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ozone_aurora
29 November 2023 05:44:08
Volcanic explosions on Niijima Island in the W Pacific:-

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-67562779 .
ozone_aurora
04 December 2023 06:50:14
11 Hikers killed as a volcano erupts in Indonesia:-

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-67610326 .
scillydave
18 December 2023 22:53:33
Looks like the long anticipated eruption in Iceland is taking place
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Gandalf The White
19 December 2023 00:13:46

Looks like the long anticipated eruption in Iceland is taking place

Originally Posted by: scillydave 



Yes, about 20km east of the evacuated town of Grindavik and a similar distance from the airport. Authorities are suggesting it’s quite a significant eruption.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-67756413 


 
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Bolty
19 December 2023 07:09:15
It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
doctormog
19 December 2023 07:13:40

It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 



Unless, and probably even if, the eruption reaches the sea which I suspect is unlikely there will be little ash from this eruption. The nature of these dyke eruptions is not really explosive or ash-producing. They are however rather photogenic (unless your house is in the way).
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 07:16:52

It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 



Grindavik is only 25km from Keflavik, Iceland's International Airport, so I expect the authorities are watching closely.

Nevertheless, I don't think ash is expected unless/until the lava comes into contact with water, either as sea water or ice, which would generate the explosive activity seen at Eyjafjallajokull.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 07:16:53

It will be interesting to see how much ash gets ejected. I remember when the Icelandic volcano erupted in spring 2010 and it shut down Europe's sky for about a month. Imagine that happening again now? It would be an absolute nightmare with all the Christmas travel going on.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 



Grindavik is only 25km from Keflavik, Iceland's International Airport, so I expect the authorities are watching closely.

Nevertheless, I don't think ash is expected unless/until the lava comes into contact with water, either as sea water or ice, which would generate the explosive activity seen at Eyjafjallajokull.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 07:26:31
What we don't want is another of these eruptions.
The eruption of Laki is one of history's great untold natural disasters. The eruption, spewing out a poisionous fog, lasted for eight months, but its effects lingered across Europe for years, causing the death of people as far away as the Nile, and creating famine that may have triggered the French revolution. Island on Fire is the story not only of a volcano but also of the people whose lives it changed, such as the pastor Jon Steingrimsson, who witnessed and recorded the events in Iceland. It is the story, too, of modern volcanology, and looks at how events might work out should Laki erupt again in our time.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Island-Fire-extraordinary-volcano-eighteenth-century/dp/1781250049 

A great read if you haven't already done so and one I'll be re reading.
Nick 
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Saint Snow
19 December 2023 13:46:33

What we don't want is another of these eruptions.
The eruption of Laki is one of history's great untold natural disasters. The eruption, spewing out a poisionous fog, lasted for eight months, but its effects lingered across Europe for years, causing the death of people as far away as the Nile, and creating famine that may have triggered the French revolution. Island on Fire is the story not only of a volcano but also of the people whose lives it changed, such as the pastor Jon Steingrimsson, who witnessed and recorded the events in Iceland. It is the story, too, of modern volcanology, and looks at how events might work out should Laki erupt again in our time.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Island-Fire-extraordinary-volcano-eighteenth-century/dp/1781250049 

A great read if you haven't already done so and one I'll be re reading.
Nick 

Originally Posted by: NMA 



Got a couple of decent winters out of it, though 😉

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 15:17:09

Got a couple of decent winters out of it, though 😉

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 



Ah the big chill almost forgot that. TWO on the trot too. Brian would be happy with the extra footfall.
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
picturesareme
03 January 2024 11:20:11
I think an eruption is imminent in Iceland 
doctormog
03 January 2024 11:25:54

I think an eruption is imminent in Iceland 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 



You may very well be right. I guess we will find out in the next few hours (or sooner).

Actually looking at the data the seismic activity seems to be a in a location distinct from the recent activity, so who knows!
picturesareme
03 January 2024 17:14:28

You may very well be right. I guess we will find out in the next few hours (or sooner).

Actually looking at the data the seismic activity seems to be a in a location distinct from the recent activity, so who knows!

Originally Posted by: doctormog 



Looks to have been false hope... Perhaps as it is close to the eruption site it's to do with the increasing ground deformation still going on? 
doctormog
03 January 2024 17:19:58

Looks to have been false hope... Perhaps as it is close to the eruption site it's to do with the increasing ground deformation still going on? 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 



Yes, I suspect the ongoing inflation to the west has had a knock on effect. I would still think an eruption is likely the coming days or weeks.
Saint Snow
04 January 2024 14:12:42
I hope any major eruption waits until late summer'ish... to impact the following winter not the summer 😊

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Hippydave
07 January 2024 09:37:25
Still nothing happening in Iceland although given all the activity an eruption on the peninsula seems highly likely at some point, whether from this magma intrusion or one further down the line. 

Ground uplift under the Svartsengi powerplant is still ongoing, which leads to a greater chance of the pressure building up to levels that trigger an eruption particularly as there's (presumably) a conduit of lower resistance there now following the first magma run and dyke formation. There's also the low chance of Grimsvotn erupting given the uptick in activity there although that's a low chance from what I've read (probably a good thing as most of that volcano's eruptions are explosive due to where it's situated).  

All in all interesting from where I'm sitting but rather more concerning for those affected. It's also a shame to see people are cancelling trips to Iceland due to the current unrest. In terms of the peninsula, unless something erupts around the coast I don't think the chances of an ash rich eruption are high and I'd have thought there's plenty more interesting things to do in Iceland beyond sitting in the Blue Lagoon!

Edit: If anyone is checking the Iceland stuff out and hasn't seen it:-
https://vafri.is/quake/#close 

Is a really useful website - shows earthquakes and if you use the 'kort' dropdown and 'gps maelar' you can see the GPS stations and click on them to check out movement and uplift. Svartsengi being the one closest to the magma intrusion. (Shows as a little red square, easier to click on them if you zoom right in). 
Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
doctormog
14 January 2024 06:05:10
It looks like there is a large swarm of quakes ongoing currently (in Iceland). I wonder if it means an eruption is imminent.

Worryingly much of the activity is now close to Grindavik.
Windy Willow
14 January 2024 07:38:49

It looks like there is a large swarm of quakes ongoing currently (in Iceland). I wonder if it means an eruption is imminent.

Worryingly much of the activity is now close to Grindavik.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

i just checked it and that's an awful big swarm! Pretty impressive, I don' believe I've seen a swarm of this magnitude so far. At least not recently.
South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!
doctormog
14 January 2024 08:01:56
An eruption has just started.
Roger Parsons
14 January 2024 08:12:45
Updates: Icelandic Met Office
Updated 14 January at 06:15 UTC
At around 03:00 UTC today, an intense series of earthquakes began at the Sundhnúksgígar crater row. 
At the time of publication, over 200 earthquakes have been measured in the area, and the seismicity has moved towards the town of Grindavík. 
So far, the largest recorded earthquake is 3.5 in magnitude, and it was measured at 04:07 UTC at Hagafell. 
https://en.vedur.is/about-imo/news/ 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
doctormog
14 January 2024 08:13:22
Chunky Pea
14 January 2024 08:56:55
Very sad that it is right outside Grindavik.
Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
doctormog
14 January 2024 09:01:01

Very sad that it is right outside Grindavik.

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 



Yes unfortunately it is dangerously close.
Windy Willow
14 January 2024 10:40:39
I've seen that this new fissure may be 400m from the town of Grindavik and it looks like a warehouse type building may also be smothered in lava in the next few hours, judging from one of the live feeds.
South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!
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