Thompson’s emergency roof mastic is very good👍

 

My goodness - what a way to do a roof. Anyway I've got a suggestion. Mastick - get one which is good for rooves. That should sort it - You can't use screws or else they'll make holes which the water would find its way round - But mastick should secure that.

GFS continues to model 75mph ahead of the front across the SE early Sun pm.

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There seems to be huge variation between the models at the moment. I don't think we can really be sure how strong the winds will be.

ARPEGE and ICON have lower gusts across the south east on Sunday compared to GFS. The timing of that front also varies a lot between models.

Meanwhile WRF12z (about to be overrun by the 18z) has 150kph gusts from Liverpool to Hull at midnight on Saturday night. 160kph in the Liverpool area. That's 100mph! Surely an outlier.

http://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/runs/2020021412/nmm_uk1-11-36-1.png?14-17

HIRLAM has 75mph across the south east early on Sunday

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/fmi/runs/2020021412/fmiuk-11-40-0.png?14-19

 Probably bit ott but about 14 hours of 60mph gust for s/e on that 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/arpege.aspx?run=12&charthour=33&chartname=ukwindvector_gust&chartregion=uk-region&charttag=Wind%20gust

 

 

 

Thompson’s emergency roof mastic is very good👍

 

There was sealant in and they've put a load more now. I think this sort of thing:

https://www.screwfix.com/p/no-nonsense-lead-sheet-sealant-grey-310ml/21594

However, the problem is more fundamental as Buggles said earlier.   

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Agreed GW - on both intensity and timing. I’m slightly surprised that flights out of Gatwick and Luton (possibly others) on Sunday morning have already been cancelled. I’d have expected them to wait to the 24h point.

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This might be your friend: https://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/Roofing-Flashing-Tape-Flashband-Repairing-Sealing-Self-Adhesive-10m-Roll/192714559401?hash=item2cdeaecfa9:m:md9DC5zbsjSyy7kA8AYQAqA

it's flexible and applied to the surface using a butane torch, I've used it to hold down the flashing to the tiles & brickwork around the chimney four years ago and it's doing a good job given my exposed coastal location. Now I need to do the same to the flashing against next door's house what with the rain falling onto the tiles and then getting blown under the flashing in gale force southerly winds and dribbles down the wall inside the loft, but is fine during heavy rain in calm wind. 

You beat me to it Ian. It was something like that I had in mind. Brian definately needs that.

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Only 5mm so far here today, rain has been quite fragmented although picking up again now.
Winds gusting up to 50mph.

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For the second week in a row, a number of football matches have been cancelled because of the weather. Last weekend, it was only really in the women's game that matches fell victim to Storm Ciara. With Storm Dennis though, half of the top flight fixtures in the Scottish men's game has been wiped out including the match between Rangers and Livingston which had been scheduled to be played this afternoon at Ibrox. So far, I haven't heard of any postponements in the women's game for this weekend but with those matches not due to take place until tomorrow, that could all change by then.

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Recent gust at Leeds Bradford Airport 66mph.
I'm sitting the storm out in Edinburgh where the wind and rain have slowly increased as the day goes on.
Back in Ilkley the army are in helping with temporary flood defences 😟

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71mph reported at Leeds Bradford Airport now

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The wind seems stronger and gustier here than it was during Ciara. Official readings are roughly the same or slightly lower though with 60mph at Odiham. The radar shows no more heavy rain here for quite some time, nothing even showing in the SW approaches yet. 

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Look at that squall line moving through North Yorkshire/ Northumberland it looks vicious.

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Wind has got up...again.

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Look at that squall line moving through North Yorkshire/ Northumberland it looks vicious.

Looks even more prominent now and should hit here in about an hour. 

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 It is quite windy at this end of Kent as expected, but only modest rainfall with 2.0 mm so far.

Could be a different story tomorrow, though.

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Nasty squall line just went through very similar to last weekend.
Gust of 73mph combined with torrential rain for about ten minutes dumping a good additional 5mm.

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A wet day today but not as wet as Ciara, yet. Just over 10mm of rain has fallen today, with the Peaks shielding us from the heaviest of the rain, as expected. We'll see what happens overnight.

Winds have been similar to Ciara, with 40mph gusts.

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Intense squall passing through

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Squall was nothing on last week though here.
2mm in a few mins , total now 12mm.
55mph gusts.

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