The Weather Outlook

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Gusty
26 February 2019 19:20:39

 Its not "Fab-ruary" as the pitiful Sun says, it is extremely concerning, and it is only when the west Antarctic  Ice sheet collapses and sea levels rise by 3 metres almost instantaneously, that people will start to realise that we need a radical approach to changing our lifestyles.

https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/antarctic-larsen-ice-shelf-collapse-sea-levels-increase-three-metres-catastrophic-collapse-climate-a7839371.html

 

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

I think it is too late Phil....I best stop there. 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Ally Pally Snowman
26 February 2019 19:36:20

Wildfires breaking out in Sussex , don't think I've ever heard of this in winter before. Crazy.

 

 

 

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-sussex-47377327

 

 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Devonian
26 February 2019 19:54:34

 

I think it is too late Phil....I best stop there. 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Depressing, in two respects, and I best stop too. But, yes, you're right, though I remain of the opinion there is hope.

Very high pollution levels (due to the heat, air mass, stagnation, time of year, wind direction - or all of those things?) in some places too I'm told - but few seems to care about their lungs either.

People care about Br... but the quality of the air they breath?

Hungry Tiger
26 February 2019 21:23:49

 

With seeing 21.2C today and 20.6C yesterday so that double 20's for Feb.  Surely with some record smashed but we never made it to 40C yet which we had a great chance last year, extreme parched ground and all the ingredients was there but too difficult to get it and most of the heat last year was home grown after day of day of relentless hot and sunny weather.  To get a 40C here we need to see at night temperatures in the low to mid 20's to aid the rise to 40C easily and no sea breezes.  

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Well - having seen we can get 21 in February - 40C is definately possible with the right conditions. I would not have believed this until today - But yup - it's definately possible.

 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Quantum
26 February 2019 21:27:54

 

It kind of makes you wonder how long it will be until 20C or even 70F is recorded in February. Had that February 1998 spell been timed a week or so later, then I'd imagine we would have done it.

It's a bit like how the April record was also mid-month.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

Found this on the front page of this thread!

 

 


25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

richardabdn
26 February 2019 21:30:30

Failed to beat the 1897 record last week when it only reached 17.4C, compared to 17.9C 122 years ago, and fell even further short this week with a max of 16.0C today. 

Moreover it reached 18.9C on 1st March 1891 so the two warmest days this early in the year were both recorded in the 1890s. Unlike in Southern England, it seems that the Urban Heat Island effect is not great enough to push us over the finishing line here.

 


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything

2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November

2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits

2025 - The Weekend Curse hell intensifies

Bertwhistle
26 February 2019 21:52:54

 

Found this on the front page of this thread!

 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Yeah, been thinking about this and Scott's comments. Considering the April record was in the 1940s, and that amazing early March 24C was also in the 40s, wonder if now the current potential maxima might be, all conditions perfect, something like- well, 21 in Feb, 27 in March, 32 in April, 35 in May (early June already has 34), 38 in June, 40 in July, 41 in August, 37 in Sep (35+ already), 30 in Oct (we might have done our best there for a while), 23 in Nov (remember 23.6 on 31st Oct) and surely 20 in December.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

LeedsLad123
26 February 2019 22:00:22

Sheffield and Bradford beat their records today.

The weather station at the uni of Leeds reached 19C, but not an official station. If it was, it would’ve broken the old record by 1.3C.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Joe Bloggs
26 February 2019 22:10:52

In terms of (what can’t be talked about) 😉 , I’d be interested to see similar synoptic setups, or even ones which would look to bring even warmer weather, at a similar time of year, which failed to bring such record-breaking temps. That’s the clincher really. Are very mild setups getting warmer? Very cold setups are still very cold, but perhaps not as cold as they were previously? 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_0_1.png

At face value I wouldn’t have thought we’d have got quite so warm as we have done. Seeing that chart 7 days out, I’d have suggested it’d be chilly in the far SE with winter HP dominant. Very mild towards the NW. 

Incredible weather. 

Gray-Wolf
26 February 2019 22:11:49

Well we will not see the records fall for the rest of Feb so the proof of the pudding has to be 'When will this repeat' ?

If its hundreds of years then its 'weather'

If its the next ten years then .................???


Koyaanisqatsi

ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.

VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
26 February 2019 22:17:27

Wildfires breaking out in Sussex , don't think I've ever heard of this in winter before. Crazy. 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-sussex-47377327

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Leaving aside the technical definition of the end of winter, heath fires are not unknown in March (not so far removed from February) There were fires in March near Bournemouth last year, and previously in 2015

https://www.bournemouthecho.co.uk/news/districts/christchurch/galleries/st_catherines_hill/

and IIRC (though I can't find a reference) a big one ion Hurtwood Heath, Surrey mid-March in the late 1970s which forced the postponement of an orienteering event that I was interested in.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Joe Bloggs
26 February 2019 22:19:02

We have another moorland fire! 

https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/live-fire-saddleworth-moor-marsden-15892383 

I’ve been wheezing a lot recently and my doctor thinks I have developed asthma - I wonder if this has anything to do with the terrible air pollution in this part of the world over the summer? Sleeping with the window open every night, easterly wind, distinct smell of smoke a lot of the time. 

Probably unlikely, probably just being paranoid, but I do wonder... 

 

LeedsLad123
26 February 2019 22:30:11

We have another moorland fire! 

https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/live-fire-saddleworth-moor-marsden-15892383 

I’ve been wheezing a lot recently and my doctor thinks I have developed asthma - I wonder if this has anything to do with the terrible air pollution in this part of the world over the summer? Sleeping with the window open every night, easterly wind, distinct smell of smoke a lot of the time. 

Probably unlikely, probably just being paranoid, but I do wonder... 

 

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 

Air quality has been absolutely dreadful recently too. The air pollution level in Leeds today was 9/10.

 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Bolty
26 February 2019 22:35:03

 

Found this on the front page of this thread!

 

 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

The answer was clearly just days away then!


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Crepuscular Ray
26 February 2019 22:39:56

There's a big fire on Arthur's Seat tonight 😲


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Gray-Wolf
26 February 2019 22:49:50

All the winter die back , that tinder dry yellow cover, is just ripe for a stray spark!

Normally late March in my youth? ( along with 'cardboard slides' down the dead grass hills?)


Koyaanisqatsi

ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.

VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS

Stolen Snowman
26 February 2019 23:00:54

I think the dinosaurs and most probably the Romans may disagree with the claims that we’ve experienced the warmest winter day EVER... 😉.

Nudged 17c a couple of times here but quite surreal as it never felt properly warm unless in direct sunlight where the warmth of the sun could really be felt. Surreal too to be scraping ice off the car on the same day!

An amazing month to experience and goes down in my book of memorable weather events with December 2010 and others too.


Statistics prove that the period just after records began witnessed some of the most extreme weather ever recorded. Records were being broken on a frequency that has not been repeated since.

Posting live from a pub somewhere in Burton upon Trent

Bolty
26 February 2019 23:28:15

Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Rob K
27 February 2019 02:04:32

 

Air quality has been absolutely dreadful recently too. The air pollution level in Leeds today was 9/10.

 

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

Despite the blue skies over the past few days there has been a distinct brown layer of gunk close to the horizon - I could see it even in rural Hampshire at the weekend, and from my office in London it looked awful!


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

KevBrads1
27 February 2019 06:30:54
Bit of a contrast

This year

Last year: snow, bitter wind, snow cover


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
27 February 2019 07:08:12

I doubt very much it would be just a stray spark GW.

In Weymouth the other day looking NE and the low level pollution haze over the Poole Bournemouth conurbation was significant.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Whether Idle
27 February 2019 07:25:21

Today could be Gravesend's Day.  For it to get the daily max, the wind would need to be SW, rather than W. Watch this space.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Devonian
27 February 2019 07:28:09

I doubt very much it would be just a stray spark GW.

In Weymouth the other day looking NE and the low level pollution haze over the Poole Bournemouth conurbation was significant.

Originally Posted by: NMA 

When I drive down to work off Dartmoor I thank my lucky stars part of my day I'm breathing something relatively clean above much of the gunk. I then think 'what more can I do to about this? Do i want to contribute as little to this as I can?'

I will email my MP again this week, I need to get the bike out for the summer and I need to stop admiring what protestors do and get involved.

xioni2
27 February 2019 07:45:28

We have another moorland fire! 

https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/live-fire-saddleworth-moor-marsden-15892383 

I’ve been wheezing a lot recently and my doctor thinks I have developed asthma - I wonder if this has anything to do with the terrible air pollution in this part of the world over the summer? Sleeping with the window open every night, easterly wind, distinct smell of smoke a lot of the time. 

Probably unlikely, probably just being paranoid, but I do wonder... 

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 

I don't think you are paranoid and don't forget the pollution from diesel. The UK has the worst lung disease rates in Europe.

 

Joe Bloggs
27 February 2019 08:41:34

 

I don't think you are paranoid and don't forget the pollution from diesel. The UK has the worst lung disease rates in Europe.

 

Originally Posted by: xioni2 

It is worrying really.

All those fires over the summer will have released lots of “nasties” built up over years and years from industrial pollution (stored up in the peat).

We had a prevailing easterly wind for weeks, affecting some of the most populated areas of the country, and EVERYONE will have had their windows open. 

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