Given the fortnight we've just had, that seems ridiculously low.

Hopefully an upwards correction to come 

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Given the week we are having now i wouldn`t be suprised to see it drop.

Don`t forget we have only had about 3 0r 4 days of hot weather this month,most of this month as been pretty average with one or two days being very cool indeed. A very average June for the uk this year.

 

As there's been no sign of GW, I'll set up the July thread later so we can keep the competition ticking over in his absence.

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 Thanks Frank

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Thanks, Frank

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Nice one Frank. 👍

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Might only have been 3/4 days of 'hot' weather, but most of the rest of the tme it's been warm, and nights not exactly cool. Even a max of 21c and min of 12c should be nudging the CET up from high-14's. Tne hot days (27/14-ish) should be driving it quicker. But in the last 2 weeks, it's only risen from 14c to 14.9c (Metcheck's 'CET' has gone from 13.75c to 15.18c, still below what I'd expect, but 1.4c up in that time)

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Metcheck                  15.14c        Anomaly        0.99c

Netweather               15.77c        Anomaly        1.68c

Peasedown St John    15.52c        Anomaly        0.22c. 

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I've done my own estimate from the data on weatheronline and 14.9c to date looks reasonable

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Looks very reasonable indeed given my prediction of 15.15C :)

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Metcheck              15.17c         Anomaly       1.02c.

Netweather           15.77c         Anomaly       1.68c

Peasedown St John  15.5c        Anomaly       0.2c. 

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  That would be great!  Thank you!  

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A reminder of our predictions!  

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Metcheck               15.19c         Anomaly        1.04c

Netweather            15.79c         Anomaly        1.7c

Peasedown  St John  15.37        Anomaly         0.07c. 

 

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  Sorry!  But me too!  

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June confirmed as 14.9c +0.8c

Just .3c out wonder whether I’m still at the top.

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2022.txt

I got 14.91c to 2 decimal places from averaging the daily data, anyone like to check this

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I got 14.91 too Frank

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Thanks Martin.

So the Professional is closest with a prediction of 14.98c. Congratulations.

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Congrats to The Professional. 

 

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Table to June:

jmm2005 2.02
hippydave 2.47
col 2.55
ap snowman 2.62
rickm 2.91
splinter 2.96
gezm 2.97
scillydave 3.05
sswd 3.17
gusty 3.27
stomchaser 3.35
saint snow 3.43
dingle rob 3.57
taylor1740 3.59
frank h 3.82
the professional 3.98
lanky 4.30
whether idle 4.42
snowshoe 4.42
hungry tiger 4.59
redmoons 4.63
moomin75 4.63
caz 4.77
sussex snow magnet 5.17
duncan mcallister 5.27
artzeman 5.33
surreyjohn 5.34
springsun 5.35
darren s 5.97
windywillow 5.97
kendalian 6.34
bolty 6.39

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Thank you Frank for the update. Can’t believe at the halfway point I’m still on top with a .45c lead. I went for 17.7 for July will that suffice or I have completely missed the mark for July. Many closest to me on the table have gone warmer than I have. And given the current model outputs we could be seeing a 19c+ or maybe even a 20c month. Though the cooler start may have just scuppered that. Promises to be an interesting few weeks certainly there is the possibility of new records being set and perhaps the warmest ever 7 day period.

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Good stuff Frank.

 

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