The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

warrenb
06 August 2020 12:30:43
28.5c here at the moment
scillydave
06 August 2020 12:35:54
I think that we could well be in with a shout for most 35c + days in a row and potentially most in a year.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Retron
06 August 2020 12:39:44

Exactly. Grim.

Originally Posted by: Justin W 

Yup - one or two days is bad enough, but that Heathrow forecast (29 / 36 / 36 / 35 / 34 / 35 / 31) is showing dangerous levels of heat. I feel sorry for anyone expected to be doing physical work in those conditions... just being in a regular office will be unpleasant enough.

GFS is showing a run of 7 days between 30 and 34C here, too. I'll be in at work for two of those days and I'm not looking forward to it, I have to say! (More for the traffic jams - always worse in the heat IMBY, with added aggro - and for the house, which will be steamy by the time I come back.)

It's going to be a case of heads-down, grimace and get through it.

(It does give me a wry grin when people who've no experience of this sort of heatwave in their area lust after it...)


Leysdown, north Kent
The Beast from the East
06 August 2020 12:50:19

I regret mocking people who bought Aircon units

But I have worked out how to make my own with a wet towel hung in front of a fan

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
06 August 2020 12:54:53

 

Cloud is the most massive issue and kept interfering when we don't want it or on the process to have a heatwave. now is after 1pm and haven't cleared but it was clear all night for what? why bother to come now right after sun rise which his the common behavior this year?  It warm here but air quality very poor.  Was it clear this morning over your area?

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

The cloud is very clearly not following appropriate guidelines and is arguably behaving in an illegal manner. This morning I actually had about half an hour of drizzle. In a heatwave that is, frankly, up there with driving to county Durham with Covid-19 symptoms.

Someone need to have a stern word with the cloud to be honest. It's time it resigned.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
06 August 2020 13:11:24
The clearance seems to be here now and the rise begins. 26C in London, 27C in Headcorn, and now 28C at Manston. I notice it's 24C at Aviemore now too. Been a sunny day in Scotland.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
06 August 2020 13:12:35
And 35 widely across France now, with 38C at Bilbao. Bilbao seems to get a peak number first in any Western European heatwave, before the heat moves Eastwards.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Rob K
06 August 2020 13:18:00
Close to 50% blue sky here too and feeling warmer. 25C so some way to go.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Saint Snow
06 August 2020 13:21:30

I don't have a dog in this race


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

warrenb
06 August 2020 13:37:18
30c here now
Gusty
06 August 2020 13:47:20

Cloudy until 11am but as soon as the sun arrived the heat kicked in.

An effortless 29.7c here on a day that only expected to reach circa 26c here.

We have entered an exceptional spell of weather...buckle down and enjoy the ride.

Chance of a new all time UK record ? ....hell yeh ! 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



The Beast from the East
06 August 2020 13:54:31

I don't have a dog in this race

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Feels like a furnace already out there

I would gladly do a house swap with you, and a wife swap (though I dont have a wife)

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

The Beast from the East
06 August 2020 13:55:36

 

We have entered an exceptional spell of weather...buckle down and enjoy the ride.

Chance of a new all time UK record ? ....hell yeh ! 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Excess deaths are going to rise next week as they did in August 2003


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Quantum
06 August 2020 13:56:25

Is it possible we are chasing the wrong record?

Maximin record is 23.9C

EURO4 suggests temps on Friday night not getting below 24C


25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

The Beast from the East
06 August 2020 14:00:49

Is it possible we are chasing the wrong record?

Maximin record is 23.9C

EURO4 suggests temps on Friday night not getting below 24C

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

That is what kills the elderly in non airconditioned indoor environments

Though aircon would increase the risk of Covid spreading


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Retron
06 August 2020 14:00:50

Is it possible we are chasing the wrong record?

Maximin record is 23.9C

EURO4 suggests temps on Friday night not getting below 24C

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

That's a very hard record to break, especially now that the days are losing around 3 minutes each day... to beat it we'd need:

  • A very humid, tropical airmass (more humid than at present, as you know the higher the dewpoint the slower it is to cool down - you'd be looking at 18 or 19 as a dewpoint).
  • Cloud by night (to trap the heat)
  • Clear just after dawn, to allow insolation to heat things up again.

We might get two of the three, but I'm not sure we'll get all three.

 


Leysdown, north Kent
Quantum
06 August 2020 14:03:18

 

That's a very hard record to break, especially now that the days are losing around 3 minutes each day... to beat it we'd need:

  • A very humid, tropical airmass (more humid than at present, as you know the higher the dewpoint the slower it is to cool down - you'd be looking at 18 or 19 as a dewpoint).
  • Cloud by night (to trap the heat)
  • Clear just after dawn, to allow insolation to heat things up again.

We might get two of the three, but I'm not sure we'll get all three.

 

Originally Posted by: Retron 

What's the exact definition? So let's say the record was broken on the 7th August 2020. Would that imply the temp didn't get below 24C between midnight tonight and midnight Friday night?

Or is it 6am to 6am?

Or does it not include daytime?


25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

Gusty
06 August 2020 14:06:00

Is it possible we are chasing the wrong record?

Maximin record is 23.9C

EURO4 suggests temps on Friday night not getting below 24C

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

I feel these records will be challenged as we move into the cloudier and thundery stage of the heatwave next week. The 0z ECM run yesterday were forecasting mins of 24c in parts of Kent next Tues into Wednesday.


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Retron
06 August 2020 14:07:17

What's the exact definition? So let's say the record was broken on the 7th August 2020. Would that imply the temp didn't get below 24C between midnight tonight and midnight Friday night?

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

From the Met Office's observation guide. It would need to fall no lower than 24.0C from 10 AM to 10 AM the following day to beat the record...

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/weather/guides/10_0230_fs_17_observations.pdf

Daily maximum and minimum temperatures normally refer a 24-hour period 0900 UTC to 0900 UTC where they are quoted to the public, such as in newspapers and on the web

 


Leysdown, north Kent
Saint Snow
06 August 2020 14:11:56

 

Feels like a furnace already out there

I would gladly do a house swap with you, and a wife swap (though I dont have a wife)

 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

 

 

23c here, mostly cloudy, occasional sunny spells, gentle breeze

 

I'm not going swap my wife, but I will consider a decent cash offer  (and no refunds!)


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

The Beast from the East
06 August 2020 14:21:46

 

 

 

23c here, mostly cloudy, occasional sunny spells, gentle breeze

 

I'm not going swap my wife, but I will consider a decent cash offer  (and no refunds!)

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Now that's what an English summer should be like. Warm beer and a gentle game of cricket on the green, with a sweater required after dark

Sadly, our climate has changed down here and its the Costa Del Croydon with beer swilling half naked chavs roaming the streets shouting

I'll need to see a photo of your wife first


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Saint Snow
06 August 2020 14:30:52

I'll need to see a photo of your wife first

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

 

I bet you will, you mucky-minded perv


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Rob K
06 August 2020 14:47:55

30c here now

Originally Posted by: warrenb 

Nothing above a rounded 28C on the official maxima so far, the lack of weather stations in Kent really is a problem.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Heavy Weather 2013
06 August 2020 14:52:42

 

Nothing above a rounded 28C on the official maxima so far, the lack of weather stations in Kent really is a problem.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Agreed. They need to invest in their operations rather than their website


Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

superteacher
06 August 2020 15:08:07
Heathrow reporting 29C. Wouldn’t be surprised if temperatures were still rising in some locations due to the late break up of cloud.

Remove ads from site