Here is the latest position for the Autumn CET tracker - based on my November CET figures.
It shows Autumn 2019 finishing exactly in line with the 1971-2000 mean and 0.3C below the 1981-2010 mean.
I have mapped the closest matching Autumns to this year since 1900. These are 1941, 1991, 2000 and 2008.
The following winters looked like this:
1941/2 - Dec - slightly above average, Jan very cold, Feb very cold, overall very cold
1991/2 - Dec average, Jan cool, Feb mild, overall average
2000/1 - Dec quite mild, Jan cool, Feb average, overall average
2008/9 - Dec cold, Jan cold, Feb average, overall cold
So nothing in those figures to suggest a warm winter ahead.
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Chart 1