GFS has been superb on this spell. Not Arome's finest hour though.
Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman
MetO / UKV was the winner for me today. It was the only model which showed a marked cooldown due to a change of airmass this afternoon. It remains to be seen whether it's correct that temperatures will shoot up once the sea breeze switches off!
GFS has 40C for Leysdown right now. It was a degree under yesterday (37 vs 36 in reality), but today was spot on (38) - until that sea breeze set in. It's now 29C, which is what was forecast by the Met Office forecast. The Met Office then has it warming back up to 35C in an hour and 20 minutes - we'll see!
(Here in Sittingbourne it's been near enough 40C. Hotter than when I was in Vegas, with a discomfiting "slightly hard to breathe" feeling going across the playground at work. The car said 41 as I made the short journey to the hotel down the road. It was making a racket, too, all sorts of whirring noises once I turned off the ignition!)