026151 
 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Roger Parsons
26 November 2023 10:17:41
Mount Etna: enjoy...
Volcano sprays lava into Sicily's night sky

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-europe-67529861 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
ozone_aurora
29 November 2023 05:44:08
Volcanic explosions on Niijima Island in the W Pacific:-

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-67562779 .
ozone_aurora
04 December 2023 06:50:14
11 Hikers killed as a volcano erupts in Indonesia:-

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-67610326 .
scillydave
18 December 2023 22:53:33
Looks like the long anticipated eruption in Iceland is taking place
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Gandalf The White
19 December 2023 00:13:46
Originally Posted by: scillydave 

Looks like the long anticipated eruption in Iceland is taking place



Yes, about 20km east of the evacuated town of Grindavik and a similar distance from the airport. Authorities are suggesting it’s quite a significant eruption.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-67756413 


 
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Bolty
19 December 2023 07:09:15
It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
doctormog
19 December 2023 07:13:40
Originally Posted by: Bolty 

It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.



Unless, and probably even if, the eruption reaches the sea which I suspect is unlikely there will be little ash from this eruption. The nature of these dyke eruptions is not really explosive or ash-producing. They are however rather photogenic (unless your house is in the way).
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 07:16:52
Originally Posted by: Bolty 

It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.



Grindavik is only 25km from Keflavik, Iceland's International Airport, so I expect the authorities are watching closely.

Nevertheless, I don't think ash is expected unless/until the lava comes into contact with water, either as sea water or ice, which would generate the explosive activity seen at Eyjafjallajokull.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 07:16:53
Originally Posted by: Bolty 

It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.



Grindavik is only 25km from Keflavik, Iceland's International Airport, so I expect the authorities are watching closely.

Nevertheless, I don't think ash is expected unless/until the lava comes into contact with water, either as sea water or ice, which would generate the explosive activity seen at Eyjafjallajokull.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 07:26:31
What we don't want is another of these eruptions.
The eruption of Laki is one of history's great untold natural disasters. The eruption, spewing out a poisionous fog, lasted for eight months, but its effects lingered across Europe for years, causing the death of people as far away as the Nile, and creating famine that may have triggered the French revolution. Island on Fire is the story not only of a volcano but also of the people whose lives it changed, such as the pastor Jon Steingrimsson, who witnessed and recorded the events in Iceland. It is the story, too, of modern volcanology, and looks at how events might work out should Laki erupt again in our time.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Island-Fire-extraordinary-volcano-eighteenth-century/dp/1781250049 

A great read if you haven't already done so and one I'll be re reading.
Nick 
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Saint Snow
19 December 2023 13:46:33
Originally Posted by: NMA 

What we don't want is another of these eruptions.
The eruption of Laki is one of history's great untold natural disasters. The eruption, spewing out a poisionous fog, lasted for eight months, but its effects lingered across Europe for years, causing the death of people as far away as the Nile, and creating famine that may have triggered the French revolution. Island on Fire is the story not only of a volcano but also of the people whose lives it changed, such as the pastor Jon Steingrimsson, who witnessed and recorded the events in Iceland. It is the story, too, of modern volcanology, and looks at how events might work out should Laki erupt again in our time.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Island-Fire-extraordinary-volcano-eighteenth-century/dp/1781250049 

A great read if you haven't already done so and one I'll be re reading.
Nick 



Got a couple of decent winters out of it, though 😉

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
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