Really?  

Met Office Hadley          15.5c       Anomaly      1.6c

Metcheck                       15.43c     Anomaly      1.40c

Netweather                    15.73c     Anomaly      2.04c

Peasedown St John       15.05c     Anomaly      2.5c.

We could now see 4 of the last 8 days with CET returns below 10c, and the others generally between 10-13c.

That's going drag the CET down to around 14.2c to 14.5c.

Bugger.

And here.

Met Office  Hadley           15.5c       Anomaly        1.6c. Provisional to 22nd.

Metcheck                         15.21c     Anomaly        1.49c

Netweather                      15.77c     Anomaly         2.08c

Peasedown St John        15.01c      Anomaly      2.48c.  

Didn't get into single figures here - indeed earlyish Monday morning (8am) the temp was 12.1c with thin cloud cover (that burnt off by around 10am). 

Just hoping that nights this week are cloudy to keep the minimums up, whilst the days reach a degree or two higher than forecasted. Would love to have made an 'out on a limb' forecast and been close.

Thinking of GW today. It’s his dad’s funeral. X

Met Office Hadley          15.4c           Anomaly         1.6c. Provisional to 23rd.

Metcheck                       15.04c         Anomaly         1.31c

Netweather                    15.7c           Anomaly         2.01c

Peasedown St John       14.88c        Anomaly         2.35c. 

Met Office Hadley           25.2c           Anomaly       1.4c. Provisional to 24th

Metcheck                        14.80c         Anomaly       1.08c

Netweather                     15.47c         Anomaly       1.78c

Peasedown St John        14.56c        Anomaly       2.03c.  

Glad to see it creeping up again slowly.

I put it down to effect of the prolonged SE England super-summer

Anyone want to make a renewed stab at a finishing number after adjustments?  To the nearest .1 of a degree?

14.35c

That would suit me fine!  But it could be anywhere between 14.2 and 14.6.

Meanwhile thoughts turn to October...

Met Office Hadley             15.0c.        Anomaly        1.2c. Provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                          14.59c       Anomaly        0.87c

Netweather                       15.27c       Anomaly        1.38c

Peasedown St John          14.36c      Anomaly         1.83c  

Met Office Hadley           14.7c.          Anomaly         1.1c. Provisional to 26th.

Metcheck                        14.42c         Anomaly         0.70c

Netweather                     15.05c         Anomaly         1.36c

Peasedown St John       14.36c         Anomaly         1.83c. 

12z GFS gives me a final CET estimate of 14.2°C when starting with the provisional value.

I'd not be surprised if that provisional was at least a tenth too high, though. Actual finish could be as low as 13.9°C but most likely in the 14.0-14.1°C range.

We're talking very close to the 1981-2010 average - so much warmth eroded away by a cool final third!

Met Ofice Hadley           14.06c.         Anomaly        0.9c. Provisional to 27th.

Metcheck                       14.33c          Anomaly        0.60c

Netweather                    14.88c          Anomaly        1.19c

Peasedown St John       13.92c        Anomaly         1.39c. 

Met Ofice Hadley           14.6c.         Anomaly        0.9c. Provisional to 27th

Met Office Hadley          14.4c         Anomaly        0.8c. Provisional to 28th

Metcheck                       14.28c       Anomaly        0.56c 

Netweather                    14.76c       Anomaly        1.07c

Peasedown St John       14.12c       Anomaly        1.59c.