A five day moving average probably a better way to measure deaths. Also suggests we are not yet at the peak, I would expect more rises for at least a few days overall

Strangely enough ,I said yesterday is there something they aren't telling us ? All of a sudden field hospitals are being erected ready for some big numbers it seems 

Well Darren ( Retron ) is expecting a BIG jump very soon 

An increase of 2,800 since Friday

Yup, I don't think we've peaked and the numbers should continue to rise over the next week. Whether it catches up to where it should be or not (20% to 30% a day increases) remains to be seen.

(Then again, deaths from 2 weeks ago being reported... makes a mockery of the whole thing, doesn't it?)

It's potentially good though as it indicates they're probably doing thorough autopsies on victims to be sure it death was directly caused by coronavirus rather than someone dying whilst infected. 

If this was to be the case then our final dead might end up being lower than some of the countries on the continent. I read somewhere earlier in the outbreak that Italy was basically marking down anybody that died whilst infected as a victim of the virus regardless.

As of yesterday we had 19,522 cases - going on the expected deaths and the associated % , there is going to have to be another 600,000 cases , on that it seems we haven't even bloody started ………………..or there are some very dodgy predictions flying around.

Perhaps it is more self limiting than widely thought? If that's the case perhaps the Wuhan / China numbers would make more sense.

This article claims the true death toll in Wuhan was 42,000.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11283933/wuhan-coronavirus-death-toll-cover-up-urns/

Based on a population of 11 million, given numbers of asymptomatic cases - you could have had 8 million infected and 0.5% dead - maybe they have reached herd immunity?

I read somewhere the other day about the number of urns being delivered - its in the Chinese best interest to keep the numbers low and quickly report they are getting back to normal .

This is perhaps the stats we should be looking at all over the world

Hospital occupancy and care home deaths, which we don't yet know about

But overall encouraging news that this thing is under control and life can return to normal very soon

No, today. The figures aren't out yet.

Its the Sun.. to make matters worse they've quoted the Mail 😂 and this all stems from Twitter post a few days ago. 

As was pointed out then, around 50 thousand cremation were carried out in the final quarter of 2019 in wuhan, and this was slightly higher than the previous year. If a city and surrounding areas go onto lockdown then of course there will be a backlog of cremated to be returned upon removal of the lockdown.

Only 165 cases in Oxfordshire out of a population of 650,000 + that's remarkably low 

What's your VERY soon out of interest

Perhaps they're getting an idea now of the sort of numbers that would likely require hospitalisation if they semi-relaxed restrictions, and thus putting in place the kind of bed numbers anticipated in advance of a semi-relaxation.

Or else they are preparing for a worst case scenario, on the basis of 'if we need them, then we're prepared; if we don't, then it's better to have spent the money just in case' (which would go against the thinking of every Tory politician and government since at least the dark days of The Thatcher)

They are out . 2,107 cases - 180 deaths 

I think the up / down scenario's we are seeing could well be the norm 

Total cases to date 22,141 , how we can get back to normal VERY soon I just don't see - The expectations from those in the know is for thousands more cases to be admitted 

Fake news indeed.

They're NOT all the past 24 hours. They're up to a week old in some cases and were awaiting test results to come back then inform family members.

You  know my visceral  hatred of the Thatch and suspicion of Tories in general, however, the proof of the pudding is that Boris  IS actually doing the right things at the moment, for whatever reason (genuine empathy or being s*it scared this could all blow up and make him the worst -Prime - Minister ...... ever !).  He is also , largely, saying the right things.  I'm still giving him the benefit of the doubt.  If we are being totally honest, as much as I sympathise with Corbyn's take on things generally,  I think in these circumstances he would have been  a bloody disaster !

The German plane transporting patients from Italy and France to Germany.

For what reason nobody has any idea.